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In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.951","0.049"],"volume":"988064.8107979998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-07T14:49:00.799353Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Nigel Farage","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x83585b5395d1170af7bfd97570e3d779562cc6810968fef2ac7452c1ad83e200","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":988064.8107979998,"liquidityNum":163962.82429,"endDateIso":"2027-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-07-07","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":8043.396213000001,"volume1wk":312761.29449700005,"volume1mo":988064.8107979994,"volume1yr":988064.8107979994,"clobTokenIds":["96493470136581654430268359631814450290137534659017161119334974730318350734648","27883539799134181892404786370136488374531958350458257421108743374098048692617"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":8043.396213000001,"volume1wkClob":312761.29449700005,"volume1moClob":988064.8107979994,"volume1yrClob":988064.8107979994,"volumeClob":988064.8107979998,"liquidityClob":163962.82429,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x83585b5395d1170af7bfd97570e3d779562cc6810968fef2ac7452c1ad83e200","negRiskRequestID":"0x4dda93a99243b0b83d41886c511ae8eebe44d13e9dd98c385a9d141b8e7e80ce","events":[{"id":"677008","ticker":"clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303","slug":"clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303","title":"Clacton by-election Winner","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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The move frames the contest as a direct appeal to voters against institutional oversight, with investigations into his finances set to pause during the campaign but potentially resume if he succeeds. Other candidates trail notably, including Labour's Jovan Owusu-Nepaul at 44% and Conservative Giles Watling at 39%, aligning with their lower shares in the prior election. Early betting markets also show Reform UK as heavy favorites, consistent with the constituency's recent voting pattern and Farage's established local support. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPrices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.\n\nIf the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.\n\nThe active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).\n\nPer CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).\n\nFor example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.\n\nIf the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.\n\nIn the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures \"High\" and \"Low\" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the \"t=\" parameter.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.2075","0.7925"],"volume":"987358.7870050007","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T13:10:27.323648Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ $95","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x4e6fe3659d701de5e29c80b2e8ff7fd85e2bc2cff239de12034416304ccfde05","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":987358.7870050007,"liquidityNum":63670.9677,"endDateIso":"2026-08-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":27698.080420000002,"volume1wk":530547.6361019998,"volume1mo":987358.7870050009,"volume1yr":987358.7870050009,"gameStartTime":"2026-06-30 21:00:00+00","clobTokenIds":["55689044028128278672494108251217443782536678376777545334307559186551480418539","22380582002052839082465005899114395003938630732672759582910297636521820401881"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":27698.080420000002,"volume1wkClob":530547.6361019998,"volume1moClob":987358.7870050009,"volume1yrClob":987358.7870050009,"volumeClob":987358.7870050007,"liquidityClob":63670.9677,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"631914","ticker":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","slug":"what-price-will-wti-hit-in-july-2026","title":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","description":"What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?","resolutionSource":"https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI","startDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","creationDate":"2026-06-25T04:01:32.928Z","endDate":"2026-08-01T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/crude-oil-9a850ce2a2.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":998880.59586,"volume":8426088.945487002,"openInterest":2931285.497065,"createdAt":"2026-06-25T04:01:33.457018Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:16:39.716067Z","competitive":0.9979790923380155,"volume24hr":544532.254608,"volume1wk":3612414.7262239996,"volume1mo":7486663.212280996,"volume1yr":7486663.212280996,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":998880.59586,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10820","ticker":"crude-oil-cl-hit","slug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","title":"Crude Oil (CL) hit__","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2025-12-30T20:23:06.61732Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:16:03.554387Z","volume24hr":544532.254608,"volume":8426088.945487002,"liquidity":998880.59586,"commentCount":4879,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-06-25T04:01:00Z","seriesSlug":"crude-oil-cl-hit","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":7,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent progress toward a US-Iran peace deal and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply eased supply disruption fears that earlier drove WTI above $100/bbl. As of June 25, 2026, front-month WTI futures trade near $70, down sharply from Q2 peaks amid rising global inventories and softening demand. EIA projections highlight accelerating OECD stock draws through Q3 before gradual replenishment, while non-OPEC supply growth and OPEC+ unwind add downward pressure. Traders price in a swift return to surplus conditions, with July resolution likely hinging on the pace of Middle East production restarts and any near-term demand data releases. 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An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.\n\nQualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.