{"source":"Polymarket signal scanner","methodology":"Mean-reversion style heuristics with liquidity/volume quality scoring","disclaimer":"Signals are informational and not financial advice.","count":38,"as_of":"2026-07-21T14:18:50.727Z","signals":[{"id":"1349143","question":"Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?","conditionId":"0x4fc98f65d07f52afbf73e4fd3bcf6901f2fa2391a208e22e200e89332934b34f","slug":"will-atlanta-united-fc-win-the-2026-mls-cup","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-19T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"32496.03527","startDate":"2026-02-17T23:30:07.908235Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-league-soccer-mls-cup-winner-dzEu6SuEjvrE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-league-soccer-mls-cup-winner-dzEu6SuEjvrE.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0055","0.9945"],"volume":"99877.3629349999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-06T22:57:09.480146Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Atlanta United FC","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x5e2f73b3b3d97f093d770a1fa9148fb8315d39097b5c759703eef9e87414b300","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99877.3629349999,"liquidityNum":32496.03527,"endDateIso":"2026-12-19","startDateIso":"2026-02-17","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":301.5074,"volume1wk":874.1740660000002,"volume1mo":3507.367551,"volume1yr":99877.36293500001,"clobTokenIds":["98860253812823050063139637560732946426096668703679673601434971154563134664716","37277864974493024577055646517486369679989000172963448781524519316902530886432"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":301.5074,"volume1wkClob":874.1740660000002,"volume1moClob":3507.367551,"volume1yrClob":99877.36293500001,"volumeClob":99877.3629349999,"liquidityClob":32496.03527,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e2f73b3b3d97f093d770a1fa9148fb8315d39097b5c759703eef9e87414b300","negRiskRequestID":"0x48e0b24b9210781c9069b069488b9190eda8bf4c75ac50b0e53b5188f7c56aec","events":[{"id":"200782","ticker":"mls-cup-winner-2026","slug":"mls-cup-winner-2026","title":"MLS Cup Winner 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-02-17T23:30:07.908235Z","creationDate":"2026-02-17T23:34:01.084534Z","endDate":"2026-12-19T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-league-soccer-mls-cup-winner-dzEu6SuEjvrE.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/major-league-soccer-mls-cup-winner-dzEu6SuEjvrE.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1048700.91166,"volume":19415532.534381997,"openInterest":239884.03878399997,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-02-06T22:57:08.548712Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9538344143456696,"volume24hr":9333.484316,"volume1wk":207738.098697,"volume1mo":758331.0149569998,"volume1yr":18271587.86973,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1048700.91166,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e2f73b3b3d97f093d770a1fa9148fb8315d39097b5c759703eef9e87414b300","commentCount":10,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-17T23:26:04.893453Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:17:54.414Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-17T23:28:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8035160254240507,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":0.2,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0015,"lastTradePrice":0.006,"bestBid":0.005,"bestAsk":0.006,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-17T23:27:32.288279Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.0055","0.9945"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.6,"noProbability":99.5,"mispricingPct":49.5,"qualityScore":25,"confidence":64,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.6%","Mispricing 49.5% from 50/50","Quality 25/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2761558","question":"Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x60738799b14966cb7c12e67a550a21404dc473547d99e91993523f70043f64e3","slug":"will-france-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-july-31-2026-20260701001952740","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"20605.7933","startDate":"2026-07-01T22:35:42.638096Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA \"warship transit\" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.\n\nOfficial confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.\n\nQualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nConfirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0175","0.9825"],"volume":"99935.01364700016","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T22:33:39.132627Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"France","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x7fb15e78f37853bfb7fa6c78ca922126b7f4339e96e411de5ab846175dd21917","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99935.01364700016,"liquidityNum":20605.7933,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":833.462925,"volume1wk":36842.979917000004,"volume1mo":99935.01364699996,"volume1yr":99935.01364699996,"clobTokenIds":["95956543724563201943435634031990805640170409267355340191123981967216396859058","104669620094040210398179322720557625598427415134479792078753917068080842037963"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":833.462925,"volume1wkClob":36842.979917000004,"volume1moClob":99935.01364699996,"volume1yrClob":99935.01364699996,"volumeClob":99935.01364700016,"liquidityClob":20605.7933,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"656692","ticker":"which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-july-31-20260701001952738","slug":"which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-july-31-20260701001952738","title":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA \"warship transit\" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.\n\nOfficial confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.\n\nQualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nConfirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-01T22:35:39.878899Z","creationDate":"2026-07-01T22:38:39.680696Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-april-30-txHCnDq-o4A3.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-april-30-txHCnDq-o4A3.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":150801.30383,"volume":429028.553113,"openInterest":71450.83960699999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-07-01T22:33:38.635526Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8908685968819599,"volume24hr":6363.230633,"volume1wk":93952.92660600001,"volume1mo":429028.553113,"volume1yr":429028.553113,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":150801.30383,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11729","ticker":"warships","slug":"warships","title":"Warships","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-05-22T20:05:32.890702Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":6363.230633,"volume":429028.553113,"liquidity":150801.30383,"commentCount":175,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"warships","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Heightened tensions from the 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis, including Iranian efforts to control passages and intermittent attacks on vessels, continue to shape naval deployments as the US and partners prioritize freedom of navigation through the critical oil chokepoint. US Central Command has conducted mine-clearing and coordination for commercial transits via alternative routes near Oman, while the UK has deployed HMS Dragon alongside drones and aircraft for defensive escort missions. France has committed frigates, India and Pakistan have sent destroyers for regional protection, and earlier US destroyer transits occurred amid ceasefire strains. With the July 31 resolution window open, trader assessments reflect uncertainty over additional confirmed warship movements by specific nations amid fragile diplomacy and ongoing risks from Iranian forces.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-01T23:00:16.112Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-01T22:34:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8111574710137947,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"843659","conditionId":"0x60738799b14966cb7c12e67a550a21404dc473547d99e91993523f70043f64e3","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-07-12","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.009,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.019,"lastTradePrice":0.023,"bestBid":0.013,"bestAsk":0.022,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-01T22:33:52.771909Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.0175","0.9825"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.8,"noProbability":98.3,"mispricingPct":48.3,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.8%","Mispricing 48.3% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3009123","question":"Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?","conditionId":"0xfeb78ae5b350e0b7e35115daa87040e6db95713263b73956ec469787cb6a979c","slug":"highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-july-22-2026-84-85f","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX","endDate":"2026-07-22T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"5823.0634","startDate":"2026-07-21T01:03:20Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0025","0.9975"],"volume":"998.8324979999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-21T01:03:05.836043Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"84-85°F","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0xdbec141b7d99c9e964241f79a98b6b9fc398033398e6a51c25affbea05260d09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":998.8324979999998,"liquidityNum":5823.0634,"endDateIso":"2026-07-22","startDateIso":"2026-07-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":998.8324979999999,"volume1wk":998.8324979999999,"volume1mo":998.8324979999999,"volume1yr":998.8324979999999,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-22 07:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["60826090306587384188382311368249348729874938437294734671891878346315186381671","105731713089932959701034608704441851267192553473136439006906289579472289449906"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":998.8324979999999,"volume1wkClob":998.8324979999999,"volume1moClob":998.8324979999999,"volume1yrClob":998.8324979999999,"volumeClob":998.8324979999998,"liquidityClob":5823.0634,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xdbec141b7d99c9e964241f79a98b6b9fc398033398e6a51c25affbea05260d00","negRiskRequestID":"0x7ee59217b2e853abe3a0ccd1c8548969bbc50c02888f3593f3b282fb646bcaa2","events":[{"id":"727282","ticker":"highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-july-22-2026","slug":"highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-july-22-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 22?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX","startDate":"2026-07-21T01:03:20Z","creationDate":"2026-07-21T01:05:38.531315Z","endDate":"2026-07-22T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":63546.97772,"volume":17469.482445999998,"openInterest":8938.662804,"createdAt":"2026-07-21T01:03:03.672703Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:30.753491Z","competitive":0.9779951100244499,"volume24hr":17479.232445999998,"volume1wk":17479.232445999998,"volume1mo":17479.232445999998,"volume1yr":17479.232445999998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":63546.97772,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xdbec141b7d99c9e964241f79a98b6b9fc398033398e6a51c25affbea05260d00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11370","ticker":"los-angeles-daily-weather","slug":"los-angeles-daily-weather","title":"Los Angeles Daily Weather","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-20T00:14:46.650643Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":115696.73336,"volume":69250.11187899999,"liquidity":79221.98851,"commentCount":72,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-22","startTime":"2026-07-21T01:03:03.574Z","seriesSlug":"los-angeles-daily-weather","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:06.159732Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 76–79°F brackets because persistent marine layer stratus and strong onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to moderate peak heating at the coastal observation site on July 22. Despite a National Weather Service heat advisory and forecast highs of 85–90°F farther inland, the cool, moist boundary layer typically suppresses afternoon temperatures near the ocean to the mid-to-upper 70s. Minor differences between the leading bins hinge on exact marine-layer depth, cloud-clearing timing, and any subtle shifts in the pressure gradient. National Weather Service model updates and afternoon observations will determine whether slightly stronger offshore flow pushes readings into the lower 80s or keeps them capped near 77°F.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:00:16.514Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:20Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8015991903848178,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.002,"bestAsk":0.003,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:06.165183Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0025","0.9975"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.3,"noProbability":99.8,"mispricingPct":49.8,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.3%","Mispricing 49.8% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1365893","question":"Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","conditionId":"0x31f31222f37f2583de6c44c4297cafdccfd21d443e785042af0180192897f8ed","slug":"will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-finish-in-third-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","endDate":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"23221.33008","startDate":"2026-02-11T22:46:14.759967Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-eF23sYKkHxoO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-eF23sYKkHxoO.jpg","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0125","0.9875"],"volume":"99783.38907500004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-11T12:57:40.590492Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Ratinho Júnior","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42606","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99783.38907500004,"liquidityNum":23221.33008,"endDateIso":"2026-10-04","startDateIso":"2026-02-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["98279737312722721984464036473219944696451907001028596656918791113590571774639","45585873794901662369450370420845277891361850736411421687270432964410373480557"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99783.38907500004,"liquidityClob":23221.33008,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42600","negRiskRequestID":"0xe0a6f305a05629daf6c653c88772259eb5b216aaf8278fe919734757c8d2f145","events":[{"id":"204973","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-02-11T22:45:41.277693Z","creationDate":"2026-02-11T22:47:49.702431Z","endDate":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":415519.42884,"volume":457657.1549170001,"openInterest":49240.208957999996,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-02-11T12:57:35.957183Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9821012055292297,"volume24hr":3211.691232,"volume1wk":10580.20975,"volume1mo":84031.906269,"volume1yr":201331.1670410001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":415519.42884,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42600","commentCount":49,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"countryName":"Brazil","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:37:21.902585Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:32:42.205Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:44:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8079787905567479,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.017,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.004,"bestAsk":0.021,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:40:31.366071Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0125","0.9875"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.3,"noProbability":98.8,"mispricingPct":48.8,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.3%","Mispricing 48.8% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2996326","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 20-26?","conditionId":"0x6b6b903db23d27b80ce805eababb0288d133586e9b1589e630b782094234ef78","slug":"will-bitcoin-reach-78k-july-20-26-2026","endDate":"2026-07-27T04:00:00Z","liquidity":"21504.57552","startDate":"2026-07-20T04:02:39.549066Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final \"High\" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"High\" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on \"1m\" candles selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0035","0.9965"],"volume":"997.4490559999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-20T04:00:01.452814Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ 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price will Bitcoin hit July 20-26?","description":"What price will Bitcoin hit July 20-26?","startDate":"2026-07-20T04:02:39.549066Z","creationDate":"2026-07-20T04:07:16.89579Z","endDate":"2026-07-27T04:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":207880.86702,"volume":99549.42045699999,"openInterest":65090.84882700001,"createdAt":"2026-07-20T04:00:01.245469Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9669075878072954,"volume24hr":87160.726212,"volume1wk":99549.420457,"volume1mo":99549.420457,"volume1yr":99549.420457,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":207880.86702,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10151","ticker":"bitcoin-hit-price-weekly","slug":"bitcoin-hit-price-weekly","title":"Bitcoin Hit Price 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probability 0.4%","Mispricing 49.7% from 50/50","Quality 22/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2981060","question":"Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 21?","conditionId":"0xa058b812c05e8f0322b2c05e575e6540067b97a3c4ab64a0abf5a55ce7baa74a","slug":"highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-july-21-2026-32c","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD","endDate":"2026-07-21T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"5680.36594","startDate":"2026-07-19T04:06:44Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qingdao-64680595db.