{"by":"volume","count":20,"as_of":"2026-11-11T23:28:25.909Z","items":[{"id":"6831497","question":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?","conditionId":"0xa7ba4563954892f7bdfd3cca6338d99bb4094ced275b459f121d2b40c046f585","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-by-december-31-20261108","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","liquidity":"186649.0246","startDate":"2026-11-08T02:48:46Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (Iran Standard Time) after the most recent qualifying military action. Military actions occurring before market creation are not qualifying military actions. Where no qualifying military action has occurred after market creation, the first day of the 14-day period will be the date of market creation (Iran Standard Time). The period runs through 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the 14th calendar day.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Iran” refers to the terrestrial territory of Iran, including its internal waters. Iran’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. To allow for the reporting of any qualifying military action occurring within a 14-day period, that period will not be considered completed until 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the third calendar date following its 14th day; only qualifying military actions occurring within the 14-day period will be considered for that period. If multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a potentially-qualifying incident at that time, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.825","0.175"],"volume":"99962.24222599999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-11-08T02:48:26.85233Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"December 31","groupItemThreshold":"4","questionID":"0xd8bdd4b75eea591479a942ec64c84fafd9b14eb25ce3619ad79c57c0b645091a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99962.24222599999,"liquidityNum":186649.0246,"endDateIso":"2026-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-11-08","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":25036.955394999997,"volume1wk":99962.242226,"volume1mo":99962.242226,"volume1yr":99962.242226,"clobTokenIds":["107534911760778154219204212970999106844776773464649046813049832057763574754267","97544291047499305738780271996235356650826345502504793599135836265513317588351"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":25036.955394999997,"volume1wkClob":99962.242226,"volume1moClob":99962.242226,"volume1yrClob":99962.242226,"volumeClob":99962.24222599999,"liquidityClob":186649.0246,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"1337182","ticker":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-2-week-pause-20261108","slug":"us-x-iran-effective-ceasefire-begins-by-2-week-pause-20261108","title":"US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (Iran Standard Time) after the most recent qualifying military action. Military actions occurring before market creation are not qualifying military actions. Where no qualifying military action has occurred after market creation, the first day of the 14-day period will be the date of market creation (Iran Standard Time). The period runs through 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the 14th calendar day.\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Iran” refers to the terrestrial territory of Iran, including its internal waters. Iran’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Iran as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. To allow for the reporting of any qualifying military action occurring within a 14-day period, that period will not be considered completed until 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time on the third calendar date following its 14th day; only qualifying military actions occurring within the 14-day period will be considered for that period. If multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a potentially-qualifying incident at that time, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-11-08T02:48:44Z","creationDate":"2026-11-08T02:49:38.23325Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T20:29:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/us-strikes-iran-by-october-3-2sVnIHq3sjqF.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"restricted":true,"liquidity":533438.3494,"volume":825162.229817,"openInterest":236590.54547800001,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-11-08T02:48:20.729442Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.9987764987889834,"volume24hr":144719.49572500002,"volume1wk":825162.229817,"volume1mo":825162.229817,"volume1yr":825162.229817,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":533438.3494,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":15,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-11-07T22:40:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"featuredOrder":17,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-11-08T02:48:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9044657998869418,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"4954638","conditionId":"0xa7ba4563954892f7bdfd3cca6338d99bb4094ced275b459f121d2b40c046f585","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":500,"startDate":"2026-11-08","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.02,"lastTradePrice":0.83,"bestBid":0.82,"bestAsk":0.83,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-11-08T02:48:39.144845Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"feeType":null,"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.825","0.175"],"signal":{"yesProbability":82.5,"noProbability":17.5,"mispricingPct":32.5,"qualityScore":35,"confidence":50,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 82.5%","Mispricing 32.5% from 50/50","Quality 35/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2734538","question":"Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?","conditionId":"0x7cff26b00a03b31be433d246702afb71622ab248e21447151ad04569730fc984","slug":"will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-december-31-2027-20260629142909679","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"15369.8122","startDate":"2026-06-29T20:14:39.622383Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-dec-pKPSIFdrUjXj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-dec-pKPSIFdrUjXj.