\n\nConfirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0165","0.9835"],"volume":"99935.01364700016","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T22:33:39.132627Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"France","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x7fb15e78f37853bfb7fa6c78ca922126b7f4339e96e411de5ab846175dd21917","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99935.01364700016,"liquidityNum":22332.76619,"endDateIso":"2026-07-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1277.742925,"volume1wk":36842.979917000004,"volume1mo":99935.01364699996,"volume1yr":99935.01364699996,"clobTokenIds":["95956543724563201943435634031990805640170409267355340191123981967216396859058","104669620094040210398179322720557625598427415134479792078753917068080842037963"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1277.742925,"volume1wkClob":36842.979917000004,"volume1moClob":99935.01364699996,"volume1yrClob":99935.01364699996,"volumeClob":99935.01364700016,"liquidityClob":22332.76619,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"656692","ticker":"which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-july-31-20260701001952738","slug":"which-countries-will-send-warships-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-by-july-31-20260701001952738","title":"Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA \"warship transit\" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.\n\nOfficial confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. 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US Central Command has conducted mine-clearing and coordination for commercial transits via alternative routes near Oman, while the UK has deployed HMS Dragon alongside drones and aircraft for defensive escort missions. France has committed frigates, India and Pakistan have sent destroyers for regional protection, and earlier US destroyer transits occurred amid ceasefire strains. 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Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:17:54.414Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-17T23:28:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8035160254240507,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":0.2,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0015,"lastTradePrice":0.006,"bestBid":0.005,"bestAsk":0.006,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-17T23:27:32.288279Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.0055","0.9945"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.6,"noProbability":99.5,"mispricingPct":49.5,"qualityScore":25,"confidence":64,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.6%","Mispricing 49.5% from 50/50","Quality 25/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2106193","question":"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?","conditionId":"0x2d9ffab1a53bf58c0c6395b83d3fbdbeee89af9fc2c048e33c7cdc960086ac1c","slug":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"16483.7136","startDate":"2026-04-28T20:21:37.852Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.045","0.955"],"volume":"99797.2904119999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-28T14:36:54.276997Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x53d15c76e888904e6ea9072fac446767655bccc5b80a47df0821713ebcf3702e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99797.2904119999,"liquidityNum":16483.7136,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-28","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":38.684285,"volume1mo":1256.705406,"volume1yr":99797.29041199999,"clobTokenIds":["10758490048299627223884174468030972063023010298182969009186510661987414818490","79511288995111009605193688033869924358122905241995756429255377513755310904450"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":20,"volume1wkClob":38.684285,"volume1moClob":1256.705406,"volume1yrClob":99797.29041199999,"volumeClob":99797.2904119999,"liquidityClob":16483.7136,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"427746","ticker":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","slug":"will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026","title":"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-28T20:21:37.852Z","creationDate":"2026-04-28T20:24:13.07221Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-uae-leave-the-gulf-cooperation-council-in-2026-jg28JQm5aLfC.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":16483.7136,"volume":99797.2904119999,"openInterest":5028.604111,"createdAt":"2026-04-28T14:36:54.060532Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.8284832542822228,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":38.684285,"volume1mo":1256.705406,"volume1yr":99797.29041199999,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":16483.7136,"commentCount":1,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The UAE’s continued participation in GCC summits and joint statements on regional security, including responses to Iranian actions in 2026, underscores the absence of any formal withdrawal process or official signals of intent to exit. Despite strains with Saudi Arabia over oil production quotas that prompted the UAE’s OPEC departure in May 2026, member states have maintained collective mechanisms on defense coordination, economic connectivity projects, and diplomatic positioning amid the Iran conflict. Traders assign only a 9.5% chance of departure this year because structural incentives—shared borders, hydrocarbon interests, and external threat responses—have historically overridden periodic bilateral frictions, with no scheduled votes, announcements, or procedural steps indicating an imminent break.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:41.646Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-28T20:20:34Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8284832542822228,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.05,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.04,"bestAsk":0.05,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-28T19:54:39.94701Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.045","0.955"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.5,"noProbability":95.5,"mispricingPct":45.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":59,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.5%","Mispricing 45.