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qingdao-64680595db.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.9995","0.0005"],"volume":"9957.19629000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-19T04:06:29.798053Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"32°C","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x5bb3f3e7310550c1cb8084828517448c766bc0df28dadd7d7c1d7d289f4a4d09","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9957.19629000001,"liquidityNum":5680.36594,"endDateIso":"2026-07-21","startDateIso":"2026-07-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7452.049739000008,"volume1wk":9957.196290000013,"volume1mo":9957.196290000013,"volume1yr":9957.196290000013,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-20 16:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["9868359461111423756910070741940413676754628039227545789543153333595080108727","17171360037199384913924450013513507222383095511782150133905909968214978329186"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":7452.049739000008,"volume1wkClob":9957.196290000013,"volume1moClob":9957.196290000013,"volume1yrClob":9957.196290000013,"volumeClob":9957.19629000001,"liquidityClob":5680.36594,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5bb3f3e7310550c1cb8084828517448c766bc0df28dadd7d7c1d7d289f4a4d00","negRiskRequestID":"0x1af7a4070c2a2176376d535818b2cb0f5d5ffd63f9ab81b00e287f0182c133cd","events":[{"id":"720255","ticker":"highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-july-21-2026","slug":"highest-temperature-in-qingdao-on-july-21-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 21?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD","startDate":"2026-07-19T04:06:44Z","creationDate":"2026-07-19T04:09:17.074434Z","endDate":"2026-07-21T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qingdao-64680595db.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/qingdao-64680595db.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":206642.26089,"volume":32749.543654000012,"openInterest":17171.095839,"createdAt":"2026-07-19T04:06:21.425649Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8003199679231757,"volume24hr":23701.851801000008,"volume1wk":32749.543654000012,"volume1mo":32749.543654000012,"volume1yr":32749.543654000012,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":206642.26089,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5bb3f3e7310550c1cb8084828517448c766bc0df28dadd7d7c1d7d289f4a4d00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11590","ticker":"qingdao-daily-weather","slug":"qingdao-daily-weather","title":"Qingdao Daily Weather","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-04-27T19:12:28.264369Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":29213.254940000006,"volume":40327.47348900001,"liquidity":298307.63545,"commentCount":51,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-21","startTime":"2026-07-19T04:06:21.328Z","seriesSlug":"qingdao-daily-weather","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-19T04:06:30.080441Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's July 21 high will likely hover near 30–31°C, with marine air from the Yellow Sea moderating daytime heating under typical summer monsoon flow. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover and potential weak frontal passages that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clear skies to push readings toward 32–33°C; urban heat effects and low wind speeds may add localized warmth. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to evolving sea-surface temperatures and upper-level ridging, leaving the 30–31°C outcomes closely contested as new model runs refine boundary-layer moisture and advection patterns ahead of the date.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-19T05:00:13.817Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-19T04:06:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.6845,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-19T04:06:30.084568Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.9995","0.0005"],"signal":{"yesProbability":100,"noProbability":0.1,"mispricingPct":50,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 100%","Mispricing 50% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3010609","question":"Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 23?","conditionId":"0xe9d6f93eabba79eea15f253e95ee58710006d9c921932a8ef02745cf171dcefc","slug":"highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-july-23-2026-34corbelow","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU","endDate":"2026-07-23T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"7769.8501","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:03:42Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chengdu-eab4d03cdb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chengdu-eab4d03cdb.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0135","0.9865"],"volume":"999.2064190000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:03:22.350801Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"34°C or below","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xe1e19b3ac0353d9da617229ad959e5f2d1649b3141952d77f8d66ca518f77c00","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.2064190000001,"liquidityNum":7769.8501,"endDateIso":"2026-07-23","startDateIso":"2026-07-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1004.2064190000001,"volume1wk":1004.2064190000001,"volume1mo":1004.2064190000001,"volume1yr":1004.2064190000001,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-22 16:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["30568018104235406988003377131711941547201510808084549171629128471244623574673","11444377851829254386374163887788542815205896467020780849084755317923889155206"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":1004.2064190000001,"volume1wkClob":1004.2064190000001,"volume1moClob":1004.2064190000001,"volume1yrClob":1004.2064190000001,"volumeClob":999.2064190000001,"liquidityClob":7769.8501,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xe1e19b3ac0353d9da617229ad959e5f2d1649b3141952d77f8d66ca518f77c00","negRiskRequestID":"0x1261c154a7abb99f55925f12d029a20940a47a2e8aea1cdce2388507d7b02083","events":[{"id":"727813","ticker":"highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-july-23-2026","slug":"highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-july-23-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 23?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:03:42Z","creationDate":"2026-07-21T04:05:21.860203Z","endDate":"2026-07-23T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chengdu-eab4d03cdb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/chengdu-eab4d03cdb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":48227.81636,"volume":6433.140498,"openInterest":3407.1534220000003,"createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:03:22.222986Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9476651898884124,"volume24hr":6453.140198,"volume1wk":6453.140198,"volume1mo":6453.140198,"volume1yr":6453.140198,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":48227.81636,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xe1e19b3ac0353d9da617229ad959e5f2d1649b3141952d77f8d66ca518f77c00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11365","ticker":"chengdu-daily-weather","slug":"chengdu-daily-weather","title":"Chengdu Daily Weather","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-19T21:58:02.815609Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":89234.24712100001,"volume":106558.414388,"liquidity":235906.67439,"commentCount":187,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-23","startTime":"2026-07-21T04:03:22.128Z","seriesSlug":"chengdu-daily-weather","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:03:26.252188Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus on the Chengdu July 23 high centers on 38–40 °C because recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show daytime maxima stabilizing in that narrow band under typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions. High humidity, weak steering flow, and urban heat-island effects support strong afternoon heating, while variable cloud cover and possible monsoon moisture intrusions introduce the main uncertainty that keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will update overnight, with the next high-resolution runs expected to clarify whether subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation push the peak toward 39 °C or 40 °C. Historical July climatology for the region places the 90th-percentile daily maximum near 38 °C, underscoring why traders assign meaningful probability across this tight range.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-21T05:00:13.113Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:03:42Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8086151475045429,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.007,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0025,"lastTradePrice":0.024,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.017,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:03:26.301177Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0135","0.9865"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.4,"noProbability":98.7,"mispricingPct":48.7,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":62,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.4%","Mispricing 48.7% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1735263","question":"Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?","conditionId":"0x1031e3a52b03da4c2a9476e35018ef0c64eaf601043e7bfef4f5fe17fb6e4c84","slug":"will-christian-walker-win-the-2026-nl-platinum-glove-award","endDate":"2026-12-19T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"346.19267","startDate":"2026-03-26T22:01:26.824957Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-5ce04351e7.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-5ce04351e7.png","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.011","0.989"],"volume":"998.2099999999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-26T21:53:37.906243Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Christian Walker","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x857616ee3388199cb6d0a16310f5de33ac2254d627fe2206ceabc27e8b224801","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":998.2099999999998,"liquidityNum":346.19267,"endDateIso":"2026-12-19","startDateIso":"2026-03-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["29876580878667691237228817303378207950150859957859623429022957825246640532760","37041435135203043923712543152237424963440260920451279126169152587768106038559"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":998.2099999999998,"liquidityClob":346.19267,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x857616ee3388199cb6d0a16310f5de33ac2254d627fe2206ceabc27e8b224800","negRiskRequestID":"0x503e06f929a2658652e10bd2bef8cbf4d15a47d9e0ed0aeff0582932ee6764b6","events":[{"id":"311457","ticker":"mlb-nl-platinum-glove-winner","slug":"mlb-nl-platinum-glove-winner","title":"MLB: NL Platinum Glove Winner","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-26T22:01:20.752652Z","creationDate":"2026-03-26T22:05:51.201986Z","endDate":"2026-12-19T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-5ce04351e7.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mlb-5ce04351e7.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":9722.40444,"volume":1163028.231125,"openInterest":1345.727716,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-03-26T21:53:36.943657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9071117561683599,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":9722.40444,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x857616ee3388199cb6d0a16310f5de33ac2254d627fe2206ceabc27e8b224800","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-26T21:57:19.864324Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the 2026 NL Platinum Glove market at 43.5% implied probability due to his continued elite center-field play for the Cubs, building on his 2025 Gold Glove win with leading or near-leading Outs Above Average, Defensive Runs Saved, and five-star catch conversion rates through mid-June. Traders view his range, positioning, and consistency in a high-difficulty Wrigley outfield as the clearest path to the overall best-defender honor, which is decided by a combination of fan voting and the SABR Defensive Index among Gold Glove finalists. Nico Hoerner sits second at 12.5% as a strong Cubs infield teammate with prior Gold Glove recognition and solid positioning metrics, while Jared Triolo, Gabriel Moreno, Matt Chapman, and Brice Turang follow as positional standouts with above-average advanced defensive numbers this season. The Cubs’ collective defensive strength has also lifted several teammates in the betting, though individual metrics and historical voting patterns keep the focus on PCA as the frontrunner.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:21:57.519Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-26T22:00:05Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8070236885663306,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0035,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.009,"lastTradePrice":0.006,"bestBid":0.006,"bestAsk":0.016,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-26T21:58:45.457809Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.011","0.989"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.1,"noProbability":98.9,"mispricingPct":48.9,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":62,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.1%","Mispricing 48.9% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2915655","question":"Will Tesla say \"Energy\" during earnings call?","conditionId":"0xd4b32edbe98700f47a290c08840d1d04a0f63beba7b1468a3f5b6c98155d5fb9","slug":"will-tesla-say-energy-during-earnings-call-20260713183304178","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-22T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"482.77112","startDate":"2026-07-14T00:58:27.629483Z","description":"This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.97","0.03"],"volume":"99.65","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-14T00:56:04.921561Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Energy","groupItemThreshold":"13","questionID":"0x3e39efa4406f1b751070e45c1a5413abf6f43d057aab5c8c8c9eb292fa493fea","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.65,"liquidityNum":482.77112,"endDateIso":"2026-07-22","startDateIso":"2026-01-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["51712180959980151311231091102696380567003324532491303597670808976590985056904","29136525160665681046827765705450962669382362827220829169035956074719347589213"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99.65,"liquidityClob":482.77112,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"701009","ticker":"what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260713183304164","slug":"what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260713183304164","title":"What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?","description":"This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be audio of the event.