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if he International Criminal Court (\"ICC\"), the International Court of Justice (\"ICJ\"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.\n\nA first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for \"Yes\" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.\n\nPreliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market. \n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.11","0.89"],"volume":"99870.33506400001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T19:31:21.851802Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:19:35.568056Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0x6baa2a521678254b6aca631dce37485f4fa4370ce1dfc0e4fceac46647ea3a08","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99870.33506400001,"liquidityNum":15369.8122,"endDateIso":"2028-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["86530853819696929920199555682888623138387770161330010338937420714007836804346","54466365985547922975843780910469222307773662492256372980244780898783427423684"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99870.33506400001,"liquidityClob":15369.8122,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"648784","ticker":"will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-december-31-2027-20260629142909679","slug":"will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-december-31-2027-20260629142909679","title":"Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if he International Criminal Court (\"ICC\"), the International Court of Justice (\"ICJ\"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nFor the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.\n\nA first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for \"Yes\" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.\n\nPreliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market. \n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-29T20:14:39.622383Z","creationDate":"2026-06-29T20:15:46.091234Z","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-dec-pKPSIFdrUjXj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-an-international-court-find-israel-or-its-leaders-guilty-of-genocide-by-dec-pKPSIFdrUjXj.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15369.8122,"volume":99870.33506400001,"openInterest":223.906494,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-06-29T19:31:21.178778Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:21:47.839663Z","competitive":0.8679802100512108,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15369.8122,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-29T20:13:50Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8679802100512108,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"739624","conditionId":"0x7cff26b00a03b31be433d246702afb71622ab248e21447151ad04569730fc984","assetAddress":"0xc011a7e12a19f7b1f670d46f03b03f3342e82dfb","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":0.001,"startDate":"2026-06-30","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.03,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.03,"lastTradePrice":0.13,"bestBid":0.1,"bestAsk":0.12,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-29T19:31:28.865705Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"feeType":null,"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.11","0.89"],"signal":{"yesProbability":11,"noProbability":89,"mispricingPct":39,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":52,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 11%","Mispricing 39% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1321867","question":"Epic Games IPO before 2027?","conditionId":"0x425b8f0d06004d1795a875be8f5db8836fd57cdb8711b9b3c0605225ad46e20b","slug":"epic-games-ipo-before-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"17528.43508","startDate":"2026-02-02T20:32:41.381214Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epic-games-ipo-before-2027-KJFpbQxZaS5C.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/epic-games-ipo-before-2027-KJFpbQxZaS5C.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.017","0.983"],"volume":"99824.90607500004","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-02-02T20:22:58.288288Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:25:36.17105Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Epic Games","groupItemThreshold":"31","questionID":"0xa0e046efe20557386e7b85fa9a94fbca19417547e26eaa29027b409d1e5ae5f4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99824.90607500004,"liquidityNum":17528.43508,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-02-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["97902154135502171419494996235269187305092800146401913320248377782683401588276","427847460684613503617925319699763149497447185736084733686557878798188398817"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":99824.90607500004,"liquidityClob":17528.43508,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"79048","ticker":"ipos-before-2027","slug":"ipos-before-2027","title":"IPOs before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. 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If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such race has taken place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\", regardless of whether the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship has been completed.