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1365893","question":"Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","conditionId":"0x31f31222f37f2583de6c44c4297cafdccfd21d443e785042af0180192897f8ed","slug":"will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-finish-in-third-place-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election","endDate":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"23220.62176","startDate":"2026-02-11T22:46:14.759967Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-eF23sYKkHxoO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-carlos-roberto-massa-jnior-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election-eF23sYKkHxoO.jpg","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0125","0.9875"],"volume":"99783.38907500004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-11T12:57:40.590492Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Ratinho Júnior","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42606","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99783.38907500004,"liquidityNum":23220.62176,"endDateIso":"2026-10-04","startDateIso":"2026-02-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["98279737312722721984464036473219944696451907001028596656918791113590571774639","45585873794901662369450370420845277891361850736411421687270432964410373480557"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99783.38907500004,"liquidityClob":23220.62176,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42600","negRiskRequestID":"0xe0a6f305a05629daf6c653c88772259eb5b216aaf8278fe919734757c8d2f145","events":[{"id":"204973","ticker":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place","slug":"brazil-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place","title":"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place","description":"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-02-11T22:45:41.277693Z","creationDate":"2026-02-11T22:47:49.702431Z","endDate":"2026-10-04T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-presidential-election-37lx5Jgvkbr8.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":413871.01024,"volume":457657.1549170001,"openInterest":49240.208957999996,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-02-11T12:57:35.957183Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.9821012055292297,"volume24hr":3211.691232,"volume1wk":10580.20975,"volume1mo":84031.906269,"volume1yr":201331.1670410001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":413871.01024,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x5e6d1c7a1df594a495cae046aca441a89a14e57bda8d420019c816821fb42600","commentCount":49,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"countryName":"Brazil","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:37:21.902585Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:32:42.205Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:44:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8079787905567479,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.017,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.004,"bestAsk":0.021,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-11T22:40:31.366071Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0125","0.9875"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.3,"noProbability":98.8,"mispricingPct":48.8,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.3%","Mispricing 48.8% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"693519","question":"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","conditionId":"0xec4e5a2666b14fedded928dc4dcd6b5f2d38cc1eba91755b8aa6de1fabd42a2f","slug":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"22021.9471","startDate":"2025-11-20T23:16:46.463159Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nA qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces. This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size). Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.\n\nOther limits on Ukrainian military powers, such as the relinquishment of long-range weapons or limits on other categories of armaments or military capabilities, that do not constrain the total number of personnel in Ukraine’s armed forces, will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not yet finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been made will also qualify.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.095","0.905"],"volume":"99771.97452700004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-20T18:15:42.722309Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:39.290473Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x08c3f9e96be2a19ebb1abf9d761877a60acf7d10f6113b06a900111a7c3a5ec6","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99771.97452700004,"liquidityNum":22021.9471,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-11-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":796.34,"volume1wk":1440.407362,"volume1mo":3479.737299999999,"volume1yr":99771.97452699987,"clobTokenIds":["43392476522336036001655872886581979667255669681674361456457698681783081940686","44948287872840569452368087440787385431227517937665754899112687310008762849448"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":796.34,"volume1wkClob":1440.407362,"volume1moClob":3479.737299999999,"volume1yrClob":99771.97452699987,"volumeClob":99771.97452700004,"liquidityClob":22021.9471,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"86333","ticker":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","slug":"ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027","title":"Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nA qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces. This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size). Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.\n\nOther limits on Ukrainian military powers, such as the relinquishment of long-range weapons or limits on other categories of armaments or military capabilities, that do not constrain the total number of personnel in Ukraine’s armed forces, will not qualify.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not yet finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been made will also qualify.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-20T23:16:46.463159Z","creationDate":"2025-11-20T23:26:23.257505Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ukraine-agrees-to-limit-size-of-armed-forces-before-2027-vdW-blMbPD2R.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":22144.5465,"volume":99771.97452700004,"openInterest":24181.914213,"createdAt":"2025-11-20T18:15:41.708408Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.8590880780051975,"volume24hr":796.34,"volume1wk":1440.407362,"volume1mo":3479.737299999999,"volume1yr":99771.97452699987,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":22144.5465,"commentCount":16,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ukraine’s consistent rejection of any caps on armed forces personnel continues to anchor trader expectations against an agreement before 2027. Kyiv has framed such limits as unacceptable while hostilities persist, prioritizing military expansion and reforms—including new fixed-term contracts, higher combat pay, and phased demobilization starting late 2026—to address manpower shortages rather than constrain readiness. US-mediated talks remain stalled with no progress on troop ceilings, as noted by officials in May, despite earlier proposals around 600,000–800,000 personnel that Ukraine has not endorsed. Russia’s persistent demilitarization demands and recent diplomatic pauses further reduce prospects for binding commitments, leaving the implied 85% probability for “No” aligned with the absence of active negotiations or policy shifts favoring restrictions.