{"by":"volume","count":20,"as_of":"2026-09-05T16:33:58.100Z","items":[{"id":"2730675","question":"Iran leadership change by September 30?","conditionId":"0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920","slug":"iran-leadership-change-by-september-30-20260629144005163-739-824","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"158259.1114","startDate":"2026-06-29T14:45:48.15Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-leader-ship-change-by-6HjLf457Nt35.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-leader-ship-change-by-6HjLf457Nt35.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.028","0.972"],"volume":"996910.4811490001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-29T14:43:44.084106Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30","groupItemThreshold":"9","questionID":"0xc38ccf020f20b47d95f67c84a7b52679f8d30cfe1fe071706ed2af2b2e9f7717","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":996910.4811490001,"liquidityNum":158259.1114,"endDateIso":"2026-10-01","startDateIso":"2026-06-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":313740.522602,"volume1wk":485276.742122,"volume1mo":669073.391651,"volume1yr":996910.4811490003,"clobTokenIds":["88625172154940601310371162296902329186464943870430613860050976406759176744521","43227666156008194633229195117475123500633674250072587927676970641387990170901"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":313740.522602,"volume1wkClob":485276.742122,"volume1moClob":669073.391651,"volume1yrClob":996910.4811490003,"volumeClob":996910.4811490001,"liquidityClob":158259.1114,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"255195","ticker":"iran-leadership-change-by","slug":"iran-leadership-change-by","title":"Iran leadership change by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-09T02:58:15.361Z","creationDate":"2026-03-09T02:59:17.336277Z","endDate":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-leader-ship-change-by-6HjLf457Nt35.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/iran-leader-ship-change-by-6HjLf457Nt35.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":579371.33498,"volume":25020101.31457902,"openInterest":1030724.5971990002,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-03-09T02:53:06.594757Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.938945095185559,"volume24hr":318799.288093,"volume1wk":678678.072422,"volume1mo":1469283.222804,"volume1yr":5731236.475157,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":579371.33498,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1094,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes, establishing continuity amid wartime pressure. Trader sentiment reflects the low probability of near-term change because the regime has maintained institutional processes through the Assembly of Experts and a provisional leadership council, with Mojtaba retaining de facto authority despite remaining unseen since his appointment. Reports cite his reported injuries, ongoing recovery, and security-driven seclusion, alongside IRGC influence and clerical support that favor stability over disruption. External threats of targeted strikes and the active conflict continue to shape internal cohesion, while any resolution hinges on verifiable official announcements or confirmed removal rather than speculation.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:31:41.455Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-29T14:44:58Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8178059248403643,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"991858","conditionId":"0x094772b3529f455e881a4483eaf1c24266384f55e97c23f24f638f5726ba9920","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":100,"startDate":"2026-07-22","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":200,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0045,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.006,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.027,"lastTradePrice":0.027,"bestBid":0.027,"bestAsk":0.029,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-29T14:43:57.388907Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.028","0.972"],"signal":{"yesProbability":2.8,"noProbability":97.2,"mispricingPct":47.2,"qualityScore":54,"confidence":74,"strength":"MODERATE","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 2.8%","Mispricing 47.2% from 50/50","Quality 54/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4229376","question":"Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner","conditionId":"0xf86b33b82a0e0b44d2c30c3264e2ed9f95ebfc4d98275d124f69c77d3fa68bb7","slug":"cs2-ts7-fal2-2026-09-05-game2","resolutionSource":"https://hltv.org","endDate":"2026-09-05T20:00:00Z","liquidity":"381128.72206","startDate":"2026-09-04T20:35:21Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","description":"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Spirit\" if Spirit win Map 2 against Team Falcons.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Team Falcons\" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Spirit.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. \n\nIf Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. \n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.","outcomes":["Spirit","Team Falcons"],"outcomePrices":["0.9995","0.0005"],"volume":"996028.287706","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-04T20:35:10.135214Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Map 2 Winner","questionID":"0xe4f76fb2a045b38582809d4bb554b53df022b151adc1cdde74a241a5269f3498","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"proposed","volumeNum":996028.287706,"liquidityNum":381128.72206,"endDateIso":"2026-09-05","startDateIso":"2026-09-04","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":996028.2877060006,"volume1wk":996028.2877060006,"volume1mo":996028.2877060006,"volume1yr":996028.2877060006,"gameStartTime":"2026-09-05 14:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["61368774849738226433217302604163725833749767729515136801666479828182608187817","53801897468875405055568818772923288886924280498376441068818966326525830772333"],"positionIds":["717201773704940444392772597660235065116127103876739492674063023328104284160","717201773704940444392772597660235065116127103876739492674063023328104284161"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"1.5","volume24hrClob":996028.2877060006,"volume1wkClob":996028.2877060006,"volume1moClob":996028.2877060006,"volume1yrClob":996028.2877060006,"volumeClob":996028.287706,"liquidityClob":381128.72206,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":1800,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"966501","ticker":"cs2-ts7-fal2-2026-09-05","slug":"cs2-ts7-fal2-2026-09-05","title":"Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs","description":"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Spirit\" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Team Falcons\" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit.\n\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.\n\nIf the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.\n\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. \n\nIf the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.\n\nIn cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://www.twitch.tv/blastpremier","startDate":"2026-09-04T20:35:20Z","creationDate":"2026-09-04T20:36:42.657932Z","endDate":"2026-09-05T20:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/counter-strike-image-16c415c538.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":1353402.33807,"volume":2768122.150816999,"openInterest":1296404.969672,"createdAt":"2026-09-04T20:35:09.744768Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":1,"volume24hr":2768336.096622002,"volume1wk":2768336.096622002,"volume1mo":2768336.096622002,"volume1yr":2768336.096622002,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":1353402.33807,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10310","ticker":"counter-strike","slug":"counter-strike","title":"Counter Strike","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-18T23:42:36.322544Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":9548607.163843,"volume":10138422.570859998,"liquidity":4135176.81414,"commentCount":10752,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-09-05","startTime":"2026-09-05T14:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"counter-strike","score":"000-000|2-0|Bo3","period":"2/3","live":false,"ended":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1640213,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Team Spirit enters the BLAST Open Porto semifinals as the clear market favorite after winning the Esports World Cup 2026 and extending a nine-match win streak with flawless group-stage results, including 2-0 victories over G2 and FURIA. Star rifler donk continues posting elite ratings above 1.6 while the supporting cast maintains consistent impact across maps. Team Falcons advanced past G2 in the quarterfinals but carry mixed recent form after earlier losses to MOUZ and an early EWC exit, despite their IEM Cologne Major title earlier in the year. Historical head-to-head edges favor Spirit on most maps in the current pool, with LAN conditions in Porto expected to reward disciplined execution over individual heroics.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:31:42.042Z","gridSeriesId":"3002163","league":"BLAST Open","leagueTier":"2","pandascoreMatchId":1640213,"serie":"Porto","tournament":"Playoffs"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-04T20:35:21Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneHourPriceChange":0.3045,"lastTradePrice":0.999,"bestBid":0.999,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"gameId":"227107","sportsMarketType":"child_moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-04T20:35:12.160078Z","rfqEnabled":false,"eventStartTime":"2026-09-05T14:00:00Z","holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.9995","0.0005"],"signal":{"yesProbability":100,"noProbability":0.1,"mispricingPct":50,"qualityScore":69,"confidence":83,"strength":"STRONG","direction":"BUY_NO","rationale":["YES probability 100%","Mispricing 50% from 50/50","Quality 69/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2089111","question":"Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?","conditionId":"0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7","slug":"will-ciro-gomes-win-the-2026-cear-gubernatorial-election","endDate":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","liquidity":"12868.5982","startDate":"2026-04-27T21:35:53.352265Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ciro-gomes-win-the-2026-cear-gubernatorial-election-fhhu6do9bN7s.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ciro-gomes-win-the-2026-cear-gubernatorial-election-fhhu6do9bN7s.jpg","description":"The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.64","0.36"],"volume":"99872.777202","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-26T21:26:13.328493Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Ciro Gomes","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x6750199a0bc9333c898fde2c7875f0afb7e0ba2efafecf96d14ecb39e2911901","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99872.777202,"liquidityNum":12868.5982,"endDateIso":"2026-10-04","startDateIso":"2026-04-27","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":595.507595,"volume1wk":7781.553199000001,"volume1mo":29349.042512999997,"volume1yr":99898.870282,"clobTokenIds":["105484939946786732629358238535517573537022130860998447943263640174281414340108","6420041504394787020962944132154760366808172886037862610912845165905940455037"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":595.507595,"volume1wkClob":7781.553199000001,"volume1moClob":29349.042512999997,"volume1yrClob":99898.870282,"volumeClob":99872.777202,"liquidityClob":12868.5982,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x6750199a0bc9333c898fde2c7875f0afb7e0ba2efafecf96d14ecb39e2911900","negRiskRequestID":"0xd69283aa57622376c042de5f7cf76fd36e4897d788c871d415c255b18743fd59","events":[{"id":"421398","ticker":"cear-governor-election-winner","slug":"cear-governor-election-winner","title":"Ceará Governor Election Winner","description":"The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-27T21:35:50.362276Z","creationDate":"2026-04-27T21:42:37.533892Z","endDate":"2026-10-04T06:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cear-governor-election-winner-4G9cKVaciSOY.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/cear-governor-election-winner-4G9cKVaciSOY.