\n\nA postponement, rescheduling or change of start time will not affect this market's resolution, so long as the race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. A change of circuit within the Emirate of Abu Dhabi will not affect this market's resolution. A race held in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi as part of the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship will count regardless of the official name of the event. If the race is cancelled, or relocated to a venue outside the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (including elsewhere in the United Arab Emirates), this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe race will be considered to have taken place if the Grand Prix race officially starts, regardless of whether the full scheduled race distance is completed or full points are awarded. Practice, Qualifying and Sprint sessions will not be considered. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 and the FIA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.89","0.11"],"volume":"9978.142861","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-15T18:17:28.733202Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0x50d716da1353fa1af258556096107cde21d33a1f345abba5d087e30afb607fd5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9978.142861,"liquidityNum":645.0745,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-09-15","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":238.866854,"volume1wk":1170.626382,"volume1mo":7014.726179,"volume1yr":9978.142861,"clobTokenIds":["45302339703642621284014888488650268866897578295797079964598749262996474098091","33392286508310991520707971642803509759698399988673288526625238150732216813478"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":238.866854,"volume1wkClob":1170.626382,"volume1moClob":7014.726179,"volume1yrClob":9978.142861,"volumeClob":9978.142861,"liquidityClob":645.0745,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"1029076","ticker":"f1-abu-dhabi-grand-prix-take-place-2026-12-06","slug":"f1-abu-dhabi-grand-prix-take-place-2026-12-06","title":"Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?","description":"The 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix is currently scheduled to take place at Yas Marina Circuit in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on December 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, during the 2026 Formula One World Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no such race has taken place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\", regardless of whether the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship has been completed.\n\nA postponement, rescheduling or change of start time will not affect this market's resolution, so long as the race takes place in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi by March 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. A change of circuit within the Emirate of Abu Dhabi will not affect this market's resolution. A race held in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi as part of the 2026 FIA Formula One World Championship will count regardless of the official name of the event. If the race is cancelled, or relocated to a venue outside the Emirate of Abu Dhabi (including elsewhere in the United Arab Emirates), this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe race will be considered to have taken place if the Grand Prix race officially starts, regardless of whether the full scheduled race distance is completed or full points are awarded. Practice, Qualifying and Sprint sessions will not be considered. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 and the FIA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2026/united-arab-emirates","startDate":"2026-09-15T18:17:44Z","creationDate":"2026-09-15T18:18:56.348407Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/f1-constructors-champion-2025-PULWDiyoGXZ7.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":643.4745,"volume":9978.142861,"openInterest":4189.189308,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-09-15T18:17:28.155702Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.8679802100512108,"volume24hr":238.866854,"volume1wk":1170.626382,"volume1mo":7014.726179,"volume1yr":9978.142861,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":643.4745,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":3,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-15T18:17:44Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8679802100512108,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"2118072","conditionId":"0x608e674e013151dea724a8bdc12a2ef3cb905a3d17538f164c006522b76bf873","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-11-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.06,"oneDayPriceChange":0.035,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.26,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.215,"lastTradePrice":0.88,"bestBid":0.86,"bestAsk":0.92,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-15T18:17:33.263554Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.89","0.11"],"signal":{"yesProbability":89,"noProbability":11,"mispricingPct":39,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":51,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 89%","Mispricing 39% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2371772","question":"Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?","conditionId":"0x2f00e89eddf4978613385471f83727c752ad67b78a90c4a9a79d03d0c8b48dd2","slug":"will-sam-rockwell-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-99th-academy-awards","resolutionSource":"https://www.oscars.org/","endDate":"2027-01-21T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"2667.55746","startDate":"2026-05-27T20:05:34.297691Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-uExlgIhppb3W.