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-14T00:58:16.558982Z","creationDate":"2026-07-14T01:01:03.47238Z","endDate":"2026-07-22T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260713183304164-0ZHIIZvR4mP_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-tesla-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260713183304164-0ZHIIZvR4mP_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":9344.05076,"volume":2456.054209,"openInterest":2083.575954,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-14T00:56:00.830563Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9969841230278408,"volume24hr":254.920063,"volume1wk":573.194789,"volume1mo":648.107409,"volume1yr":648.107409,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":9344.05076,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-22T21:30:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Tesla's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call on July 22 follows record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles—well above analyst expectations—and 13.5 GWh of energy storage deployments. Traders are watching for updates on Full Self-Driving v14 progress, including any integration of robotaxi-specific improvements, regulatory timelines for unsupervised operation, and Cybercab production start. Attention also centers on Optimus humanoid robot milestones, such as Gen 3 manufacturing scale-up and commercial customer targets later in 2026. Strong vehicle growth provides a positive backdrop, but commentary on AI hardware investments, gross margins, and 2026 autonomy rollout pace will likely dominate sentiment amid ongoing competition in EVs and self-driving technology.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:00:10.256Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-14T00:57:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8190679007289704,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"941127","conditionId":"0xd4b32edbe98700f47a290c08840d1d04a0f63beba7b1468a3f5b6c98155d5fb9","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-07-17","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.038,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0055,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.245,"lastTradePrice":0.95,"bestBid":0.951,"bestAsk":0.989,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-14T00:56:25.845793Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"mentions_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.97","0.03"],"signal":{"yesProbability":97,"noProbability":3,"mispricingPct":47,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":60,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 97%","Mispricing 47% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2106193","question":"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?","conditionId":"0x2d9ffab1a53bf58c0c6395b83d3fbdbeee89af9fc2c048e33c7cdc960086ac1c","slug":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"16483.7136","startDate":"2026-04-28T20:21:37.852Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.045","0.955"],"volume":"99797.2904119999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-28T14:36:54.276997Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x53d15c76e888904e6ea9072fac446767655bccc5b80a47df0821713ebcf3702e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99797.2904119999,"liquidityNum":16483.7136,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":38.684285,"volume1mo":1256.705406,"volume1yr":99797.29041199999,"clobTokenIds":["10758490048299627223884174468030972063023010298182969009186510661987414818490","79511288995111009605193688033869924358122905241995756429255377513755310904450"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":20,"volume1wkClob":38.684285,"volume1moClob":1256.705406,"volume1yrClob":99797.29041199999,"volumeClob":99797.2904119999,"liquidityClob":16483.7136,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"427746","ticker":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","slug":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","title":"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-28T20:21:37.852Z","creationDate":"2026-04-28T20:24:13.07221Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":16483.7136,"volume":99797.2904119999,"openInterest":5028.604111,"createdAt":"2026-04-28T14:36:54.060532Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8284832542822228,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":38.684285,"volume1mo":1256.705406,"volume1yr":99797.29041199999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":16483.7136,"commentCount":1,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:41.646Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-28T20:20:34Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8284832542822228,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.05,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.04,"bestAsk":0.05,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-28T19:54:39.94701Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.045","0.955"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.5,"noProbability":95.5,"mispricingPct":45.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":59,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.5%","Mispricing 45.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2364953","question":"Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?","conditionId":"0x46a8b55c8c9491f12133f9612615e256062754dba0170619f654ba6e6dbb3ee1","slug":"will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-russia-991","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"20375.618","startDate":"2026-05-26T22:50:58.621325Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-russia-NdMvd99CRtlS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-in-russia-NdMvd99CRtlS.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.044","0.956"],"volume":"9943.461708","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-26T21:16:17.416264Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Russia","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x60840607f1f408f7b14dc9b95f1b43582e77b7b8400fc901f9471ad8aba3b804","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9943.461708,"liquidityNum":20375.618,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-05-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":596.5699999999999,"volume1wk":596.5699999999999,"volume1mo":5909.043561999999,"volume1yr":9943.461707999999,"clobTokenIds":["65355803544986772306259703642888907873620479260866954644363685018735834578056","1604272435261010011996168911637521095219055920617558512162271704419198293220"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":596.5699999999999,"volume1wkClob":596.5699999999999,"volume1moClob":5909.043561999999,"volume1yrClob":9943.461707999999,"volumeClob":9943.461708,"liquidityClob":20375.618,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x60840607f1f408f7b14dc9b95f1b43582e77b7b8400fc901f9471ad8aba3b800","negRiskRequestID":"0x411d6337a0d40fcef130564d2de2bd6da751e332a82c65518b52f4637e5c9180","events":[{"id":"528389","ticker":"where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678","slug":"where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678","title":"Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-05-26T22:50:37.503067Z","creationDate":"2026-05-26T23:05:36.161498Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-the-next-meeting-between-trump-and-putin-take-plce-ksaAP8PAZSZb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/where-will-the-next-meeting-between-trump-and-putin-take-plce-ksaAP8PAZSZb.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":258916.48686,"volume":157121.830771,"openInterest":24395.513365,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-05-26T21:16:15.585188Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9651578033008397,"volume24hr":2547.709291,"volume1wk":4735.869332,"volume1mo":46399.823887000006,"volume1yr":95476.71847300002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":258916.48686,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x60840607f1f408f7b14dc9b95f1b43582e77b7b8400fc901f9471ad8aba3b800","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11804","ticker":"trump-putin-meet-where","slug":"trump-putin-meet-where","title":"Trump-Putin Meet where","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-05-26T21:19:22.51041Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":2547.709291,"volume":157121.830771,"liquidity":258916.48686,"commentCount":40,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"trump-putin-meet-where","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-26T22:38:48.195647Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent phone diplomacy between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, including an hour-long call days before the June 2026 G7 summit, has reinforced trader emphasis on indirect engagement over an in-person bilateral. European leaders at the G7 urged Trump to host Ukraine-related talks, yet Putin has not committed to attendance or a U.S. venue, while focusing instead on hosting an ASEAN summit in Kazan. Deepening Russia-China energy and strategic ties, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit with Xi Jinping, support China as the next-most-favored location. Broader uncertainties around Ukraine negotiations, sanctions dynamics, and competing regional summits keep the probability of no meeting by year-end highest, with other sites remaining low-odds options absent new diplomatic breakthroughs.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-17T23:32:12.476Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-05-26T22:49:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8278584295856733,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"401355","conditionId":"0x46a8b55c8c9491f12133f9612615e256062754dba0170619f654ba6e6dbb3ee1","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0125,"oneHourPriceChange":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0095,"lastTradePrice":0.048,"bestBid":0.039,"bestAsk":0.049,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-05-26T22:45:54.187562Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.044","0.956"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.4,"noProbability":95.6,"mispricingPct":45.6,"qualityScore":22,"confidence":59,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.4%","Mispricing 45.6% from 50/50","Quality 22/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2600212","question":"Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B?","conditionId":"0x2c002ee4eaeaef04499c546a1f0aa2787ed3a85d7935bd47966c9384d86ed25e","slug":"will-blackrock-blk-q2-quarterly-total-net-inflows-be-above-225b-20260618011532653","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-21T07:00:00Z","liquidity":"19.6949","startDate":"2026-06-18T22:48:10.130321Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if BlackRock's quarterly total net inflows for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is BlackRock's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.045","0.955"],"volume":"9.98946","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-18T22:43:31.079145Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$225B","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0x68f9b3c6e4d994687e9aa51411b74c8922c6013f6c74a0a4666071a06b2e0533","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9.98946,"liquidityNum":19.6949,"endDateIso":"2026-07-21","startDateIso":"2026-06-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9.98946,"volume1wk":9.98946,"volume1mo":9.98946,"volume1yr":9.98946,"clobTokenIds":["32320582967466493332992994858482258890994609335498873933086524161917702923669","82305373001019802562242978758375079107339553536301494358888403628873092455711"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":9.98946,"volume1wkClob":9.98946,"volume1moClob":9.98946,"volume1yrClob":9.98946,"volumeClob":9.98946,"liquidityClob":19.6949,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"609921","ticker":"will-blackrock-blk-q2-quarterly-total-net-inflows-be-above-__-20260618011520285","slug":"will-blackrock-blk-q2-quarterly-total-net-inflows-be-above-__-20260618011520285","title":"Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above __?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if BlackRock's quarterly total net inflows for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is BlackRock's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-18T22:45:43.337172Z","creationDate":"2026-06-18T22:49:49.94075Z","endDate":"2026-07-21T07:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-blackrock-blk-q2-quarterly-total-net-inflows-be-above-__-20260618011520285-jXCch88SgqgD.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-blackrock-blk-q2-quarterly-total-net-inflows-be-above-__-20260618011520285-jXCch88SgqgD.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":62.85505,"volume":522.302924,"openInterest":229.46543000000003,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-06-18T22:43:30.063501Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8418059346897493,"volume24hr":9.98946,"volume1wk":9.98946,"volume1mo":9.98946,"volume1yr":9.98946,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":62.85505,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"BlackRock's Q2 2026 net inflows will reflect ongoing ETF demand amid AI-driven equity strength and broader market volatility. Strong Q1 results of $130 billion in total inflows, led by record iShares ETF activity across bond, precision, and core equity categories, set a high bar, though May ETP flows showed equity momentum cooling to $106 billion globally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weighed on risk appetite. Positive U.S. and tech sector inflows persisted, supported by earnings growth expectations, while crypto products like IBIT saw mixed early-June trends. Traders watch upcoming June flow data and the mid-July earnings release for resolution, with sustained institutional and retail interest in thematic and fixed-income ETFs providing the main tailwinds against potential macro or geopolitical headwinds.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T23:00:10.305Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-18T22:47:22Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8284832542822228,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.07,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.04,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.48,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.08,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-18T22:43:41.035941Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.045","0.955"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.5,"noProbability":95.5,"mispricingPct":45.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":58,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.5%","Mispricing 45.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1486023","question":"Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?","conditionId":"0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","slug":"probable-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch","endDate":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"5489.44018","startDate":"2026-03-02T19:44:08.822526Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.042","0.958"],"volume":"995.4535209999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-02T19:41:07.850646Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$1B","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7503797cd53ff9c229622ef572821fba87eb4f1fab27117bac26b3ccaa55639c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":995.4535209999999,"liquidityNum":5489.44018,"endDateIso":"2028-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-03-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":45.19,"volume1wk":600.38,"volume1mo":787.5600000000001,"volume1yr":995.4535209999999,"clobTokenIds":["60802353235471215381016174038180906172291905105657838645528539602114698740702","115524306667887202571951232985173678153073216511068044949825205429802787787248"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":45.19,"volume1wkClob":600.38,"volume1moClob":787.5600000000001,"volume1yrClob":995.4535209999999,"volumeClob":995.4535209999999,"liquidityClob":5489.44018,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"242022","ticker":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-02T19:44:04.603716Z","creationDate":"2026-03-02T19:46:00.79928Z","endDate":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-J--StUs0-r37.