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-17T23:46:54.610Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-20T23:16:25Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.01,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.1,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-20T23:10:28.790253Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.095","0.905"],"signal":{"yesProbability":9.5,"noProbability":90.5,"mispricingPct":40.5,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 9.5%","Mispricing 40.5% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2980452","question":"Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee","conditionId":"0x7394229685d411c9aee4075275ff70612c566281fbb58f68c6b1a3c8750360a0","slug":"wta-kovacko-tararud-2026-07-20","resolutionSource":"https://www.wtatennis.com/scores","endDate":"2026-07-27T09:00:00Z","liquidity":"182009.31488","startDate":"2026-07-19T04:01:11Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wta-logo-41f331bdf1.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wta-logo-41f331bdf1.png","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Jana Kovackova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Jana Kovackova' if Jana Kovackova advances against Lanlana Tararudee.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Jana Kovackova.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Jana Kovackova","Lanlana Tararudee"],"outcomePrices":["0.385","0.615"],"volume":"99598.74322699997","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-19T04:00:56.60833Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x1287cb5e75883214bd04fb7a9daa1c1fd0401db314759cbe6c9c6253ef74a04f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99598.74322699997,"liquidityNum":182009.31488,"endDateIso":"2026-07-27","startDateIso":"2026-07-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":98506.39638299997,"volume1wk":99598.74322699997,"volume1mo":99598.74322699997,"volume1yr":99598.74322699997,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-21 12:50:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["38265851046723822868901292206554816956068447951063182811151691376582897668149","69758420124820001131113829141391350104911292058183327303375569949954096031292"],"positionIds":["530650325382945460319853992556801811226839560304408510551323285294118076416","530650325382945460319853992556801811226839560304408510551323285294118076417"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":98506.39638299997,"volume1wkClob":99598.74322699997,"volume1moClob":99598.74322699997,"volume1yrClob":99598.74322699997,"volumeClob":99598.74322699997,"liquidityClob":182009.31488,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":1800,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"720134","ticker":"wta-kovacko-tararud-2026-07-20","slug":"wta-kovacko-tararud-2026-07-20","title":"Livesport Prague Open: Jana Kovackova vs Lanlana Tararudee","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Jana Kovackova and Lanlana Tararudee in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Jana Kovackova' if Jana Kovackova advances against Lanlana Tararudee.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Lanlana Tararudee' if Lanlana Tararudee advances against Jana Kovackova.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\n\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. 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Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.095","0.905"],"volume":"99240.85760600002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-27T17:26:36.367718Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$1B","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0xa5c44b38522573172a4ad79ee074af4ee99cf09ae452de7929f7e4b2bcef30b9","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99240.85760600002,"liquidityNum":16791.2167,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["26419200148313139000292959237419229916691486478491824159206782394749402658135","24636228590613494726803873871129976748899383581790732066201541404428569721621"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99240.85760600002,"liquidityClob":16791.2167,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"91926","ticker":"extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","slug":"extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch","title":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-27T17:27:36.631Z","creationDate":"2025-11-27T17:34:31.814029Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":225425.82696,"volume":3115249.8509160015,"openInterest":1036609.123013,"createdAt":"2025-11-27T17:26:34.835236Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.9979790923380155,"volume24hr":3192.0676919999996,"volume1wk":79886.54466100002,"volume1mo":377103.0805520001,"volume1yr":3016013.483309998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":225425.82696,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":49,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-27T17:27:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"573555","conditionId":"0xd1d9c72da4ed36e09eb9019a0554451cb3a9e5681fc5d00ec94205f1d97a8ce5","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-07-19","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.025,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-27T17:26:47.902678Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"clobPrices":["0.095","0.905"],"signal":{"yesProbability":9.5,"noProbability":90.5,"mispricingPct":40.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 9.5%","Mispricing 40.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"995709","question":"Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?","conditionId":"0xfdc642275936ee1281df776b1b8a67a35eefbf9095c1266fd178dfa6996ebb4f","slug":"will-kendrick-lamar-be-the-top-spotify-artist-for-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"21327.71414","startDate":"2025-12-22T21:40:07.289Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spocharts-f6275fb17e.