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-uExlgIhppb3W.jpg","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.013","0.987"],"volume":"9977.302077","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-05-27T18:06:13.584236Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:23:35.51674Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Sam Rockwell","groupItemThreshold":"14","questionID":"0xd764fb5e01738172398050e4c6c363fd54ddb69f1a288a236dd401ee9d0370f9","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9977.302077,"liquidityNum":2667.55746,"endDateIso":"2027-01-21","startDateIso":"2026-05-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["108285250004806143512903340445429431007464603507420637790462951090711050338491","8565409065089042655753323589398801127154806688260482296405138378985372057872"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9977.302077,"liquidityClob":2667.55746,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"531533","ticker":"oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","slug":"oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892","title":"Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations ","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. 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If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.12","0.88"],"volume":"9975.74392","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-23T01:28:28.764745Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"5.15%","groupItemThreshold":"12","questionID":"0x72878f015f6128a860685a8f11b277ce877f01d3fa4817fa54afff085f73f880","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9975.74392,"liquidityNum":4575.95397,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-10-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":1418.303256,"volume1wk":2667.797675,"volume1mo":9975.74392,"volume1yr":9975.74392,"clobTokenIds":["76528489082650747459564205953574646728321432948961659989356370228836020753297","100508254899420783616054701070495634404820414283631046619935712510960748762011"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":1418.303256,"volume1wkClob":2667.797675,"volume1moClob":9975.74392,"volume1yrClob":9975.74392,"volumeClob":9975.74392,"liquidityClob":4575.95397,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"956931","ticker":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","slug":"how-high-will-5-year-treasury-yield-go-before-2027","title":"How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under \"Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates\" for the column \"5 Yr\" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-09-03T01:05:43Z","creationDate":"2026-09-03T01:07:04.484679Z","endDate":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":12587.69603,"volume":271961.22313,"openInterest":30314.090716999995,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-09-03T01:05:19.225968Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.9987764987889834,"volume24hr":3352.283572,"volume1wk":17450.429471,"volume1mo":152397.612223,"volume1yr":231550.41334600002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":12587.69603,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"12991","ticker":"how-high-5-year-treasury","slug":"how-high-5-year-treasury","title":"How high 5-year Treasury","recurrence":"monthly","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-high-will-10-year-treasury-yield-go-in-2025-nKj-Uvwxqu0s.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-11-02T23:39:57.037451Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:28:00.313926Z","volume24hr":3758.1248219999998,"volume":277146.586595,"liquidity":17571.64773,"commentCount":0}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"how-high-5-year-treasury","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-23T01:28:38Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8738203425375743,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"5042998","conditionId":"0x75fe53f55d40082ae061ef50c1af81f79592e397ccee2332de070072fe55d0c9","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":10,"startDate":"2026-11-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.016,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.065,"lastTradePrice":0.128,"bestBid":0.112,"bestAsk":0.128,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-23T01:28:31.700713Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"economics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.12","0.88"],"signal":{"yesProbability":12,"noProbability":88,"mispricingPct":38,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":50,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 12%","Mispricing 38% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4397307","question":"Will ON win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?","conditionId":"0x2396093d09bbd10cf6cdea0dcbf04d5d5b353146b9e6ccb63bd8d696beb2200d","slug":"will-on-win-worlds-2026-finals-mvp","resolutionSource":"https://lolesports.com","endDate":"2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"23514.19882","startDate":"2026-09-09T02:45:19Z","description":"This market will resolve according to the player named Finals MVP (Most Valuable Player of the Grand Final) of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Grand Final scheduled for November 14, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a Finals MVP has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple players are declared a Finals MVP (e.g., due to ties or special circumstances), this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0245","0.9755"],"volume":"9975.28743","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-09T02:44:11.865471Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"ON","groupItemThreshold":"26","questionID":"0x1f5f78d016c91ac528cb52de57d36b3ea7a8687d756f5ee889b51f00a51aea1a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9975.28743,"liquidityNum":23514.19882,"endDateIso":"2026-11-29","startDateIso":"2026-09-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":2284.612967,"volume1wk":9699.98723,"volume1mo":9712.98723,"volume1yr":9975.28743,"clobTokenIds":["10946589247197552633760787016592805206202499459590258805859821259853932298937","55146270925205847986416525160729532280096699392335475557726208699238937380913"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":2284.612967,"volume1wkClob":9699.98723,"volume1moClob":9712.98723,"volume1yrClob":9975.28743,"volumeClob":9975.28743,"liquidityClob":23514.19882,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x1f5f78d016c91ac528cb52de57d36b3ea7a8687d756f5ee889b51f00a51aea00","negRiskRequestID":"0x8617e6be7ab1d3afd9407ad07635620ef7c04c6e61e08308a7a2a13356267c06","events":[{"id":"991821","ticker":"worlds-2026-finals-mvp","slug":"worlds-2026-finals-mvp","title":"Worlds 