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":55655.52913,"volume":135161.56613800008,"openInterest":20181.74858500001,"createdAt":"2026-03-02T19:41:02.561819Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9833808634083981,"volume24hr":2059.85,"volume1wk":5121.849999999999,"volume1mo":15333.498439,"volume1yr":117505.187665,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":55655.52913,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":9,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-02T19:43:03Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8266075036122748,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"626373","conditionId":"0x6a85bc92e7a8fa5bc58dce15a419c06aa075b924f186207d5d8726642a8b9a46","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-06-24","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.042,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.013,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.027,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.021,"bestAsk":0.063,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-02T19:41:44.98803Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"clobPrices":["0.042","0.958"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.2,"noProbability":95.8,"mispricingPct":45.8,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":58,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.2%","Mispricing 45.8% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1973886","question":"Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?","conditionId":"0x522547f7af142414c653319b99e60ec95f389aa1be891f7fc04e63ffc32e6edb","slug":"will-cameron-young-win-the-2026-tour-championship-998","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"1045.2779","startDate":"2026-04-13T20:52:59.264892Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pga-tour-championship-winner-314-CBFaRRLQSRXS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pga-tour-championship-winner-314-CBFaRRLQSRXS.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.\n\nIf a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.054","0.946"],"volume":"997.5368179999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-13T20:40:35.191657Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Cameron Young","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x311bd6464cd8eebf8e88f6ccea0b32ac50d53c06b5e0d1cf0808298fc475fa00","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":997.5368179999999,"liquidityNum":1045.2779,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-13","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":122.471909,"volume1wk":122.471909,"volume1mo":147.51211,"volume1yr":997.5368179999999,"clobTokenIds":["9490568355736967519575748984869380646993631361312637404605508268354249498891","97216424514200778744008956804219276175466594884658658836597403790073951620222"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":122.471909,"volume1wkClob":122.471909,"volume1moClob":147.51211,"volume1yrClob":997.5368179999999,"volumeClob":997.5368179999999,"liquidityClob":1045.2779,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x311bd6464cd8eebf8e88f6ccea0b32ac50d53c06b5e0d1cf0808298fc475fa00","negRiskRequestID":"0xaea0550f7c58b0f38ae616779bd95949307e0df90abd87eb5e3b05a6aa238ff8","events":[{"id":"376117","ticker":"fedex-cup-playoffs-winner","slug":"fedex-cup-playoffs-winner","title":"FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.\n\nIf a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-13T20:52:59.264892Z","creationDate":"2026-04-13T21:05:44.333786Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pga-tour-championship-winner-314-CBFaRRLQSRXS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pga-tour-championship-winner-314-CBFaRRLQSRXS.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":38280.93023,"volume":2592095.058024,"openInterest":11061.41172,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-04-13T20:40:34.787346Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9148921570869833,"volume24hr":400.060189,"volume1wk":1051.4321889999999,"volume1mo":5092.502966,"volume1yr":105590.02050000001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":38280.93023,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x311bd6464cd8eebf8e88f6ccea0b32ac50d53c06b5e0d1cf0808298fc475fa00","commentCount":5,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-13T20:49:01.153782Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Tommy Fleetwood leads the FedEx Cup Playoffs winner market at 47.3% implied probability thanks to his consistent 2026 form, including multiple top-10 finishes and strong scrambling stats that have kept him inside the top 10 in standings despite fewer wins than Matt Fitzpatrick. Scottie Scheffler sits at 21.5% on the strength of his scoring average and seven top-10s, though he trails Fitzpatrick by just six points after the RBC Canadian Open. Cameron Young (6.5%) benefits from two victories and solid positioning for the August playoffs at TPC Southwind, BMW Championship, and East Lake. Recent momentum from Signature Events and the U.S. Open window has reinforced trader consensus around these players' playoff paths, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in form, points accumulation, and historical postseason resilience over the next eight weeks.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:06:42.644Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-13T20:51:39Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8340867917352008,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.068,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0555,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.026,"lastTradePrice":0.082,"bestBid":0.02,"bestAsk":0.088,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-13T20:50:27.00596Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.054","0.946"],"signal":{"yesProbability":5.4,"noProbability":94.6,"mispricingPct":44.6,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":57,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 5.4%","Mispricing 44.6% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2948935","question":"Exact Score: SK Iberia 1999 1 - 2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?","conditionId":"0xfba5068c457a28ccf47e8e2ef1777c05b763cb28bbad504bc5420695742a81ae","slug":"ucl-sab-sba-2026-07-21-exact-score-1-2","endDate":"2026-07-21T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"82919.3912","startDate":"2026-07-16T18:06:18Z","description":"In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between SK Iberia 1999 and ŠK Slovan Bratislava, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. 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If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. 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Strong vehicle growth provides a positive backdrop, but commentary on AI hardware investments, gross margins, and 2026 autonomy rollout pace will likely dominate sentiment amid ongoing competition in EVs and self-driving technology.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-14T01:00:10.256Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-14T00:57:29Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8439530762089628,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"892394","conditionId":"0x464ed4e9f402e1a4d47e8db231d8752e2b3a9b6c962e8d9ebb54124de2b82c7e","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":40,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.04,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.205,"lastTradePrice":0.91,"bestBid":0.91,"bestAsk":0.95,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-14T00:56:25.824363Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"mentions_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.93","0.07"],"signal":{"yesProbability":93,"noProbability":7,"mispricingPct":43,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":55,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 93%","Mispricing 43% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2520285","question":"Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?","conditionId":"0x289c1823ed88a95d06330388d45ecc15997e942d273ab78aa91641fb58a81034","slug":"will-the-carolina-hurricanes-be-named-the-2026-27-nhl-stanley-cup-champion-20260612185657077","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"118668.217","startDate":"2026-06-12T19:45:37.52399Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. 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Colorado Avalanche sit close behind following a strong regular-season showing that earned the Presidents' Trophy, while 2026 finalists Vegas Golden Knights and contenders like the Edmonton Oilers, Tampa Bay Lightning, and Florida Panthers remain tightly grouped due to established cores, goaltending stability, and recent postseason experience. The wide distribution across more than 30 teams reflects a deep league where offseason moves, draft additions, and injury recoveries can quickly shift implied probabilities in this long-term futures market.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:21:20.724Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-12T19:44:36Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.865033195648883,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"660831","conditionId":"0x289c1823ed88a95d06330388d45ecc15997e942d273ab78aa91641fb58a81034","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":23,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.1,"bestAsk":0.11,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-12T19:33:36.268452Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.105","0.895"],"signal":{"yesProbability":10.5,"noProbability":89.5,"mispricingPct":39.5,"qualityScore":29,"confidence":55,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 10.5%","Mispricing 39.5% from 50/50","Quality 29/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2874986","question":"Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?","conditionId":"0x6dc21e98010e50c786659945ae6a22f22ad852873972a8a4b776dab3902430ab","slug":"will-the-next-google-gemini-pro-model-be-released-by-july-29-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-29T16:00:00Z","liquidity":"114.5582","startDate":"2026-07-10T22:21:10.794806Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.085","0.915"],"volume":"999.9505269999997","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-10T22:17:13.853597Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"July 29","groupItemThreshold":"11","questionID":"0x2f7f7096bcd6444812c1f047d53e06d77263524da2ae2a9312e3f013295c4094","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.9505269999997,"liquidityNum":114.5582,"endDateIso":"2026-07-29","startDateIso":"2026-07-10","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["71062767620603017016963228301278360791423313061716076409359577603631031433339","91240549676611322410114859872165523922812926134604354136341989044405683569937"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.9505269999997,"liquidityClob":114.5582,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"549546","slug":"next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-byptptpt","title":"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-01T22:56:44.54Z","creationDate":"2026-06-01T23:06:47.511718Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":21477.92693,"volume":248929.98094400004,"openInterest":45293.142575,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-06-01T22:54:24.59028Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:14.233048Z","competitive":0.9999750006249843,"volume24hr":10105.547754,"volume1wk":28169.601067,"volume1mo":86724.399696,"volume1yr":95247.21479800002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":21477.92693,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":8,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Google's May 2026 I/O keynote set the dominant driver for current odds by confirming the Gemini 3.5 Pro launch would follow the already-shipped 3.5 Flash variant within one month. As of mid-June the Pro model remains in internal testing with no new official timeline or changelog entry, prompting traders to weigh Google's typical preview-to-general-availability cadence against the explicit \"next month\" commitment. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's stronger enterprise momentum and benchmark leadership adds urgency for Google to deliver soon, while any API deprecation notices or developer conference updates could shift sentiment before month-end resolution windows.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:20:00.238Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-10T22:20:22Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8530785472072341,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"866393","conditionId":"0x6dc21e98010e50c786659945ae6a22f22ad852873972a8a4b776dab3902430ab","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-07-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.07,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.225,"lastTradePrice":0.11,"bestBid":0.05,"bestAsk":0.12,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-10T22:19:19.9367Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.085","0.915"],"signal":{"yesProbability":8.5,"noProbability":91.5,"mispricingPct":41.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 8.5%","Mispricing 41.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2875114","question":"Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xc944450eed968da79c8fb88b54d17c5b5b6fc593d8a7278107f44f533f092426","slug":"will-the-ornn-h200-index-hit-2pt50-low-by-december-31-2026-20260709171105513","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"36.8771","startDate":"2026-07-10T22:36:07.352911Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nRevisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0825","0.9175"],"volume":"99.78999999999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-10T22:33:48.160473Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↓ $2.50","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x8f909ca5fe6f5e619744870f7e8ede39c6e42d21622ed3fbb08587e2ee857317","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.78999999999999,"liquidityNum":36.8771,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-10","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["63162609578527330373655243951748838435077584979997639832662124852159478549821","18155187416499451450700104066706582694168204586812284914631320032203412450047"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99.78999999999999,"liquidityClob":36.8771,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"689475","ticker":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","slug":"gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-in-2026-20260709171105503","title":"GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.\n\nRevisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-10T22:35:51.531515Z","creationDate":"2026-07-10T22:38:26.475155Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gpu-rental-prices-h200-hit-by-may-31-YgHgMn6ZAJu-.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":495.02223,"volume":5214.617804,"openInterest":948.662259,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-10T22:33:45.81016Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8515666164597182,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":495.02223,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11550","ticker":"h200-rental-price","slug":"h200-rental-price","title":"H200 Rental Price","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-04-21T20:53:44.660526Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":1594.691358,"volume":40099.27305899999,"liquidity":41203.10444,"commentCount":7,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"h200-rental-price","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**H200 GPU rental prices in 2026 reflect a dynamic balance between rising Hopper supply, Blackwell displacement, and sustained AI demand.