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":139312.83234,"volume":212435.758955,"openInterest":27267.484685,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-04-26T21:26:12.437228Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9821012055292297,"volume24hr":2052.022745,"volume1wk":14177.73803,"volume1mo":55860.734294,"volume1yr":149215.93951599998,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":139312.83234,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x6750199a0bc9333c898fde2c7875f0afb7e0ba2efafecf96d14ecb39e2911900","commentCount":14,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:28:46.030876Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in recent polls with 45-48% support in the first round against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 34-46%, reflecting his stronger name recognition as a former governor, broad center-right alliances including the PL and União Progressista, and the post-2022 split from the PT-aligned group. Elmano benefits from Lula's active campaigning and the Federação Brasil da Esperança coalition but trails amid voter shifts and a narrowing gap in late August and early September surveys. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão (NOVO) register under 2%. The election occurs October 4, with traders pricing Ciro as the frontrunner based on consistent polling leads and structural advantages in the polarized contest.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:32:09.265Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:34:34Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9807767752059631,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"253329","conditionId":"0x927d2b026c8cbd96e5a9cb7a3f2457bc06725d145f4913c1931d8cbf8464aee7","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-09-05","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.02,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.005,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.035,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.01,"lastTradePrice":0.65,"bestBid":0.63,"bestAsk":0.65,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-27T21:33:18.032095Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.635","0.365"],"signal":{"yesProbability":63.5,"noProbability":36.5,"mispricingPct":13.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":24,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 63.5%","Mispricing 13.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"690614","question":"Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?","conditionId":"0x4204709db9aa84a9f39649954ef58d35065fd3ba21f16c0c75fdc1b601ea03f0","slug":"will-extended-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"5175.38292","startDate":"2025-11-18T23:34:11.279Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.007","0.993"],"volume":"99798.16575000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2025-11-18T23:32:58.556083Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"September 30, 2026","groupItemThreshold":"3","questionID":"0x10f34fe65f02004435a30f9cea9524f219f28f65a25ec33940aaeee6157c1f00","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99798.16575000001,"liquidityNum":5175.38292,"endDateIso":"2026-10-01","startDateIso":"2025-11-18","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":37,"volume1wk":15130.61,"volume1mo":49215.416699,"volume1yr":99798.16575000001,"clobTokenIds":["79735457862859080351002766294093556714485201637023905402374487672949153842998","45971850167312190982666825557066253718070112457952972894728474061182091990171"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":37,"volume1wkClob":15130.61,"volume1moClob":49215.416699,"volume1yrClob":99798.16575000001,"volumeClob":99798.16575000001,"liquidityClob":5175.38292,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"84920","ticker":"will-extended-launch-a-token-by","slug":"will-extended-launch-a-token-by","title":"Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2025-11-18T23:34:10.504Z","creationDate":"2025-11-18T23:37:55.597977Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-D5bpW_p-APnZ.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":7759.06575,"volume":341819.356392,"openInterest":43726.014927000004,"createdAt":"2025-11-18T23:32:56.328842Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9564049121912696,"volume24hr":37,"volume1wk":25293.65,"volume1mo":67775.24660299999,"volume1yr":200735.40001600038,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":7759.06575,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":22,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2025-11-18T23:33:49Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8044735163296057,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":30,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.037,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.618,"lastTradePrice":0.007,"bestBid":0.006,"bestAsk":0.008,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2025-11-18T23:33:19.023685Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"crypto_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.07,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.2},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.007","0.993"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.7,"noProbability":99.3,"mispricingPct":49.3,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.7%","Mispricing 49.3% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"1494713","question":"Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?","conditionId":"0x26b9aebb932bc4cd41e0a6c3d2cd81fdaab3d98a55cd83e014a9b5ea2ac01e83","slug":"will-faker-win-a-finals-mvp-award-at-an-international-event-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"5781.37139","startDate":"2026-03-03T21:42:59.437256Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/faker-8414e28ef7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/faker-8414e28ef7.jpg","description":"The market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Lee \"Faker\" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market may resolve to “No” when it becomes impossible for Faker to win such an award (e.g., if his team is eliminated from all remaining international events without him receiving an MVP, or the season concludes without qualification).