2026: Finals MVP","description":"This market will resolve according to the player named Finals MVP (Most Valuable Player of the Grand Final) of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Grand Final scheduled for November 14, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a Finals MVP has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf multiple players are declared a Finals MVP (e.g., due to ties or special circumstances), this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.","resolutionSource":"https://lolesports.com","startDate":"2026-09-09T02:45:19Z","creationDate":"2026-09-09T02:46:33.522181Z","endDate":"2026-11-29T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-art/esports/lol/worlds-2026-winner.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-art/esports/lol/worlds-2026-winner.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":546923.69515,"volume":306692.214224,"openInterest":67331.11390300002,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-09-09T02:44:03.925138Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.9248768757659137,"volume24hr":32410.690610999998,"volume1wk":141799.250512,"volume1mo":197127.09836,"volume1yr":205629.919904,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":546923.69515,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x1f5f78d016c91ac528cb52de57d36b3ea7a8687d756f5ee889b51f00a51aea00","commentCount":4,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":false,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-09T02:44:42.330163Z","eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-09T02:45:19Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8155939940473872,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":0,"rewardsMaxSpread":0,"spread":0.005,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.003,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0185,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0005,"lastTradePrice":0.031,"bestBid":0.022,"bestAsk":0.027,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-09T02:44:42.37446Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0245","0.9755"],"signal":{"yesProbability":2.5,"noProbability":97.6,"mispricingPct":47.6,"qualityScore":22,"confidence":61,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 2.5%","Mispricing 47.6% from 50/50","Quality 22/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"5686355","question":"Will \"Dune: Part Three\" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?","conditionId":"0x9b2244b5a3a83b84a24d3fced02dc64c5ec042db30d7ce8460210b29a6a6c642","slug":"will-dune-part-three-be-nominated-for-best-original-score-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-03-15T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"1409.2457","startDate":"2026-10-14T13:21:48Z","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.75","0.25"],"volume":"9972.269694","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-14T13:21:28.308539Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Dune: Part Three","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0xea080b1c3f393f81dc08975819aec01fa509f25739512e6096b9bc727b1eb7f2","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9972.269694,"liquidityNum":1409.2457,"endDateIso":"2027-03-15","startDateIso":"2026-10-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":7.4,"volume1wk":1064.914387,"volume1mo":9972.269694,"volume1yr":9972.269694,"clobTokenIds":["31381828458810660863353837303959984685626336501127181236820680023052816538976","112209276660089513358521604296562132561158187304169046133900913513203765783008"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":7.4,"volume1wkClob":1064.914387,"volume1moClob":9972.269694,"volume1yrClob":9972.269694,"volumeClob":9972.269694,"liquidityClob":1409.2457,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"1188319","ticker":"oscars-2027-best-original-score-nominations-20261013180153422","slug":"oscars-2027-best-original-score-nominations-20261013180153422","title":"Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations","description":"The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-10-14T13:21:48Z","creationDate":"2026-10-14T13:23:00.627636Z","endDate":"2027-03-15T03:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-810eefffe5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/oscars-810eefffe5.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":20564.64511,"volume":93388.91302,"openInterest":15673.422095,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-10-14T13:21:27.045074Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.9900990099009901,"volume24hr":1357.13,"volume1wk":6347.577028,"volume1mo":50064.43008,"volume1yr":50064.43008,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":20564.64511,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-14T13:21:48Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9411764705882353,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"3765884","conditionId":"0x9b2244b5a3a83b84a24d3fced02dc64c5ec042db30d7ce8460210b29a6a6c642","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-11-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.08,"oneDayPriceChange":0.015,"oneHourPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.055,"lastTradePrice":0.75,"bestBid":0.71,"bestAsk":0.79,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-14T13:21:41.690464Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"culture_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.745","0.255"],"signal":{"yesProbability":74.5,"noProbability":25.5,"mispricingPct":24.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":35,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 74.5%","Mispricing 24.