** Increased H200 production and inventory from vendors like Dell and Supermicro have eased shortages, contributing to spot and marketplace rate volatility—recent reports show drops of up to 38% in some periods amid B200 ramp-up, while long-term contract indices have risen sharply in others. Hyperscalers charge $4–10+/hr on-demand, but decentralized platforms list $2–4/hr, with spot rates dipping below $2 in competitive segments. Key drivers include TSMC CoWoS and HBM3e bottlenecks limiting overall capacity, strong Chinese demand, and the shift toward higher-memory Blackwell systems for new workloads. Traders monitor NVIDIA production updates, cloud provider pricing changes, and AI capex trends for resolution signals.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-10T23:00:15.303Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-10T22:35:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8515666164597182,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"862953","conditionId":"0xc944450eed968da79c8fb88b54d17c5b5b6fc593d8a7278107f44f533f092426","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-07-12","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.081,"oneHourPriceChange":0.007,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestBid":0.042,"bestAsk":0.123,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-10T22:34:00.423798Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0825","0.9175"],"signal":{"yesProbability":8.3,"noProbability":91.8,"mispricingPct":41.8,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 8.3%","Mispricing 41.8% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"693519","question":"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","conditionId":"0xec4e5a2666b14fedded928dc4dcd6b5f2d38cc1eba91755b8aa6de1fabd42a2f","slug":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"22021.9471","startDate":"2025-11-20T23:16:46.463159Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nA qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces. This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size). Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.\n\nOther limits on Ukrainian military powers, such as the relinquishment of long-range weapons or limits on other categories of armaments or military capabilities, that do not constrain the total number of personnel in Ukraine’s armed forces, will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not yet finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been made will also qualify.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.095","0.905"],"volume":"99771.97452700004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-20T18:15:42.722309Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x08c3f9e96be2a19ebb1abf9d761877a60acf7d10f6113b06a900111a7c3a5ec6","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99771.97452700004,"liquidityNum":22021.9471,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":796.34,"volume1wk":1440.407362,"volume1mo":3479.737299999999,"volume1yr":99771.97452699987,"clobTokenIds":["43392476522336036001655872886581979667255669681674361456457698681783081940686","44948287872840569452368087440787385431227517937665754899112687310008762849448"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":796.34,"volume1wkClob":1440.407362,"volume1moClob":3479.737299999999,"volume1yrClob":99771.97452699987,"volumeClob":99771.97452700004,"liquidityClob":22021.9471,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"86333","ticker":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","slug":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","title":"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nA qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces. This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size). Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.\n\nOther limits on Ukrainian military powers, such as the relinquishment of long-range weapons or limits on other categories of armaments or military capabilities, that do not constrain the total number of personnel in Ukraine’s armed forces, will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not yet finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been made will also qualify.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-20T23:16:46.463159Z","creationDate":"2025-11-20T23:26:23.257505Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":22207.7489,"volume":99771.97452700004,"openInterest":24181.914213,"createdAt":"2025-11-20T18:15:41.708408Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8590880780051975,"volume24hr":796.34,"volume1wk":1440.407362,"volume1mo":3479.737299999999,"volume1yr":99771.97452699987,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":22207.7489,"commentCount":16,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ukraine’s consistent rejection of any caps on armed forces personnel continues to anchor trader expectations against an agreement before 2027. Kyiv has framed such limits as unacceptable while hostilities persist, prioritizing military expansion and reforms—including new fixed-term contracts, higher combat pay, and phased demobilization starting late 2026—to address manpower shortages rather than constrain readiness. US-mediated talks remain stalled with no progress on troop ceilings, as noted by officials in May, despite earlier proposals around 600,000–800,000 personnel that Ukraine has not endorsed. Russia’s persistent demilitarization demands and recent diplomatic pauses further reduce prospects for binding commitments, leaving the implied 85% probability for “No” aligned with the absence of active negotiations or policy shifts favoring restrictions.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-17T23:46:54.610Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-20T23:16:25Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-20T23:10:28.790253Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.095","0.905"],"signal":{"yesProbability":9.5,"noProbability":90.5,"mispricingPct":40.5,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 9.5%","Mispricing 40.5% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2774682","question":"Will Quinten Hermans finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?","conditionId":"0xb9865a426da6afd9e084aedd16d68cd2498029026065fa4ff47fc48014f52b0a","slug":"will-quinten-hermans-finish-top-3-in-the-2026-tour-de-france-20260702210405621","resolutionSource":"https://www.uci.org","endDate":"2026-08-09T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"42.542","startDate":"2026-07-02T22:13:48.73Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542-6sK-5mMTrRm9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tour-de-france-2026-margin-of-victory-20260629213153542-6sK-5mMTrRm9.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed cyclist finishes in the top 3 of the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no declared top 3 finishers declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; 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If Nashville SC score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Under\". This market is based solely on Nashville SC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.","outcomes":["Over","Under"],"outcomePrices":["0.895","0.105"],"volume":"99.49815100000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T17:00:59.593889Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Nashville SC O/U 0.5","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x3023f5974c37fc9f205cd82f96abfe8e1e65aca2d01ac1fe4cb78bdc30c4814a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.49815100000001,"liquidityNum":973.5454,"endDateIso":"2026-07-23","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":5.41,"volume1wk":99.49815100000001,"volume1mo":99.49815100000001,"volume1yr":99.49815100000001,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-23 00:30:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["3331373290434521103857311650213897924378703400769745856378703512491725438715","30339500469338127488635816032162167022161534593808961116677626554209243537540"],"positionIds":["656484695180037685702070184953664404844682563115999128474591616637507469312","656484695180037685702070184953664404844682563115999128474591616637507469313"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":5.41,"volume1wkClob":99.49815100000001,"volume1moClob":99.49815100000001,"volume1yrClob":99.49815100000001,"volumeClob":99.49815100000001,"liquidityClob":973.5454,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"684985","ticker":"mls-nas-mim-2026-07-22-more-markets","slug":"mls-nas-mim-2026-07-22-more-markets","title":"Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal - More Markets","description":"More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 8:30 PM ET.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores","startDate":"2026-07-09T17:01:35Z","creationDate":"2026-07-09T17:02:32.521394Z","endDate":"2026-07-23T00:30:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":138895.07871,"volume":2765.9560720000004,"openInterest":2547.6992710000004,"createdAt":"2026-07-09T17:00:56.503542Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.998402555910543,"volume24hr":1869.317232,"volume1wk":2741.844962,"volume1mo":2741.844962,"volume1yr":2741.844962,"parentEventId":684721,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":138895.07871,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10189","ticker":"mls-2025","slug":"mls-2025","title":"MLS 2025","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-08-08T14:56:42.97589Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":65459.875396,"volume":481654.88164599985,"liquidity":6478157.18304,"commentCount":93,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-23T00:30:00Z","seriesSlug":"mls-2025","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":90104319,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Nashville SC enters the July 22 MLS matchup at GEODIS Park as the Eastern Conference leader with a 10-1-3 record and +20 goal difference through 14 games, driven by strong home form and contributions from forwards like Sam Surridge and Hany Mukhtar. CF Montréal sits 11th with a 4-2-8 mark and negative goal difference, reflecting inconsistent results and limited away success. Recent Nashville results include victories over New York City FC and LAFC alongside a draw with D.C. United, while Montréal has alternated draws and losses. Roster depth, home advantage, and current table positioning shape trader consensus around a Nashville-favored outcome, though individual player availability and match-day conditions remain variables that could influence scoring or clean-sheet probabilities.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-09T18:00:14.317Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260723E7747B1C","opticOddsGameId":"30828-35087-2026-07-22","opticOddsNumericalId":568008}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T17:01:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.865033195648883,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.89,"bestBid":0.89,"bestAsk":0.9,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"soccer_team_totals","line":0.5,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T17:01:04.377352Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"20260723E7747B1C","opticOddsMarketId":"team_total","opticOddsMarketName":"Team Total","opticOddsPoints":0.5,"opticOddsSelection":"Nashville SC Over 0.5","opticOddsSelectionLine":"over","opticOddsTeamId":"EB0D46B8A9C6"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.895","0.105"],"signal":{"yesProbability":89.5,"noProbability":10.5,"mispricingPct":39.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":51,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 89.5%","Mispricing 39.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3009128","question":"Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 22?","conditionId":"0xe28969b88148e0f7703ebe51f9982a2ef340c9e4f350a7820c9041f65bfa8c01","slug":"highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-july-22-2026-70-71f","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO","endDate":"2026-07-22T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"2345.28997","startDate":"2026-07-21T01:03:24Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.126","0.874"],"volume":"995.4174170000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-21T01:03:08.172859Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"70-71°F","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x297a06963e684c3d715194286f0a81940cd1d4a68c4a7fffea32a78e881cb903","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":995.4174170000001,"liquidityNum":2345.28997,"endDateIso":"2026-07-22","startDateIso":"2026-07-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":995.417417,"volume1wk":995.417417,"volume1mo":995.417417,"volume1yr":995.417417,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-22 07:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["58687260696982076124068107242265446883785612806927333963625232062336514591893","37820524584189287747339290146915871941328798201133141226666713236685259316208"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":995.417417,"volume1wkClob":995.417417,"volume1moClob":995.417417,"volume1yrClob":995.417417,"volumeClob":995.4174170000001,"liquidityClob":2345.28997,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x297a06963e684c3d715194286f0a81940cd1d4a68c4a7fffea32a78e881cb900","negRiskRequestID":"0xb79c01a0387d12c1fe7fae59a2a5b4cf281c0c304ab6fd7a7ed01773b1241077","events":[{"id":"727283","ticker":"highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-july-22-2026","slug":"highest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-july-22-2026","title":"Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO","startDate":"2026-07-21T01:03:24Z","creationDate":"2026-07-21T01:05:38.537704Z","endDate":"2026-07-22T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":46545.42994,"volume":11365.583660000002,"openInterest":4190.011809,"createdAt":"2026-07-21T01:03:07.678345Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9821012055292297,"volume24hr":11365.58366,"volume1wk":11365.58366,"volume1mo":11365.58366,"volume1yr":11365.58366,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":46545.42994,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x297a06963e684c3d715194286f0a81940cd1d4a68c4a7fffea32a78e881cb900","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11371","ticker":"san-francisco-daily-weather","slug":"san-francisco-daily-weather","title":"San Francisco Daily Weather","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-20T00:15:02.545197Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":96224.80088600004,"volume":53771.47310600021,"liquidity":72960.761,"commentCount":41,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-22","startTime":"2026-07-21T01:03:07.579Z","seriesSlug":"san-francisco-daily-weather","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:09.426293Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Current forecast models for San Francisco on July 22 favor a moderate marine layer with onshore flow from the cold California Current, limiting daytime heating and supporting highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s. This pattern produces a strong temperature inversion that caps mixing and sustains coastal stratus or fog into the afternoon at many stations, while slight variations in layer depth, wind strength, or high-cloud cover can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Trader consensus around 74–75°F reflects typical July climatology near official sites like SFO, where historical averages hover near 68–72°F but occasional marine-layer retreat allows brief warming; model spread and measurement criteria create the tight distribution across adjacent bins.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-21T02:00:17.229Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:24Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8772884068091616,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"980598","conditionId":"0xe28969b88148e0f7703ebe51f9982a2ef340c9e4f350a7820c9041f65bfa8c01","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":16,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.142,"oneHourPriceChange":0.052,"lastTradePrice":0.201,"bestBid":0.055,"bestAsk":0.197,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T01:03:09.430639Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.1205","0.8795"],"signal":{"yesProbability":12.1,"noProbability":88,"mispricingPct":38,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":50,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 12.1%","Mispricing 38% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1686667","question":"Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?","conditionId":"0x00b5fdb186f9b48f34a77c9e04207c39221cdd106c1611d7ae362b8b85b200fb","slug":"will-billie-eilish-release-an-album-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"259.0858","startDate":"2026-03-22T23:15:54.740614Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026-0U1xTjC59Y_r.