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spocharts-f6275fb17e.png","description":"Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0025","0.9975"],"volume":"99218.2796090001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-22T18:49:49.8699Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Kendrick Lamar","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x62e898e4b8a3d46c6d54326936e959b9e7935669dbeaac5efad4587105063d07","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99218.2796090001,"liquidityNum":21327.71414,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2025-12-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["75055518491634343238225754172066804322353911200619603473770017059656868007002","55757497654516464627481151189384108294745827872104744655495700337681469992599"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99218.2796090001,"liquidityClob":21327.71414,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x62e898e4b8a3d46c6d54326936e959b9e7935669dbeaac5efad4587105063d00","negRiskRequestID":"0x89cf4a5eafcfa7d1fbba7dd3d419594e72f733e040d99af99494249467cbf48e","events":[{"id":"117784","ticker":"top-spotify-artist-2026","slug":"top-spotify-artist-2026","title":"Top Artist 2026","description":"Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-12-22T21:40:01.412Z","creationDate":"2025-12-22T21:40:50.445011Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spocharts-f6275fb17e.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spocharts-f6275fb17e.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":170727.75133,"volume":1410853.0741539998,"openInterest":29861.393784,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2025-12-22T18:49:45.584108Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:27.48583Z","competitive":0.938945095185559,"volume24hr":1594.945827,"volume1wk":12396.5506,"volume1mo":26003.060334,"volume1yr":884929.3377359998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":170727.75133,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x62e898e4b8a3d46c6d54326936e959b9e7935669dbeaac5efad4587105063d00","commentCount":13,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-22T21:31:05.579689Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Bad Bunny holds an overwhelming 81% market-implied probability for Spotify's top artist of 2026 due to his commanding early-year dominance and sustained streaming volume. The Puerto Rican star opened the year as the daily most-streamed male artist globally, delivered record daily totals in January, and saw U.S. streams surge over 470% after his February Super Bowl performance, which also placed multiple tracks at the top of daily charts. This momentum has kept him well ahead of challengers like Drake and Taylor Swift, whose historical all-time totals have not translated into comparable 2026 velocity. Traders appear to view these factors as creating a steep barrier for any late surge by competitors.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:18:26.941Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-22T21:39:45Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8015991903848178,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.003,"bestBid":0.002,"bestAsk":0.003,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-22T21:31:32.546063Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.0025","0.9975"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.3,"noProbability":99.8,"mispricingPct":49.8,"qualityScore":24,"confidence":64,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.3%","Mispricing 49.8% from 50/50","Quality 24/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1747741","question":"Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?","conditionId":"0xed37f1f6bf2283f1a9be1eb9fcaedddbda916f2416a967a134dc9a8c6099462b","slug":"will-baker-mayfield-win-the-2026-nfl-mvp","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-02-15T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"15023.91639","startDate":"2026-03-27T21:36:00.112Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.018","0.982"],"volume":"98828.378836","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-27T21:26:11.790842Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Baker Mayfield","groupItemThreshold":"25","questionID":"0x902026e5dc6bec265b19fffeda2b2e751a3494eb5dab27839b6f60e57cf9d719","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":98828.378836,"liquidityNum":15023.91639,"endDateIso":"2027-02-15","startDateIso":"2026-03-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["24297061321181036312628592988208502731824730074477795662402184590895318680113","28407422179233992315573710204088855881947338663894108115378492923862488862166"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":98828.378836,"liquidityClob":15023.91639,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x902026e5dc6bec265b19fffeda2b2e751a3494eb5dab27839b6f60e57cf9d700","negRiskRequestID":"0xe557e6ed55c69c1cfc8719d11045e7bda20d01d4aa9603235dc6e75016ebc9b0","events":[{"id":"315364","ticker":"pro-football-2026-mvp-winner","slug":"pro-football-2026-mvp-winner","title":"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner","description":"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-27T21:33:27.041999Z","creationDate":"2026-03-27T21:37:41.270476Z","endDate":"2027-02-15T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pro-football-2026-mvp-winner-EcQB_mQin7ZK.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":408635.80886,"volume":264576.204592,"openInterest":3375.042374999999,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-03-27T21:26:03.58864Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.8709094471902284,"volume24hr":1183,"volume1wk":1797.8575,"volume1mo":2573.1775,"volume1yr":3484.034012,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":408635.80886,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x902026e5dc6bec265b19fffeda2b2e751a3494eb5dab27839b6f60e57cf9d700","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-27T21:29:25.769758Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Jaxson Smith-Njigba leads early 2026-27 NFL MVP odds at 29.8% implied probability after his record-setting 2025 campaign, where he captured Offensive Player of the Year honors with 1,793 receiving yards and 119 receptions while powering the Seahawks' Super Bowl run. Defending OPOY status, a major contract extension, and projected receiving-yard leadership create a rare non-quarterback frontrunner narrative. Traditional contenders like Josh Allen, Drake Maye, and Lamar Jackson sit in the second tier around 11%, reflecting their proven volume, efficiency, and playoff pedigree in quarterback-heavy MVP voting. Running backs such as Derrick Henry and De'Von Achane factor in via workload and efficiency metrics, but the wide field underscores how recent positional breakthroughs and roster stability differentiate JSN from established signal-callers entering the new season.