\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if no Finals MVP Award has been officially announced for Faker by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official LoL Esports channels and Riot Games (https://lolesports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.095","0.905"],"volume":"99509.64762999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-03-03T20:50:45.4197Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xeb5117a3d2f72040ff1f76f73048a974edf1d9e5e01f4c02ab5639808c90313a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":99509.64762999999,"liquidityNum":5781.37139,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-03-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":25,"volume1wk":1779.287034,"volume1mo":4843.569948,"volume1yr":48324.906907000004,"clobTokenIds":["107447321736958001331291285876045469730039741023700731311287919712891910829120","45444190086616885039317752201415657721176543075037325119478141230222670911007"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":25,"volume1wkClob":1779.287034,"volume1moClob":4843.569948,"volume1yrClob":48324.906907000004,"volumeClob":99509.64762999999,"liquidityClob":5781.37139,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"244347","ticker":"will-faker-win-a-finals-mvp-award-at-an-international-event-in-2026","slug":"will-faker-win-a-finals-mvp-award-at-an-international-event-in-2026","title":"Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?","description":"The market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Lee \"Faker\" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market may resolve to “No” when it becomes impossible for Faker to win such an award (e.g., if his team is eliminated from all remaining international events without him receiving an MVP, or the season concludes without qualification).\n\nThis market will resolve to “No” if no Finals MVP Award has been officially announced for Faker by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official LoL Esports channels and Riot Games (https://lolesports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-03-03T21:42:59.437256Z","creationDate":"2026-03-03T21:43:28.671738Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/faker-8414e28ef7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/faker-8414e28ef7.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":5785.72474,"volume":99509.64762999999,"openInterest":6258.205014,"createdAt":"2026-03-03T20:50:44.440764Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8590880780051975,"volume24hr":25,"volume1wk":1779.287034,"volume1mo":4843.569948,"volume1yr":48324.906907000004,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":5785.72474,"commentCount":4,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"T1’s inconsistent 2026 LCK campaign, marked by recent playoff reversals against Hanwha Life Esports and mid-lane struggles for the 30-year-old Faker, underpins the strong market lean against him claiming Finals MVP at an international event. The mid laner has dealt with an arm injury affecting laning and teamfighting since mid-year, contributing to uneven results despite T1 securing Worlds qualification for his 11th appearance. While the three-time defending champions retain experience and roster continuity, stronger LCK sides like Gen.G and rising competition from other regions limit T1’s path to another deep run, let alone Faker earning MVP honors in a grand final. Historical precedent shows such awards require both team success and standout individual performances that current form does not strongly support.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T15:47:14.293Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-03-03T21:41:53Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"339947","conditionId":"0x26b9aebb932bc4cd41e0a6c3d2cd81fdaab3d98a55cd83e014a9b5ea2ac01e83","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-08-24","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":0.004,"oneHourPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.023,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.0445,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestBid":0.094,"bestAsk":0.096,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-03-03T21:40:39.472399Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v2","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.03,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.095","0.905"],"signal":{"yesProbability":9.5,"noProbability":90.5,"mispricingPct":40.5,"qualityScore":23,"confidence":54,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 9.5%","Mispricing 40.5% from 50/50","Quality 23/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3205488","question":"Megaquake by August 31?","conditionId":"0xfb0c716f26b60263970c49b0f9bbbffb48c850e495ecf5eeaf9272b7665057f6","slug":"megaquake-by-august-31-20260729155103111","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","liquidity":"261.75226","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:51:49.709442Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaquake-in-august-BR2e9f9Z8Omw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaquake-in-august-BR2e9f9Z8Omw.jpg","description":"A \"megaquake\" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.001","0.999"],"volume":"9994.369161999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:49:54.08129Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"questionID":"0x2dc77ca05748202fb0f51c207b4a703d5a7f44eb8ecf430f344aec110d44b897","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9994.369161999999,"liquidityNum":261.75226,"endDateIso":"2026-09-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-29","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["21664414185065299059173310148200377835893501660700160632763177672467466661106","93095646252676346618668987402286765960980776958272800469287444542743500264923"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9994.369161999999,"liquidityClob":261.75226,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"768750","ticker":"megaquake-by-august-31-20260729155103111","slug":"megaquake-by-august-31-20260729155103111","title":"Megaquake by August 31?","description":"A \"megaquake\" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.\n\nAfter a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-29T16:51:49.709442Z","creationDate":"2026-07-29T16:54:09.748935Z","endDate":"2026-09-01T03:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaquake-in-august-BR2e9f9Z8Omw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/megaquake-in-august-BR2e9f9Z8Omw.