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026-0U1xTjC59Y_r.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date.\n\nAlbum releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.13","0.87"],"volume":"99.50712399999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-22T23:03:46.53079Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Billie Eilish","groupItemThreshold":"17","questionID":"0xef2b5e4c03a9b9082e629d7559627580bf9591dafd0fb08000ea992200613440","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.50712399999999,"liquidityNum":259.0858,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-03-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["97902187266708275124968786848313996666723743398310626704986905213950166578753","37337412176879993200686939015863130301967058703056881167780238358785990454597"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99.50712399999999,"liquidityClob":259.0858,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"121853","ticker":"which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026","slug":"which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026","title":"Which artists will release new albums in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOfficially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.\n\nRe-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.\n\nThe resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-12-24T20:56:49.991Z","creationDate":"2025-12-24T20:58:49.173812Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026-0U1xTjC59Y_r.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026-0U1xTjC59Y_r.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":8679.7584,"volume":217527.697233,"openInterest":6002.018238,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-12-24T20:53:34.212114Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9964129135113591,"volume24hr":2.222221,"volume1wk":16195.011109,"volume1mo":25259.598651999997,"volume1yr":26146.797008999994,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":8679.7584,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10843","ticker":"new-album","slug":"new-album","title":"new album","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-01-05T15:05:56.341637Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":2.222221,"volume":217527.697233,"liquidity":8679.7584,"commentCount":264,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"new-album","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Major artists including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Olivia Rodrigo, The Strokes, and BLACKPINK have confirmed or already delivered 2026 projects, with several slated for July and beyond. Mid-year momentum stems from steady announcement cycles, surprise drops like Future’s recent reveal, and established release patterns where pop, hip-hop, and rock acts target summer or holiday windows for maximum streaming and chart impact. Traders watch for official statements, label schedules, and any delays amid competitive release slates, as confirmed dates and precursor buzz strongly shape implied probabilities for remaining artists.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:18.609Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-22T23:14:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8795848359574281,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.16,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.035,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.075,"lastTradePrice":0.19,"bestBid":0.05,"bestAsk":0.21,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-22T23:13:28.860601Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.13","0.87"],"signal":{"yesProbability":13,"noProbability":87,"mispricingPct":37,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":49,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 13%","Mispricing 37% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3004760","question":"TownSquare FDV above $400M one day after launch?","conditionId":"0xf19e5c58c59c79bd128742ca7690e34f75cc1928c82c39ce61dbb274ed06cd1b","slug":"townsquare-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919478","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"228.084","startDate":"2026-07-20T19:23:33.826825Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of TownSquare's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by TownSquare after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If TownSquare (https://x.com/TownSquarexyz) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.135","0.865"],"volume":"99.6","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-20T19:21:11.718812Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$400M","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0x4d55cb844b3d62b0b19dc86b75f17056d0f3f79a7eee67c293049cf4841aa20c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.6,"liquidityNum":228.084,"endDateIso":"2028-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":99.6,"volume1wk":99.6,"volume1mo":99.6,"volume1yr":99.6,"clobTokenIds":["1097461398982225991685682966031955158242687494606472751500155115146683070682","100778115853140685837383918486627738288275122259370641765808937263828168277489"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":99.6,"volume1wkClob":99.6,"volume1moClob":99.6,"volume1yrClob":99.6,"volumeClob":99.6,"liquidityClob":228.084,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"726392","ticker":"townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468","slug":"townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468","title":"TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of TownSquare's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly an official token launched by TownSquare after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If TownSquare (https://x.com/TownSquarexyz) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-20T19:23:33.826825Z","creationDate":"2026-07-20T19:25:19.898028Z","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468-LycjBCMMGG5R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468-LycjBCMMGG5R.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4579.3722,"volume":1225.181341,"openInterest":511.672769,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-20T19:21:09.563871Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9997750506136119,"volume24hr":1225.181341,"volume1wk":1225.181341,"volume1mo":1225.181341,"volume1yr":1225.181341,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4579.3722,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-20T19:22:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8824372917999515,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"974197","conditionId":"0xf19e5c58c59c79bd128742ca7690e34f75cc1928c82c39ce61dbb274ed06cd1b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.15,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.14,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-20T19:21:39.709242Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"clobPrices":["0.135","0.865"],"signal":{"yesProbability":13.5,"noProbability":86.5,"mispricingPct":36.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":48,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 13.5%","Mispricing 36.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2862496","question":"Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)","conditionId":"0xd810afeca9b05cfe64909473de51a3e911b0aec084c9920358226fb8eeda3363","slug":"mls-phi-nyr-2026-07-22-spread-home-2pt5","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores","endDate":"2026-07-22T23:30:00Z","liquidity":"6874.7197","startDate":"2026-07-09T17:02:11Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","description":"In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Philadelphia Union\" if Philadelphia Union win the game by 3 or more goals.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"New York Red Bulls\".\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. 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Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.","outcomes":["Philadelphia Union","New York Red Bulls"],"outcomePrices":["0.155","0.845"],"volume":"9.987946","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T17:01:40.039027Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Philadelphia Union (-2.5)","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x9080bf8a9151c834a60752bd2d5386e0617f67fbcf0f114fd44136a2e1656585","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9.987946,"liquidityNum":6874.7197,"endDateIso":"2026-07-22","startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":9.987946,"volume1wk":9.987946,"volume1mo":9.987946,"volume1yr":9.987946,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-22 23:30:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["34568576644895714290928303070957431101305482583466662862209546571153417625196","94610899684543314890632813775669387857489456707297973938864069860620713759615"],"positionIds":["483568667346839707254483471316392418395763346269230981759314509278195220480","483568667346839707254483471316392418395763346269230981759314509278195220481"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":9.987946,"volume1wkClob":9.987946,"volume1moClob":9.987946,"volume1yrClob":9.987946,"volumeClob":9.987946,"liquidityClob":6874.7197,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"684991","ticker":"mls-phi-nyr-2026-07-22-more-markets","slug":"mls-phi-nyr-2026-07-22-more-markets","title":"Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets","description":"More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores","startDate":"2026-07-09T17:02:07Z","creationDate":"2026-07-09T17:04:32.553098Z","endDate":"2026-07-22T23:30:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":148313.22095,"volume":3555.067242999999,"openInterest":3027.229354,"createdAt":"2026-07-09T17:01:38.902117Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9957927755234136,"volume24hr":234.439556,"volume1wk":2563.221794999999,"volume1mo":2563.221794999999,"volume1yr":2563.221794999999,"parentEventId":684687,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":148313.22095,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10189","ticker":"mls-2025","slug":"mls-2025","title":"MLS 2025","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-08-08T14:56:42.97589Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":65459.875396,"volume":481654.88164599985,"liquidity":6478157.18304,"commentCount":93,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-22T23:30:00Z","seriesSlug":"mls-2025","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":90104313,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Philadelphia Union host New York Red Bulls on July 22 at Subaru Park in an Eastern Conference MLS matchup. Union sit near the bottom of the standings after a difficult 2026 campaign marked by limited wins and defensive vulnerabilities. Red Bulls hold a stronger mid-table position with more consistent results across recent fixtures. The home side benefits from familiar surroundings and rest advantages typical in midweek scheduling, while historical head-to-head patterns in the rivalry often feature tight, low-scoring contests. Roster availability, including any confirmed injury updates from official reports, and current form trends will shape trader views on implied probabilities for outcomes like match winner or total goals.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-09T18:00:15.501Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"2026072210C6FAB9","opticOddsGameId":"25622-23140-2026-07-22","opticOddsNumericalId":568002}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T17:02:11Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8936350841134023,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.015,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.015,"bestBid":0.15,"bestAsk":0.16,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"spreads","line":-2.5,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T17:01:46.042457Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"2026072210C6FAB9","opticOddsMarketId":"asian_handicap","opticOddsMarketName":"Asian Handicap","opticOddsPoints":-2.5,"opticOddsSelection":"Philadelphia Union -2.5","opticOddsTeamId":"FCD590BA9EE8"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.155","0.845"],"signal":{"yesProbability":15.5,"noProbability":84.5,"mispricingPct":34.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":46,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 15.5%","Mispricing 34.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2784678","question":"Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?","conditionId":"0x3c76ea2c99671e6574bab2ab04328cdb2bcf1ff70fde450e711ed0bb45bf5dd7","slug":"mls-chi-vwh-2026-07-16-draw","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores","endDate":"2026-07-17T00:30:00Z","liquidity":"4747.4268","startDate":"2026-07-03T16:09:22.855678Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 16, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.16","0.84"],"volume":"9948.423572000002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-03T16:00:08.25673Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Draw (Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC)","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x4375a2a4ddf0a6229f14a5852756c9c89852f3dbcf398b01300b6926f47d2901","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9948.423572000002,"liquidityNum":4747.4268,"endDateIso":"2026-07-17","startDateIso":"2026-07-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":137.567266,"volume1wk":9948.423572,"volume1mo":9948.423572,"volume1yr":9948.423572,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-17 00:30:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["107753603714957513063839653317986997029228766606809280525624023566753279067931","10003875510695076266606175733876650839303519270920966194669105648853402090311"],"positionIds":["1173758968628963342949531259823699005285263445975264777121342187501846003968","1173758968628963342949531259823699005285263445975264777121342187501846003969"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":137.567266,"volume1wkClob":9948.423572,"volume1moClob":9948.423572,"volume1yrClob":9948.423572,"volumeClob":9948.423572000002,"liquidityClob":4747.4268,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x4375a2a4ddf0a6229f14a5852756c9c89852f3dbcf398b01300b6926f47d2900","negRiskRequestID":"0x773323f98239f59e355b81e4d9c921781a474572d7699f17b9eeba0986623660","events":[{"id":"662915","ticker":"mls-chi-vwh-2026-07-16","slug":"mls-chi-vwh-2026-07-16","title":"Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC","description":"This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Thursday, July 16, 2026 between Chicago Fire FC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC.","resolutionSource":"https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores","startDate":"2026-07-03T16:09:22.855678Z","creationDate":"2026-07-03T16:13:55.416932Z","endDate":"2026-07-17T00:30:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mls-soccer-all-star-game-winner-r8__FzcgT9JC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":16191.3491,"volume":140057.73430499987,"openInterest":98350.115147,"createdAt":"2026-07-03T16:00:07.991231Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9538344143456696,"volume24hr":1384.4758030000003,"volume1wk":140055.35335399996,"volume1mo":140057.73430499996,"volume1yr":140057.73430499996,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":16191.3491,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x4375a2a4ddf0a6229f14a5852756c9c89852f3dbcf398b01300b6926f47d2900","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10189","ticker":"mls-2025","slug":"mls-2025","title":"MLS 2025","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-08-08T14:56:42.97589Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":65459.875396,"volume":481654.88164599985,"liquidity":6478157.18304,"commentCount":93,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-16","startTime":"2026-07-17T00:30:00Z","eventWeek":25,"seriesSlug":"mls-2025","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-03T16:00:13.000509Z","gameId":90104306,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Vancouver Whitecaps FC hold a narrow edge in trader pricing thanks to their stronger 2026 MLS record and attacking output, yet Chicago Fire FC’s home advantage at Soldier Field and recent positive results keep the match tightly contested. Vancouver sits atop the Western Conference with a 10-2-2 mark, but key absences including Ryan Gauld and several hamstring concerns could blunt their edge in transition play. Chicago, at 8-2-4, has collected points steadily at home while showing defensive organization under Gregg Berhalter. Head-to-head history offers little separation, and both clubs carry comparable recent form, leaving implied probabilities clustered as bettors weigh travel fatigue for Vancouver against Chicago’s crowd and venue familiarity.