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T02:19:18.353Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-27T21:34:37Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8114749043271088,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.006,"lastTradePrice":0.02,"bestBid":0.017,"bestAsk":0.019,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":true,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-27T21:30:51.924601Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.018","0.982"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.8,"noProbability":98.2,"mispricingPct":48.2,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":62,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.8%","Mispricing 48.2% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1038643","question":"Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x2c7f9b2304dc04b86afce858b51b01b34a742c43994a162d4c6fa551d7a3e8ea","slug":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026","endDate":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidity":"532.9584","startDate":"2025-12-27T15:18:18.755473Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by-lwZOIpbom-Kp.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by-lwZOIpbom-Kp.png","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.305","0.695"],"volume":"98809.15341900004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-12-27T15:17:16.754648Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0xc26cbb97d59d92142c0f4b48d9918f3055b7624a95cb63b78c71f46f93ec8081","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":98809.15341900004,"liquidityNum":532.9584,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2025-12-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["66504090502993925842729369691798769198266727860116747104431264214832408034731","35599189330093977824612035381070653225254173835491980357862370626138813957347"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":98809.15341900004,"liquidityClob":532.9584,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"127100","ticker":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","slug":"will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Loopscale (http://x.com/Loopscale) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Loopscale, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-12-27T15:18:18.755473Z","creationDate":"2025-12-27T15:24:29.94007Z","endDate":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by-lwZOIpbom-Kp.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-loopscale-launch-a-token-by-lwZOIpbom-Kp.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":3051.5659,"volume":234682.03976500002,"openInterest":4748.535102,"createdAt":"2025-12-27T15:17:14.278526Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.9633679342983069,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":3051.5659,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-12-27T15:17:57Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9633679342983069,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"105033","conditionId":"0x2c7f9b2304dc04b86afce858b51b01b34a742c43994a162d4c6fa551d7a3e8ea","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":3,"startDate":"2026-06-26","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.13,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.07,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.08,"lastTradePrice":0.27,"bestBid":0.24,"bestAsk":0.37,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-12-27T15:17:27.561312Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"clobPrices":["0.305","0.695"],"signal":{"yesProbability":30.5,"noProbability":69.5,"mispricingPct":19.5,"qualityScore":22,"confidence":30,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 30.5%","Mispricing 19.5% from 50/50","Quality 22/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1896800","question":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","slug":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-leader-of-bahrain-by-december-31-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"16375.2572","startDate":"2026-04-06T22:06:39.417914Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.065","0.935"],"volume":"98795.54464899996","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-06T22:02:57.484027Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xd22f712868d17ddea97268ce155f8b7adc4f5fdf6d1dc71272e27f763ba35b41","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":98795.54464899996,"liquidityNum":16375.2572,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-04-06","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":486.783609,"volume1wk":1714.9880319999993,"volume1mo":95259.815292,"volume1yr":98795.544649,"clobTokenIds":["92215560201338617368943859424018223407595589553207897222861413052265376603388","102589304636243932340516002530240552836830600801368026326450731038800605470795"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":486.783609,"volume1wkClob":1714.9880319999993,"volume1moClob":95259.815292,"volume1yrClob":98795.544649,"volumeClob":98795.54464899996,"liquidityClob":16375.2572,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"246193","ticker":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","slug":"hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king","title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-04T18:47:28.577Z","creationDate":"2026-03-04T18:47:49.171827Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hamad-bin-isa-al-khalifa-out-as-bahrain-king-kxnigW4hkTgH.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":16605.2072,"volume":293732.14008499956,"openInterest":3846.430913,"createdAt":"2026-03-04T18:11:51.204891Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.8408837688410519,"volume24hr":486.783609,"volume1wk":1714.9880319999993,"volume1mo":95259.815292,"volume1yr":98795.544649,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":16605.2072,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":12,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa remains Bahrain’s hereditary monarch under agnatic primogeniture, with Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa serving as prime minister and designated successor. Recent public activity includes signing official documents, issuing New Year greetings, visiting attack victims, and participating in GCC summits through mid-2026, following earlier regional tensions with Iran and a 2025 cancer treatment report. Parliament elections scheduled for November 2026 and ongoing economic diversification efforts underscore institutional continuity rather than leadership transition. Trader consensus on near-term removal reflects the absence of credible abdication signals, health crises, or internal challenges to the Al Khalifa dynasty’s control.