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":261.75226,"volume":9994.369161999999,"openInterest":7478.322926,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-29T16:49:53.673867Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8006398713852111,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":261.75226,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":2,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"The near-certain 99.9% market-implied odds for “No” on a megaquake by August 31 stem from the absence of any magnitude 9.0 or greater event on the moment magnitude scale through the deadline, as verified by continuous global monitoring from the USGS and equivalent agencies. Megaquakes of this scale remain exceptionally rare, occurring on average once or twice per century along major subduction zones, and no foreshock sequences, slow-slip events, or precursory seismic swarms reached thresholds that would indicate imminent risk during the observation window. Comprehensive real-time networks detect even moderate activity worldwide, leaving little room for undetected M9+ events. The only realistic scenarios that could still alter resolution involve a post-deadline magnitude revision of a late-August quake or a previously unreported aftershock sequence crossing the threshold, though both are statistically improbable given current data.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T15:48:31.094Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-29T16:51:02Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8006398713852111,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0235,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.089,"lastTradePrice":0.031,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-29T16:50:00.274447Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.001","0.999"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.1,"noProbability":99.9,"mispricingPct":49.9,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.1%","Mispricing 49.9% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3499322","question":"Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?","conditionId":"0x4fe2ad1ce65930f3e8ead4bb9952386373dde56fcb2535c20160c7c92d4ac8e7","slug":"will-urban-granstrom-be-the-next-regional-board-chair-of-region-sormland-20260812162003133","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"3407.1594","startDate":"2026-08-11T03:48:34.176342Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-urban-granstrom-be-the-next-regional-board-chair-of-region-sormland-2026081-f6aXWb8soTkv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-urban-granstrom-be-the-next-regional-board-chair-of-region-sormland-2026081-f6aXWb8soTkv.jpg","description":"Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Sörmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Sörmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Sörmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.535","0.465"],"volume":"9991.143236999998","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-10T20:02:32.112705Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Urban Granström","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x1de8078881547fafbc5f8411567f548ee7dda97e887de0f7d9a922bee44ab606","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9991.143236999998,"liquidityNum":3407.1594,"endDateIso":"2026-09-13","startDateIso":"2026-08-11","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":638.6,"volume1wk":8162.326833999999,"volume1mo":9991.143236999998,"volume1yr":9991.143236999998,"clobTokenIds":["32043419027878889512953520448280133245981719980329184711917702067632520596056","73358936184726536190516371226158996956497063844479964972656466851527637774138"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":638.6,"volume1wkClob":8162.326833999999,"volume1moClob":9991.143236999998,"volume1yrClob":9991.143236999998,"volumeClob":9991.143236999998,"liquidityClob":3407.1594,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x1de8078881547fafbc5f8411567f548ee7dda97e887de0f7d9a922bee44ab600","negRiskRequestID":"0x85197ae5891e987457fe16a5c5bd1e6482006d48264605067677f7c96f381935","events":[{"id":"829701","ticker":"next-regional-board-chair-of-sormland-20260810084413457","slug":"next-regional-board-chair-of-sormland-20260810084413457","title":"Next Regional Board Chair of Sörmland?","description":"Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Sörmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Sörmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Sörmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-08-11T03:46:07.384934Z","creationDate":"2026-08-11T03:54:17.94555Z","endDate":"2026-09-13T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/se-region-arms-sormland-f5cf86716c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/se-region-arms-sormland-f5cf86716c.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":70569.3388,"volume":18414.205033,"openInterest":4892.660412,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-08-10T20:02:28.387908Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9987764987889834,"volume24hr":841.74,"volume1wk":12024.053629999999,"volume1mo":16754.420501,"volume1yr":16754.420501,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":70569.3388,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x1de8078881547fafbc5f8411567f548ee7dda97e887de0f7d9a922bee44ab600","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-10T20:03:02.058896Z","requiresTranslation":false,"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-11T03:47:34Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9987764987889834,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1329516","conditionId":"0x4fe2ad1ce65930f3e8ead4bb9952386373dde56fcb2535c20160c7c92d4ac8e7","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":51,"startDate":"2026-09-05","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":6.5,"spread":0.01,"oneDayPriceChange":0.055,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.27,"lastTradePrice":0.46,"bestBid":0.53,"bestAsk":0.54,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":true,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-10T20:06:18.195373Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.535","0.465"],"signal":{"yesProbability":53.5,"noProbability":46.5,"mispricingPct":3.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":12,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 53.5%","Mispricing 3.