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4657167","question":"SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?","conditionId":"0xb5dbd674cca2685b15f945f7931d663bd6ee1e1ffa4428dd76277de444ad6cfd","slug":"spacexai-announces-a-full-training-pause-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"960.59272","startDate":"2026-09-17T19:54:46Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31-TTqfjw1-TCOX.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacexai-announces-a-training-pause-by-october-31-TTqfjw1-TCOX.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. 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Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-09-17T19:54:44Z","creationDate":"2026-09-17T19:56:51.226448Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31--cpnNPCdwGnk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-ai-labs-announce-a-training-pause-by-october-31--cpnNPCdwGnk.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":3781.97236,"volume":6742.5608170000005,"openInterest":1868.3060820000003,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-09-17T19:54:18.889728Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.9161651616745209,"volume24hr":1.74,"volume1wk":78.72999999999999,"volume1mo":554.724619,"volume1yr":1230.048209,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":3781.97236,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-17T19:54:46Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.829419682004641,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"5050916","conditionId":"0xb5dbd674cca2685b15f945f7931d663bd6ee1e1ffa4428dd76277de444ad6cfd","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":2,"startDate":"2026-11-11","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.051,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0165,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0185,"lastTradePrice":0.05,"bestBid":0.021,"bestAsk":0.072,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-17T19:54:34.651713Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0465","0.9535"],"signal":{"yesProbability":4.7,"noProbability":95.4,"mispricingPct":45.4,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":58,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 4.7%","Mispricing 45.4% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4664636","question":"Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?","conditionId":"0x4632314f9fe3cc8522f12a49048e44b87ba96fcc59c124ee1baee7c3a141f8a1","slug":"will-bytedance-be-the-third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-november-2026","resolutionSource":"https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs","endDate":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"2710.47657","startDate":"2026-09-18T00:08:49Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0015","0.9985"],"volume":"999.0713999999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-18T00:07:55.729994Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"ByteDance","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x904cc8a66822732c2e06af0113367cc6ccd8a83c65f512ab07a4804b8b659206","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.0713999999999,"liquidityNum":2710.47657,"endDateIso":"2026-12-01","startDateIso":"2026-09-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["105669654514953008611624088844688115650656673072443141909562760083587901574431","15177235305430374336000585590892401954817833712586179701746360277763415902009"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.0713999999999,"liquidityClob":2710.47657,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x904cc8a66822732c2e06af0113367cc6ccd8a83c65f512ab07a4804b8b659200","negRiskRequestID":"0xb70aca3ad9bb1bbc985ad7710e45e6693115268185b27a60716272f5e13f7f97","events":[{"id":"1040631","ticker":"third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november","slug":"third-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-november","title":"Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?","description":"This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under \"Code Arena | WebDev\" filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Code Arena | WebDev\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. 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Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for \"Democrat\" and \"Republican,\" respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\" If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as \"Republican\" or \"Democrat\" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.002","0.998"],"volume":"999.0138059999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-11T18:18:08.778132Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:25:36.17105Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Democrat 0-10%","groupItemThreshold":"7","questionID":"0x7612129885019e4b864c2dd7cf4505dc74e3fdafd5d12c4821e2fe8bddd56507","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.0138059999999,"liquidityNum":2184.43839,"endDateIso":"2026-11-04","startDateIso":"2026-08-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["17165112936196547072097201857734208636659765432594651190343569339885178341872","64064957626962866318717408736920585213601924474894180219459419921319152764637"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.0138059999999,"liquidityClob":2184.43839,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7612129885019e4b864c2dd7cf4505dc74e3fdafd5d12c4821e2fe8bddd56500","negRiskRequestID":"0xbd5273aba0092f5db54f8cd8a0e70f1192e7cfbc164c6fe63d9cdf549447291f","events":[{"id":"834363","ticker":"nj-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026","slug":"nj-06-house-margin-of-victory-2026","title":"NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory","description":"The 2026 NJ-06 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nFor purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for \"Democrat\" and \"Republican,\" respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\" If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as \"Republican\" or \"Democrat\" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-06 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-08-11T18:18:35Z","creationDate":"2026-08-11T18:20:22.753667Z","endDate":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NJ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/state_flags/NJ.