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-03T17:00:40.354Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"202607174232CBF0","opticOddsGameId":"31613-34705-2026-07-16","opticOddsNumericalId":567998}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-03T16:08:22Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8963786303334529,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.08,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.095,"lastTradePrice":0.12,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.2,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-03T16:01:21.674588Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"202607174232CBF0","opticOddsMarketId":"moneyline_3-way","opticOddsMarketName":"Moneyline 3-Way","opticOddsSelection":"Draw","opticOddsSelectionLine":"draw"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.16","0.84"],"signal":{"yesProbability":16,"noProbability":84,"mispricingPct":34,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":46,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 16%","Mispricing 34% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3010425","question":"Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?","conditionId":"0xe83550a476f49de8b16def48dc03f97e6e98c915c95e64facd8aa9eb227e4f61","slug":"highest-temperature-in-paris-on-july-23-2026-24c","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB","endDate":"2026-07-23T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"3930.9724","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:02:30Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-f08f5c4a28.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-f08f5c4a28.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.165","0.835"],"volume":"999.9016670000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:02:06.508255Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"24°C","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0xf69e0c8178a9d83c185366508ce26002b902fcfd85d014f411823072d0e12e03","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.9016670000001,"liquidityNum":3930.9724,"endDateIso":"2026-07-23","startDateIso":"2026-07-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":999.901667,"volume1wk":999.901667,"volume1mo":999.901667,"volume1yr":999.901667,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-22 22:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["20119354517971049515804572299805408213745714039768537916619336541745102285798","104279095971694898212993582757065754945386490359690835160947259336878134351785"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":999.901667,"volume1wkClob":999.901667,"volume1moClob":999.901667,"volume1yrClob":999.901667,"volumeClob":999.9016670000001,"liquidityClob":3930.9724,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xf69e0c8178a9d83c185366508ce26002b902fcfd85d014f411823072d0e12e00","negRiskRequestID":"0x453447bcd2d1e3d2e90f9f21667b1c9d30ec8874b9dada863b38c41664225e73","events":[{"id":"727796","ticker":"highest-temperature-in-paris-on-july-23-2026","slug":"highest-temperature-in-paris-on-july-23-2026","title":"Highest temperature in Paris on July 23?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.","resolutionSource":"https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:02:30Z","creationDate":"2026-07-21T04:03:23.192493Z","endDate":"2026-07-23T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-f08f5c4a28.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/paris-f08f5c4a28.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":50328.59623,"volume":5046.51964,"openInterest":2127.1929680000003,"createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:02:04.818228Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9833808634083981,"volume24hr":5056.51964,"volume1wk":5056.51964,"volume1mo":5056.51964,"volume1yr":5056.51964,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":50328.59623,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xf69e0c8178a9d83c185366508ce26002b902fcfd85d014f411823072d0e12e00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11168","ticker":"paris-daily-weather","slug":"paris-daily-weather","title":"Paris Daily Weather","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-02-11T18:01:33.476671Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:02.923799Z","volume24hr":98522.7221,"volume":82046.16478100003,"liquidity":250683.89257,"commentCount":991,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-23","startTime":"2026-07-21T04:02:04.72Z","seriesSlug":"paris-daily-weather","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:02:08.246381Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent model guidance shows a post-heatwave transition over western Europe, with an Atlantic ridge weakening and allowing cooler maritime air and increased instability to reach northern France by July 23. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS place daytime maxima near 25–27 °C, with small differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Soil moisture from preceding storms and modest northerly flow further suppress extreme values, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 25–27 °C outcomes. Updated runs and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-21T05:00:11.148Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:02:30Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8990986535997662,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"977600","conditionId":"0xe83550a476f49de8b16def48dc03f97e6e98c915c95e64facd8aa9eb227e4f61","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":30,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.16,"bestBid":0.16,"bestAsk":0.17,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:02:08.30407Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.165","0.835"],"signal":{"yesProbability":16.5,"noProbability":83.5,"mispricingPct":33.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":45,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 16.5%","Mispricing 33.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2119266","question":"Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x10d8e0d7123623b6cd8303aab6d2e61792b8aded915336efb3adc11df448937b","slug":"will-megaeth-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"585.108","startDate":"2026-04-29T21:35:24.69066Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"locked\" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.16","0.84"],"volume":"9981.586146999993","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-29T21:32:45.048017Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x49dfe6b44ee3e86aa28855c3896b1a0181b5bcf7eb9f2672c6515d42d87c8582","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9981.586146999993,"liquidityNum":585.108,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-04-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["4073964439546781679844222219197458984323215148120046536055850319869173017640","57444375933620596258067193404376499933911971337929532732080247805234422208790"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9981.586146999993,"liquidityClob":585.108,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"29005","ticker":"megaeth-airdrop-by","slug":"megaeth-airdrop-by","title":"MegaETH airdrop by...?","description":"this is a market on MegaETH airdrop","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-06-26T19:51:03.475Z","creationDate":"2025-06-26T19:52:25.055646Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch-KzYK3qwuIK8t.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":585.108,"volume":2646403.833676997,"openInterest":6261.691967000001,"createdAt":"2025-06-26T19:38:04.692025Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.8963786303334529,"volume1wk":133737.39359400002,"volume1mo":702637.187234,"volume1yr":1006029.800643,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":585.108,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":135,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"color":"#ffffff","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-29T21:34:20Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8963786303334529,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"350937","conditionId":"0x10d8e0d7123623b6cd8303aab6d2e61792b8aded915336efb3adc11df448937b","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-05-15","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.08,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.07,"bestBid":0.12,"bestAsk":0.2,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-29T21:33:06.861252Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"clobPrices":["0.16","0.84"],"signal":{"yesProbability":16,"noProbability":84,"mispricingPct":34,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":45,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 16%","Mispricing 34% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2734360","question":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xb39eac53d6f459aa03c64163ac6ab0814eed5e03820e3deb6f84204b32886732","slug":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-december-31-2026-20260628223032088","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"1614.9016","startDate":"2026-06-29T19:26:33.748877Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.19","0.81"],"volume":"995.66736","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T19:13:14.704205Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0x2297a2880f06796d46476b5ebdedf2c8a86052b5baf3e726e26099814614233f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":995.66736,"liquidityNum":1614.9016,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":21.34148,"volume1wk":21.34148,"volume1mo":995.6673599999999,"volume1yr":995.6673599999999,"clobTokenIds":["103730759791182610508844233983354172701398953572596676041294371140435417958620","111306360519732672157188322114717159848889522455840944105370285072390830823783"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":21.34148,"volume1wkClob":21.34148,"volume1moClob":995.6673599999999,"volume1yrClob":995.6673599999999,"volumeClob":995.66736,"liquidityClob":1614.9016,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"648747","ticker":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-december-31-2026-20260628223032088","slug":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-december-31-2026-20260628223032088","title":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-29T19:26:33.748877Z","creationDate":"2026-06-29T19:27:38.661335Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1614.9016,"volume":995.66736,"openInterest":898.82736,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-06-29T19:13:14.111944Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.7116139038408904,"volume24hr":21.34148,"volume1wk":21.34148,"volume1mo":995.6673599999999,"volume1yr":995.6673599999999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1614.9016,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10614","ticker":"trump-tariff-dividend","slug":"trump-tariff-dividend","title":"Trump Tariff Dividend","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-11-11T15:52:31.504894Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:14:02.325413Z","volume24hr":21.34148,"volume":995.66736,"liquidity":1614.9016,"commentCount":148,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"trump-tariff-dividend","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trump's repeated pledges since late 2025 for a $2,000-per-person tariff dividend funded by import duties have sustained trader interest in a \"Yes\" outcome, yet implementation hinges on congressional legislation that remains stalled. Revenue from active Section 232 tariffs has risen sharply, but a February 2026 Supreme Court ruling invalidated key emergency tariffs, triggering substantial refunds to importers and shrinking the net pool available. Analysts note that even optimistic projections fall short of covering broad-based payments while also addressing deficit reduction, and no bill has advanced to enactment by mid-2026. With the resolution deadline six months away, the even odds reflect uncertainty over whether lawmakers will approve a program, revised tariff authorities can replenish funds, or timing constraints prevent action before year-end.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-29T20:00:11.037Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-29T19:25:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.7116139038408904,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.22,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.015,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.045,"lastTradePrice":0.23,"bestBid":0.08,"bestAsk":0.3,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-29T19:13:28.326804Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.19","0.81"],"signal":{"yesProbability":19,"noProbability":81,"mispricingPct":31,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":42,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 19%","Mispricing 31% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2761120","question":"Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?","conditionId":"0x49737bd7f0068779c3e73df84f8d9f5a46eeb71c947a6ff450cbd83f00a922e2","slug":"will-the-us-house-pass-the-ndaa-by-july-31-20260701152621873","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"68.966","startDate":"2026-07-01T21:43:47.1042Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-senate-pass-the-save-america-act-hr-7296-awKb9DbrMI8L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-senate-pass-the-save-america-act-hr-7296-awKb9DbrMI8L.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities.\n\nThe resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.205","0.795"],"volume":"99.71641","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T21:41:14.85647Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0x4bf38e5169768d42d37698407e6c91fff1249a0b2f0e9b77f56aa06c15389183","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99.71641,"liquidityNum":68.966,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2.5,"volume1wk":44.791042,"volume1mo":99.71641,"volume1yr":99.71641,"clobTokenIds":["78271461811400287351374832297390229434998310712308350852213512986447804803134","61836882450927412541147420020949504917191087929534811810978035517691382242630"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2.5,"volume1wkClob":44.791042,"volume1moClob":99.71641,"volume1yrClob":99.71641,"volumeClob":99.71641,"liquidityClob":68.966,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"656443","ticker":"will-the-us-house-pass-the-ndaa-by-july-31-20260701152621873","slug":"will-the-us-house-pass-the-ndaa-by-july-31-20260701152621873","title":"Will the US House pass the NDAA by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US House passes the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026 by July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must set forth policies and authorities for Fiscal Year 2026 for Department of Defense programs and activities.\n\nThe resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-01T21:43:47.1042Z","creationDate":"2026-07-01T21:45:05.457501Z","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-senate-pass-the-save-america-act-hr-7296-awKb9DbrMI8L.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-senate-pass-the-save-america-act-hr-7296-awKb9DbrMI8L.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":68.966,"volume":99.71641,"openInterest":50.216409,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-01T21:41:12.468625Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.6899565327384375,"volume24hr":2.5,"volume1wk":44.791042,"volume1mo":99.71641,"volume1yr":99.71641,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":68.966,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"House Armed Services Committee approval of H.R. 8800, the fiscal 2027 National Defense Authorization Act, by a 44-12 vote in early June advanced the measure to the floor amid ongoing debates over defense spending levels, acquisition reforms, and policy riders. Recent Rules Committee action encountered setbacks when a June 30 procedural vote failed due to Republican defections, creating uncertainty about floor timing ahead of the July recess. Bipartisan committee support and the bill's annual tradition contrast with these internal divisions and competing legislative priorities, producing closely balanced trader odds near 50 percent. Floor passage by July 31 would likely hinge on leadership negotiations to secure a rule, amendment strategies, and turnout among rank-and-file members wary of specific provisions.