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3072319","question":"Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?","conditionId":"0x7d1eec1cf7a040965c30f71e84753b57ecd00d6819ac6d668c7bc3d736295bfa","slug":"will-the-highest-score-achieved-by-a-spacexai-grok-model-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-be-50-or-higher-20260723191456651","resolutionSource":"https://agi.safe.ai/","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"780.2796","startDate":"2026-07-23T22:49:04.502822Z","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.585","0.415"],"volume":"9989.454168","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-23T22:46:17.873743Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"50%+","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x44f089ba8407434f86aeb3ac5001bb0b68adc76962a5b627aaeb2947821618d4","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9989.454168,"liquidityNum":780.2796,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":318.1,"volume1wk":3650.6740620000005,"volume1mo":8516.672804,"volume1yr":9989.454168,"clobTokenIds":["93464525010862355481151663660248645089577262509978130149063117228627855678760","64761539036327073891648093049447312782868164217541016633724887138235152922847"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"3.5","volume24hrClob":318.1,"volume1wkClob":3650.6740620000005,"volume1moClob":8516.672804,"volume1yrClob":9989.454168,"volumeClob":9989.454168,"liquidityClob":780.2796,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"740935","ticker":"highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948","slug":"highest-grok-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-in-2026-20260723191502948","title":"Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.\n\nThe resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to \"No\".","resolutionSource":"https://agi.safe.ai/","startDate":"2026-07-23T22:48:41.073725Z","creationDate":"2026-07-23T22:51:46.96608Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":4657.01127,"volume":81149.28604,"openInterest":6943.426192,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-23T22:46:16.01808Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9957927755234136,"volume24hr":3679.7,"volume1wk":22457.646467,"volume1mo":55060.162544,"volume1yr":64535.607176,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":4657.01127,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":1,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"xAI’s Grok models trail significantly on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark of graduate knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities, with Grok 4.6 at 42.9% as of early September 2026 while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 leads at 65%. Trader sentiment reflects steady Grok gains from iterative releases and scaling since 2025, yet persistent gaps versus competitors’ reasoning-focused training and larger architectures. Key catalysts through year-end include potential Grok 5 launches or major updates, verified leaderboard submissions without tools, and any shifts in xAI’s development pace relative to OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic. The market prices in meaningful upside from continued iteration but assigns lower odds to closing the full gap by December 31.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T15:47:11.849Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-23T22:48:16Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9928268261808434,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"1002871","conditionId":"0x7d1eec1cf7a040965c30f71e84753b57ecd00d6819ac6d668c7bc3d736295bfa","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":20,"startDate":"2026-07-27","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":40,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":0.1,"lastTradePrice":0.58,"bestBid":0.58,"bestAsk":0.59,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-23T22:46:50.752635Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.585","0.415"],"signal":{"yesProbability":58.5,"noProbability":41.5,"mispricingPct":8.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":17,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 58.5%","Mispricing 8.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2750298","question":"Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?","conditionId":"0xa269db945d01305fc42b3bfa3e01e95ee17619a5e490e26236d969401c79e2ec","slug":"will-emmanuel-macron-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-20260630194627364","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"13444.07837","startDate":"2026-07-01T02:18:26.879119Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0175","0.9825"],"volume":"9988.717636000003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-01T02:15:04.706788Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Macron - France President","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x2519e258a24e7c847d53022e321cc54605568961adb75f79abaa0c2a33aa7600","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9988.717636000003,"liquidityNum":13444.07837,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-07-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["59305882068380023228693610423087549375705431730703496786186377446545536598452","73176343900370253184209136249445312828780868988011627584436422090220312585721"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9988.717636000003,"liquidityClob":13444.07837,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x2519e258a24e7c847d53022e321cc54605568961adb75f79abaa0c2a33aa7600","negRiskRequestID":"0x81804d0411b541f43d831840d5b3f63a1df14ac2e55f3d95fbcb9b2e87561d7a","events":[{"id":"653446","ticker":"next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","slug":"next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-starmer-or-petro-20260630194619406","title":"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)","description":"This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-01T02:18:26.879119Z","creationDate":"2026-07-01T02:21:54.398661Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/leader-6d967049a5.