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":42327.45574,"volume":43468.638735,"openInterest":10010.26451,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-08-11T18:18:05.705471Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.8368745330501629,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":42327.45574,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7612129885019e4b864c2dd7cf4505dc74e3fdafd5d12c4821e2fe8bddd56500","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":false,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-11T18:18:17.380001Z","eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-11T18:18:35Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8012794830785799,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.004,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0025,"lastTradePrice":0.017,"bestAsk":0.004,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-11T18:18:17.428444Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.002","0.998"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.2,"noProbability":99.8,"mispricingPct":49.8,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.2%","Mispricing 49.8% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"5924061","question":"Exact Score: Glentoran FC 3 - 1 Ballymena United?","conditionId":"0x4c4aab59ff99fda676578e882a2baca63bb48448774c8d9cbb5dacfab0025ac7","slug":"nirl1-gle-bal-2026-10-24-exact-score-3-1","endDate":"2026-10-24T14:00:00Z","liquidity":"180","startDate":"2026-10-19T14:00:09Z","description":"In the upcoming NIFL Premiership game between Glentoran FC and Ballymena United, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.4","0.6"],"volume":"998.99","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-19T13:59:35.957254Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T18:09:35.466724Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Glentoran FC 3 - 1 Ballymena United","groupItemThreshold":"13","questionID":"0xfe4b6a1920a3ee5aa25904781c904e20bb5ee1e2b0e56312a529d09eed55df0d","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":998.99,"liquidityNum":180,"endDateIso":"2026-10-24","startDateIso":"2026-10-19","hasReviewedDates":true,"gameStartTime":"2026-10-24 14:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["9665854356481401828899894980356874600710791690257448696537128160194559043247","88650433515436463643760284445620537304945492231049374444369712698814020206524"],"positionIds":["1235680952298037796587140212642931050850535392333425808752945137221244030208","1235680952298037796587140212642931050850535392333425808752945137221244030209"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volumeClob":998.99,"liquidityClob":180,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xfe4b6a1920a3ee5aa25904781c904e20bb5ee1e2b0e56312a529d09eed55df00","negRiskRequestID":"0x4ad2b335e379ae86f6cb4d9f2eb9029532406348b101074f6dcda27cfce38d63","events":[{"id":"1217980","ticker":"nirl1-gle-bal-2026-10-24-exact-score","slug":"nirl1-gle-bal-2026-10-24-exact-score","title":"Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United - Exact Score","description":"In the upcoming NIFL Premiership game between Glentoran FC and Ballymena United, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Glentoran FC vs. Ballymena United match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.","resolutionSource":"https://www.nifootballleague.com/","startDate":"2026-10-19T14:00:09Z","creationDate":"2026-10-19T14:01:26.783003Z","endDate":"2026-10-24T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/soccer ball-bba4025f77.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/soccer ball-bba4025f77.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":3694.60866,"volume":23243.08473,"openInterest":20779.175912000006,"createdAt":"2026-10-19T13:59:35.093756Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.327303863646769,"volume24hr":8,"volume1wk":867.99,"volume1mo":875.993,"volume1yr":875.993,"parentEventId":1217978,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":3694.60866,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xfe4b6a1920a3ee5aa25904781c904e20bb5ee1e2b0e56312a529d09eed55df00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"12543","ticker":"nirl1-games","slug":"nirl1-games","title":"NIFL Premiership","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2026-08-07T19:39:10.011213Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:28:00.313926Z","volume24hr":292.007301,"volume":27497.331286,"liquidity":140760.99232,"commentCount":0}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-10-24","startTime":"2026-10-24T14:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"nirl1-games","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-19T13:59:37.668489Z","gameId":72346382,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-19T14:00:09Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.19801980198019803,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.8,"lastTradePrice":0.99,"bestAsk":0.8,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"soccer_exact_score","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-19T13:59:38.087587Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.4","0.6"],"signal":{"yesProbability":40,"noProbability":60,"mispricingPct":10,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":19,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 40%","Mispricing 10% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"5782528","question":"Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?","conditionId":"0xdc108720dbcfe3a1fa08b9bfbb9ff01b5f1ec169031394ca205050c6641d9bef","slug":"will-spencer-pratt-be-the-next-white-house-press-secretary-2027","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"5113.76281","startDate":"2026-10-16T18:13:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spencer-pratt-be-the-next-white-house-press-secretary-UEvpY1iJc7jh.