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-01T22:00:12.284Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-01T21:42:58Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.6899565327384375,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"853237","conditionId":"0x49737bd7f0068779c3e73df84f8d9f5a46eeb71c947a6ff450cbd83f00a922e2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-07-19","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.25,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.155,"lastTradePrice":0.06,"bestBid":0.08,"bestAsk":0.33,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-01T21:41:30.545318Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.205","0.795"],"signal":{"yesProbability":20.5,"noProbability":79.5,"mispricingPct":29.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":40,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 20.5%","Mispricing 29.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2863698","question":"Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?","conditionId":"0x5711ccbc4a6eb66baa5711d742fc93fc2d985067aadc8ac20c2ca8e962d1aca2","slug":"will-there-be-7-9-knife-kills-at-blast-bounty-2026-season-2-20260709192622644","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"595.5741","startDate":"2026-07-09T19:51:24.56892Z","description":"This market will resolve based on the total number of knife kills recorded across all completed maps of BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026.\n\nA knife kill is any kill credited in-game to a player using the knife (melee) against an opponent. Kills made with any other weapon, including the Zeus x27 taser, do not count. Every knife kill in every completed official map of the event counts individually toward the total.\n\nThe market resolves to the single range containing the final total number of knife kills at the conclusion of the event.\n\nIf BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.2095","0.7905"],"volume":"995.66","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-09T19:47:52.127294Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"7-9","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x36e1ac3b23ee59e1aca04540a43023f53290e5bcedfea1fc25f74cad22078603","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":995.66,"liquidityNum":595.5741,"startDateIso":"2026-07-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["49251291558926569689033315240997340169659741093657632001258116093775099336464","37997626807184408686820616783366649947900546710249831938715047166031780514658"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":995.66,"liquidityClob":595.5741,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x36e1ac3b23ee59e1aca04540a43023f53290e5bcedfea1fc25f74cad22078600","negRiskRequestID":"0x1017cb7db289578b71d6bd27874cc2a23b86f6440a0cc218edf68d9ef55e2442","events":[{"id":"685402","ticker":"blast-bounty-2026-season-2-total-knife-kills-20260709192419423","slug":"blast-bounty-2026-season-2-total-knife-kills-20260709192419423","title":"Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Total Knife Kills","description":"This market will resolve based on the total number of knife kills recorded across all completed maps of BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2, scheduled for July 21, 2026 to August 2, 2026.\n\nA knife kill is any kill credited in-game to a player using the knife (melee) against an opponent. Kills made with any other weapon, including the Zeus x27 taser, do not count. Every knife kill in every completed official map of the event counts individually toward the total.\n\nThe market resolves to the single range containing the final total number of knife kills at the conclusion of the event.\n\nIf BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is cancelled, or is not completed such that its results are not determined by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from HLTV (https://www.hltv.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-09T19:51:15.730602Z","creationDate":"2026-07-09T19:52:17.719952Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-total-knife-kills-20260709192419423-Tm5HgyDnrh0u.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/blast-bounty-2026-season-2-total-knife-kills-20260709192419423-Tm5HgyDnrh0u.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":7757.2837,"volume":9192.223022999999,"openInterest":3262.670787,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-09T19:47:51.418202Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:47.945438Z","competitive":0.9869476177551876,"volume24hr":535.714284,"volume1wk":1719.5027519999999,"volume1mo":2968.022752,"volume1yr":2968.022752,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":7757.2837,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x36e1ac3b23ee59e1aca04540a43023f53290e5bcedfea1fc25f74cad22078600","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T19:48:07.325271Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Knife kills remain exceptionally rare in professional Counter-Strike 2, occurring mainly in eco rounds, clutches, or forced close-quarters situations that top teams actively avoid. With BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 still weeks from its July 21 start in Malta, traders see no confirmed data on map pool aggression, team playstyles, or historical per-event totals to shift the distribution. Past BLAST events and similar S-tier tournaments typically produce low single-digit knife kills overall, yet variance from one or two outlier maps can push counts across multiple bins. This uncertainty, combined with the low baseline frequency and lack of recent roster or patch impacts on melee usage, keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched across the 0 through 10+ ranges.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-09T20:00:15.455Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-09T19:50:23Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.5929599606783628,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"940622","conditionId":"0x5711ccbc4a6eb66baa5711d742fc93fc2d985067aadc8ac20c2ca8e962d1aca2","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":38,"startDate":"2026-07-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.357,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.086,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.156,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.113,"lastTradePrice":0.189,"bestBid":0.031,"bestAsk":0.388,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-09T19:49:11.077848Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.2075","0.7925"],"signal":{"yesProbability":20.8,"noProbability":79.3,"mispricingPct":29.3,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":40,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 20.8%","Mispricing 29.3% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2954682","question":"Will Trump say \"Shots fired\" or \"Shots will be fired\" during White House Correspondents Dinner?","conditionId":"0x4927b82ed8d961b18e75b8ff6f1013208bd59238ec64d90f67e8d8d5bdf029ca","slug":"will-trump-say-shots-fired-or-shots-will-be-fired-during-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255814","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"460.9193","startDate":"2026-07-17T02:40:57.33157Z","description":"Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about the \"White House Correspondents Dinner\" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other markets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be video of the events.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.22","0.78"],"volume":"996.545743","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-17T02:38:17.317934Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Shots fired / Shots will be fired","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x484d9053d58157773667c8a3d0ff1fb8714a13ab96facaad00ed4a455b851449","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":996.545743,"liquidityNum":460.9193,"endDateIso":"2026-07-24","startDateIso":"2026-07-24","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["29666013860553183477387778327134126025713502630237506927696724375969319184394","30615173001579840311474303875193683640506299207607217301204739919333596650820"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":996.545743,"liquidityClob":460.9193,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"712216","ticker":"what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806","slug":"what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806","title":"What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?","description":"Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is explicitly about the \"White House Correspondents Dinner\" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.\n\nIf this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"-No Qualifying Event-\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other markets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source will be video of the events.\n\nFor full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-17T02:40:21.994984Z","creationDate":"2026-07-17T02:43:03.956916Z","endDate":"2026-07-24T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-ballroom-dinner-on-october-15-YsDlQHZFfgGy.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-trump-say-during-ballroom-dinner-on-october-15-YsDlQHZFfgGy.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6608.85926,"volume":6139.407257999999,"openInterest":3936.3490170000005,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-17T02:38:15.861914Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:18:25.052419Z","competitive":0.9996001599360256,"volume24hr":947.51182,"volume1wk":4485.168604,"volume1mo":4485.168604,"volume1yr":4485.168604,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6608.85926,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-07-24T23:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"President Donald Trump is scheduled to attend and deliver remarks at the rescheduled White House Correspondents’ Association Dinner on July 24, 2026, at the Waldorf Astoria in Washington. The event follows the April 25 disruption at the Washington Hilton, when a gunman attempted to breach security, prompting evacuation and postponement with enhanced safety protocols now in place. Trader focus centers on potential references to press relations, security incidents, or policy priorities amid the administration’s ongoing interactions with media outlets. The one-week timeline to the dinner concentrates attention on any last-minute statements or developments that could shape the content of his address.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-17T03:00:13.778Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-17T02:40:09Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.927299703264095,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.12,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.21,"bestBid":0.16,"bestAsk":0.28,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-17T02:38:45.2114Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"mentions_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.22","0.78"],"signal":{"yesProbability":22,"noProbability":78,"mispricingPct":28,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":39,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 22%","Mispricing 28% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2865952","question":"Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?","conditionId":"0x0f8f4717731753d7ac921d728f18d1af64b7376193520743177fbecabe934d8a","slug":"will-trump-fly-in-original-air-force-1-again-this-month-20260710003923849","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-07-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"186.0759","startDate":"2026-07-10T01:33:07.761943Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-fly-in-original-air-force-1-again-this-month-20260710003923849-sIIltgF4KsPg.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-fly-in-original-air-force-1-again-this-month-20260710003923849-sIIltgF4KsPg.jpg","description":"On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.225","0.775"],"volume":"999.3638629999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-10T01:30:52.969734Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0xdcde1ad20c346696a04de5c069509239da91c5eb9c258c467936df19b174502b","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.3638629999999,"liquidityNum":186.0759,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-10","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":79.718946,"volume1wk":110.358946,"volume1mo":999.363863,"volume1yr":999.363863,"clobTokenIds":["22920430619969259377033298348189471753273864661806509673859834937410245000991","18955400915462662370565516273405118817702308982965075669878248098801588702014"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":79.718946,"volume1wkClob":110.358946,"volume1moClob":999.363863,"volume1yrClob":999.363863,"volumeClob":999.3638629999999,"liquidityClob":186.0759,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"686214","ticker":"will-trump-fly-in-original-air-force-1-again-this-month-20260710003923849","slug":"will-trump-fly-in-original-air-force-1-again-this-month-20260710003923849","title":"Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month?","description":"On July 8, Donald Trump opted to fly in the original Air Force 1, rather than the new Qatari-gifted jet, due to security concerns (see: https://www.ms.now/news/officials-say-trump-switched-out-new-air-force-one-over-security-concerns).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump takes any flight aboard either of the two Boeing VC-25A aircraft that served as the primary presidential aircraft prior to June 2026 between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 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Trader consensus at 50% reflects uncertainty over whether additional travel will occur in the remaining weeks of July, the status of ongoing security assessments tied to Iran, and operational or maintenance factors affecting both aircraft. Any escalation or de-escalation in Middle East tensions, or presidential trips scheduled before month-end, could shift probabilities either way. Historical patterns show presidents sometimes favor legacy planes for shorter or lower-risk segments, but no fixed schedule governs July usage.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-10T02:00:17.601Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-10T01:32:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9296920395119117,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"845060","conditionId":"0x0f8f4717731753d7ac921d728f18d1af64b7376193520743177fbecabe934d8a","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-07-16","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.09,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.18,"bestBid":0.18,"bestAsk":0.27,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-10T01:31:01.962047Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.225","0.775"],"signal":{"yesProbability":22.5,"noProbability":77.5,"mispricingPct":27.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":38,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 22.5%","Mispricing 27.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2869655","question":"Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)","conditionId":"0x3164e1a3dd1d36b3f3aa1aef6cb7794777ea5774dfa8712dd1f1e8a364585a5f","slug":"bra-sao-cap-2026-07-22-spread-home-1pt5","resolutionSource":"https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a","endDate":"2026-07-23T00:30:00Z","liquidity":"5352.4154","startDate":"2026-07-10T12:00:38Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brasilerirao-image-52ef283574.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brasilerirao-image-52ef283574.png","description":"In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for July 22 at 8:30 PM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"São Paulo FC\" if São Paulo FC win the game by 2 or more goals.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"CA Paranaense\".\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. 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