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":373041.70468,"volume":264873.10324,"openInterest":24461.825823000003,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-07-01T02:15:01.973168Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9890952251428006,"volume24hr":3183.479196,"volume1wk":21842.943805000003,"volume1mo":70533.18548100001,"volume1yr":152857.046245,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":373041.70468,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x2519e258a24e7c847d53022e321cc54605568961adb75f79abaa0c2a33aa7600","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10842","ticker":"next-leader-out","slug":"next-leader-out","title":"Next leader out","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"annual","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-01-05T14:15:01.443102Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":3183.479196,"volume":264873.10324,"liquidity":373041.70468,"commentCount":151,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"next-leader-out","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-01T02:15:19.711013Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Trader consensus shows a tight contest between Netanyahu exiting office before 2027 and no listed leader departing that soon, with the two outcomes separated by only three points. Netanyahu's standing hinges on coalition stability, Knesset dynamics, and ongoing security pressures in Israel. The \"none\" outcome draws support from term structures, limited immediate election cycles, and the demonstrated durability of most other incumbents. Key variables that could create separation include parliamentary votes in Spain or France, any coalition shifts in Turkey, or unexpected developments affecting leaders in Ukraine, Venezuela, or Argentina. Late legal, health, or diplomatic events remain the main risks that could reorder probabilities before the cutoff.","context_requires_regen":true,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:17:22.532Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-01T02:17:26Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8111574710137947,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":100,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.017,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.007,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.0075,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.0225,"lastTradePrice":0.035,"bestBid":0.009,"bestAsk":0.026,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-01T02:16:24.99264Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0175","0.9825"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.8,"noProbability":98.3,"mispricingPct":48.3,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":61,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.8%","Mispricing 48.3% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4063307","question":"Liberty vs. James Madison: 4Q Moneyline","conditionId":"0x212cd73c0ca497431157398972623206fbe52333c9696c8bb5574ec11e0d62a4","slug":"cfb-librty-jmad-2026-09-05-4q-moneyline","resolutionSource":"https://www.ncaa.com/","endDate":"2026-09-05T16:00:00Z","startDate":"2026-09-01T16:42:31Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/espn+college+football+logo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/espn+college+football+logo.png","description":"In the fourth quarter of the college football game between Liberty and James Madison, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00 PM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Liberty\" if Liberty outscore James Madison in the fourth quarter.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"James Madison\" if James Madison outscore Liberty in the fourth quarter.\n\nIf both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nOnly points scored during that period count; overtime is not included.\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.","outcomes":["Liberty","James Madison"],"outcomePrices":["0.5","0.5"],"volume":"9988.5","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-01T16:41:06.189515Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"4Q Moneyline","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x99a25ee304bdbaf65cabc5d139b2009eb292dcffe066ea9bad1a509837e0bdb5","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9988.5,"endDateIso":"2026-09-05","startDateIso":"2026-09-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":10,"volume1wk":9988.5,"volume1mo":9988.5,"volume1yr":9988.5,"gameStartTime":"2026-09-05 16:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["50255628197957395344426892140762565796414557404662651476869591477689856072095","73962798590516151625791671399021415338907026356997635362236838986199133829727"],"positionIds":["897372910807972133427528050623092127145575507408972306827721877600426000384","897372910807972133427528050623092127145575507408972306827721877600426000385"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volume24hrClob":10,"volume1wkClob":9988.5,"volume1moClob":9988.5,"volume1yrClob":9988.5,"volumeClob":9988.5,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"912897","ticker":"cfb-librty-jmad-2026-09-05","slug":"cfb-librty-jmad-2026-09-05","title":"Liberty vs. James Madison","description":"In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET:\nIf Liberty wins, the market will resolve to \"Liberty\".\nIf James Madison wins, the market will resolve to \"James Madison\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.","resolutionSource":"https://www.ncaa.com/","startDate":"2026-08-25T23:35:23Z","creationDate":"2026-09-05T16:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-09-05T16:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/espn+college+football+logo.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/espn+college+football+logo.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":153886.07271,"volume":59138.466821,"openInterest":41050.389056,"createdAt":"2026-08-25T23:32:57.75783Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":1,"volume24hr":46970.600028,"volume1wk":58604.156079,"volume1mo":58604.156079,"volume1yr":58604.156079,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":153886.07271,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"12756","ticker":"cfb-2026","slug":"cfb-2026","title":"CFB 2026","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2026-08-27T13:43:32.233809Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":3722778.072127999,"volume":1344078.47304,"liquidity":28062853.04343,"commentCount":2,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-09-05","startTime":"2026-09-05T16:00:00Z","eventWeek":1,"seriesSlug":"cfb-2026","score":"0-0","elapsed":"08:45","period":"Q1","live":true,"ended":false,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":70898506,"requiresTranslation":false,"turnProviderId":"b59ad9ae-b8ec-4f8e-9bd2-ec5b4af41e57","eventMetadata":{"context_description":"James Madison enters its 2026 season opener against Liberty as the clear favorite, buoyed by its 12-2 campaign, Sun Belt title, and College Football Playoff berth in 2025. The Dukes host at Bridgeforth Stadium under new head coach Billy Napier amid significant roster turnover, with only five returning starters and questions at quarterback. Liberty arrives off a 4-8 finish and seeks to reverse last season’s 31-13 road loss in the Battle of the Blue Ridge rivalry, where JMU leads the all-time series 13-6. Both programs face quarterback uncertainty and defensive adjustments, while Liberty’s experienced offensive line and rushing attack face a JMU front that limited the Flames late in their prior meeting. Home-field edge, recent momentum, and the early-season timing reinforce trader consensus favoring the Dukes.