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spencer-pratt-be-the-next-white-house-press-secretary-UEvpY1iJc7jh.jpg","description":"This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0165","0.9835"],"volume":"998.7911120000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-10-16T18:05:35.060172Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:36.426101Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Spencer 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used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-10-16T18:13:00Z","creationDate":"2026-10-16T18:15:05.754031Z","endDate":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yet-again-the-next-press-secretary-in-2026-IMyD8yPohcuU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/yet-again-the-next-press-secretary-in-2026-IMyD8yPohcuU.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":454331.23242,"volume":839560.2593510001,"openInterest":145788.01935599995,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-10-16T18:05:22.843276Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.927299703264095,"volume24hr":25630.523745,"volume1wk":396437.075229,"volume1mo":684261.881204,"volume1yr":684261.881204,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":454331.23242,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x41ab66b968f36728880e7e41dc9a7e7f13b3977d7779295246b42caad58abf00","commentCount":21,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":false,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-16T18:12:00.003524Z","eventMetadata":{"context_requires_regen":true},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-10-16T18:13:00Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8105223634264752,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.013,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0025,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0105,"lastTradePrice":0.01,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.023,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-10-16T18:12:00.679354Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0165","0.9835"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.7,"noProbability":98.4,"mispricingPct":48.4,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":61,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES 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High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index \"High\" and \"Low\" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart set to \"1m\" on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.012","0.988"],"volume":"998.694984","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-11-02T17:09:55.030789Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T22:01:37.129892Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xAC9930b2AE455a671b62dE86876A7e8587825294","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"↑ 70","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xfc3d163d0133a709176f5a9039df504bd3b0d33b01fe632b3f0c25cb895b723f","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":998.694984,"liquidityNum":351.53901,"endDateIso":"2026-12-01","startDateIso":"2026-11-02","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":0.05,"volume1wk":203.921517,"volume1mo":324.421517,"volume1yr":324.421517,"clobTokenIds":["78068791697500580276825155703894583504843451717484143885203371368505927829390","70385214224462255683666957122466979557763357853471183120058315884118986667469"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":0.05,"volume1wkClob":203.921517,"volume1moClob":324.421517,"volume1yrClob":324.421517,"volumeClob":998.694984,"liquidityClob":351.53901,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"1302236","ticker":"what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-november-30-2026","slug":"what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-november-30-2026","title":"What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?","description":"This market will immediately resolve to \"Yes\" if any Volmex 1-minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final \"High\" or \"Low\" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index \"High\" and \"Low\" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart set to \"1m\" on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-11-02T17:10:24Z","creationDate":"2026-11-02T17:11:28.288003Z","endDate":"2026-12-01T05:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-bitcoin-volatility-index-hit-in-2026-7SliALhjfakm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/what-will-the-bitcoin-volatility-index-hit-in-2026-7SliALhjfakm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6340.03227,"volume":9166.606013999999,"openInterest":2714.725986,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-11-02T17:09:51.709151Z","updatedAt":"2026-11-11T23:27:46.664392Z","competitive":0.8852691218130312,"volume24hr":378.124385,"volume1wk":2342.202564,"volume1mo":3497.0025640000003,"volume1yr":3497.0025640000003,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6340.03227,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-11-02T17:10:24Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.807660498294221,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.02,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.063,"lastTradePrice":0.002,"bestBid":0.002,"bestAsk":0.022,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-11-02T17:10:16.355138Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"fallbackResolutionType":"none","resolutionMechanism":"oracle","tradingEligible":true,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.012","0.988"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.2,"noProbability":98.8,"mispricingPct":48.8,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":62,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.2%","Mispricing 48.8% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}}]}