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-18T01:07:14.806Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-06T22:05:33Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8408837688410519,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.015,"lastTradePrice":0.07,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.07,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-06T22:04:21.840153Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"clobPrices":["0.065","0.935"],"signal":{"yesProbability":6.5,"noProbability":93.5,"mispricingPct":43.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":57,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 6.5%","Mispricing 43.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3010795","question":"Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage","conditionId":"0x1cd5daf4715564a3ae4c23d48d8053ebfc489c571750d1b2dbf5f6fd25b8b7fe","slug":"cs2-cyb-g2a-2026-07-21","resolutionSource":"https://hltv.org","endDate":"2026-07-21T14:00:00Z","liquidity":"158084.38161","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:12:30.765224Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","description":"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 21 at 4:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"CYBERSHOKE Prospects\" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against G2 Ares.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"G2 Ares\" if G2 Ares win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","outcomes":["CYBERSHOKE Prospects","G2 Ares"],"outcomePrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"volume":"98790.76417500002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:10:36.858106Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Match Winner","questionID":"0xbe7d9113147b79199e16b996b658c01be9856a984487389782774dfd7a2270b5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"proposed","volumeNum":98790.76417500002,"liquidityNum":158084.38161,"endDateIso":"2026-07-21","startDateIso":"2026-07-21","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":98790.76417499997,"volume1wk":98790.76417499997,"volume1mo":98790.76417499997,"volume1yr":98790.76417499997,"gameStartTime":"2026-07-21 08:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["80479364270783068755336745580647293743538397235254791444398137418047084711716","105342055393043101770082372814103336622928160432333995068142086179760829273572"],"positionIds":["898059449567829133233309352812387990708917862922437259939182837805281705984","898059449567829133233309352812387990708917862922437259939182837805281705985"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"2","volume24hrClob":98790.76417499997,"volume1wkClob":98790.76417499997,"volume1moClob":98790.76417499997,"volume1yrClob":98790.76417499997,"volumeClob":98790.76417500002,"liquidityClob":158084.38161,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"727848","ticker":"cs2-cyb-g2a-2026-07-21","slug":"cs2-cyb-g2a-2026-07-21","title":"Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage","description":"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 21 at 4:00AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"CYBERSHOKE Prospects\" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against G2 Ares.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"G2 Ares\" if G2 Ares win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://kick.com/cct_cs","startDate":"2026-07-21T04:12:27.730292Z","creationDate":"2026-07-21T04:15:36.17815Z","endDate":"2026-07-21T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":158084.38161,"volume":214966.626167,"openInterest":46595.16725399999,"createdAt":"2026-07-21T04:10:20.60671Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:17:01.794387Z","competitive":0.8003199679231757,"volume24hr":214966.62616699998,"volume1wk":214966.62616699998,"volume1mo":214966.62616699998,"volume1yr":214966.62616699998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":158084.38161,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10310","ticker":"counter-strike","slug":"counter-strike","title":"Counter Strike","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-18T23:42:36.322544Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:16:03.554387Z","volume24hr":4930351.380483999,"volume":8619466.344372999,"liquidity":4172392.30502,"commentCount":9775,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-07-21","startTime":"2026-07-21T08:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"counter-strike","score":"000-000|1-2|Bo3","period":"3/3","live":false,"ended":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1587516,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"**CYBERSHOKE Prospects enters the CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 group-stage BO3 against G2 Ares with a slight ranking edge (#70 world ranking vs. #94) and a three-match win streak from recent regional events.** Both squads are academy teams—CYBERSHOKE Prospects featuring a predominantly CIS core (pleynnn, dezl3bio, SquEzxc, tw1sterzaza, DAN9ARMATURA) under coach Vert, while G2 Ares fields a broader European roster (SHiNE, tAk, hitori, Junyme, yksjupe) with coach innersh1ne. Player ratings over the past three months sit near parity (1.00–1.12 range), with map pools showing competitive win rates on common picks like Mirage and Inferno. The online Swiss-round format and youth rosters emphasize execution consistency and adaptation over established star power.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-07-21T05:00:26.066Z","gridSeriesId":"2970388","league":"CCT Europe","leagueTier":"3","pandascoreMatchId":1587516,"serie":"Series #5","tournament":"Group Stage"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:11:42Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":250,"rewardsMaxSpread":2.5,"spread":0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"1587516","sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-21T04:10:39.808751Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-07-21T08:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"clobPrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.1,"noProbability":100,"mispricingPct":50,"qualityScore":33,"confidence":68,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.1%","Mispricing 50% from 50/50","Quality 33/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1430498","question":"Epstein storage units raided in 2026?","conditionId":"0x3d5635f53b64e4e5be8dd69d16dade2c787d41dd8d8032ba7dad6f232fde2db5","slug":"epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"2592.862","startDate":"2026-02-26T00:33:24.4157Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026-58DAmpbu2DH7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026-58DAmpbu2DH7.jpg","description":"Recent reports show that Jeffrey Epstein previously used multiple storage units to hide files, computers, and other belongings (see: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/02/22/jeffrey-epstein-secret-files-storage-units-united-states/?ICID=continue_without_subscribing_reg_first).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any private individual or government authority discovers and examines the contents of a storage unit previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying storage unit must contain items previously belonging to or associated with Jeffrey Epstein at the time it is examined. The examination of a storage unit previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein which no longer contains any items related to Epstein will not count.\n\nOnly searches conducted within this market’s timeframe will count. Previously available or newly published information which demonstrates that storage units previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein were examined prior to this market’s creation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.26","0.74"],"volume":"9989.465123999995","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-24T22:42:29.402735Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:39.87395Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x2e16745fed4160dcebe42ce2040f3380f2e531acf07904dfa5cd97f8dc5e88d2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9989.465123999995,"liquidityNum":2592.862,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-02-26","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":30,"volume1wk":50.25,"volume1mo":2734.656686,"volume1yr":9989.465124000002,"clobTokenIds":["2628818428369622165008697433632655439218254716981610601485221128417669435432","25150999722976530443048069684878688358650629009404068210215182307217176535499"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":30,"volume1wkClob":50.25,"volume1moClob":2734.656686,"volume1yrClob":9989.465124000002,"volumeClob":9989.465123999995,"liquidityClob":2592.862,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"228684","ticker":"epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026","slug":"epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026","title":"Epstein storage units raided in 2026?","description":"Recent reports show that Jeffrey Epstein previously used multiple storage units to hide files, computers, and other belongings (see: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/02/22/jeffrey-epstein-secret-files-storage-units-united-states/?ICID=continue_without_subscribing_reg_first).\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any private individual or government authority discovers and examines the contents of a storage unit previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying storage unit must contain items previously belonging to or associated with Jeffrey Epstein at the time it is examined. The examination of a storage unit previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein which no longer contains any items related to Epstein will not count.\n\nOnly searches conducted within this market’s timeframe will count. Previously available or newly published information which demonstrates that storage units previously rented by or on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein were examined prior to this market’s creation will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-02-26T00:33:24.4157Z","creationDate":"2026-02-26T00:36:03.48547Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026-58DAmpbu2DH7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epstein-storage-units-raided-in-2026-58DAmpbu2DH7.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":2654.1723,"volume":9989.465123999995,"openInterest":2349.473598,"createdAt":"2026-02-24T22:42:28.237224Z","updatedAt":"2026-07-21T14:15:48.998382Z","competitive":0.9455370650529501,"volume24hr":30,"volume1wk":50.25,"volume1mo":2734.656686,"volume1yr":9989.465124000002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":2654.1723,"commentCount":4,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent disclosures from millions of DOJ-released Epstein documents in February 2026 revealed that Jeffrey Epstein maintained at least six storage units across multiple states to conceal computers, photographs, and other materials ahead of prior investigations, with federal search warrants and records indicating authorities never executed raids on those sites. Payments for the units continued until his 2019 death, yet no subsequent FBI or DOJ enforcement actions, new warrants, court orders, or legislative mandates have targeted them. As of mid-2026, the absence of active probes, scheduled operations, or official announcements sustains trader consensus favoring no raids occurring during the calendar year, reflecting limited momentum for renewed searches despite ongoing congressional interest in related records.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-06-17T18:02:32.452Z"}}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-02-26T00:32:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9455370650529501,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"87473","conditionId":"0x3d5635f53b64e4e5be8dd69d16dade2c787d41dd8d8032ba7dad6f232fde2db5","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-02-26","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.06,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.04,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.04,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.045,"lastTradePrice":0.25,"bestBid":0.23,"bestAsk":0.29,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-02-26T00:31:04.541595Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"clobPrices":["0.26","0.74"],"signal":{"yesProbability":26,"noProbability":74,"mispricingPct":24,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":34,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 26%","Mispricing 24% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}}]}