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:32:36.462Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090547944559","opticOddsGameId":"67240-79434-26-35","opticOddsNumericalId":731990,"sportradarGameId":"sr:match:70898506"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-01T16:42:31Z","cyom":false,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":1,"oneDayPriceChange":0.005,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.005,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestAsk":1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"q4_moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-01T16:41:09.030026Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","marketMetadata":{"gammaTeamId":118281,"opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090547944559","opticOddsMarketId":"4th_quarter_moneyline","opticOddsMarketName":"4th Quarter Moneyline","opticOddsSelection":"4th Quarter Moneyline"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.5","0.5"],"signal":{"yesProbability":50,"noProbability":50,"mispricingPct":0,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":8,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 50%","Mispricing 0% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3886759","question":"Nikita Tszyu vs. Ben Mahoney","conditionId":"0x35a43146490cc8e46e5930012fb1095a1e6321c74be13ad6844315d6fe62594e","slug":"boxing-tszyu-mahone-2026-08-26","resolutionSource":"https://www.espn.com/boxing/","endDate":"2026-08-27T03:59:59.999Z","liquidity":"9.8147","startDate":"2026-08-25T20:12:09Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-icons/boxing-cba26879.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-icons/boxing-cba26879.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Nikita Tszyu\" if Nikita Tszyu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ben Mahoney, scheduled for August 26, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ben Mahoney\" if Ben Mahoney is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond September 9, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.","outcomes":["Nikita Tszyu","Ben Mahoney"],"outcomePrices":["0.745","0.255"],"volume":"9981.650090000003","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-25T20:11:59.497276Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0xa136fadc86315498c35d54856593d6994ce24084a8d3544c497f82b27bd0cdfe","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9981.650090000003,"liquidityNum":9.8147,"endDateIso":"2026-08-27","startDateIso":"2026-08-25","hasReviewedDates":true,"gameStartTime":"2026-08-26 12:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["66889968575040534399457286102693720375101677422165603173582927113182604033956","95440089790966506501205006345988050834201277387657737195333237947535021152244"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"3.5","volumeClob":9981.650090000003,"liquidityClob":9.8147,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"912160","ticker":"boxing-tszyu-mahone-2026-08-26","slug":"boxing-tszyu-mahone-2026-08-26","title":"Nikita Tszyu vs. Ben Mahoney","description":"This market will resolve to \"Nikita Tszyu\" if Nikita Tszyu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ben Mahoney, scheduled for August 26, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"Ben Mahoney\" if Ben Mahoney is officially declared the winner.\n\nIf the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond September 9, 2026, this market will resolve \"50-50.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.","resolutionSource":"https://www.espn.com/boxing/","startDate":"2026-08-25T20:12:09Z","creationDate":"2026-08-26T12:00:00Z","endDate":"2026-08-27T03:59:59.999Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-icons/boxing-cba26879.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/league-icons/boxing-cba26879.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":9.8147,"volume":9981.650090000003,"openInterest":3775.095632,"createdAt":"2026-08-25T20:11:59.07675Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.49998820782528713,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":9.8147,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"12578","ticker":"boxing","slug":"boxing","title":"Boxing","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-08-08T01:21:40.015165Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":27874.968713000002,"volume":21045.752251,"liquidity":12855.56102,"commentCount":2,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-08-26","startTime":"2026-08-26T12:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"boxing","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":1080609,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Nikita Tszyu entered the IBF super welterweight title eliminator as the clear favorite due to his undefeated 12-0 record with 10 knockouts, explosive southpaw power, and recent stoppage victories over previously unbeaten opponents like Oscar Diaz. The 28-year-old Australian brought superior punching volume and body attack that pressured opponents, alongside the market momentum from his prominent boxing family and strong domestic form. Ben Mahoney countered with greater experience across 17-0-1 bouts, nearly double the professional rounds, technical boxing skills honed from a Muay Thai background, and advantages in height and reach, yet pre-fight assessments highlighted Tszyu’s edge in finishing ability and upside. The matchup’s high stakes as an eliminator for a shot at champion Josh Kelly reinforced trader consensus around Tszyu’s probability edge, reflecting his knockout threat and recent momentum over Mahoney’s durability and ring craft.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-04T07:18:25.955Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"20260826121F217A","opticOddsGameId":"30045-29380-2026-08-26","opticOddsNumericalId":1080609},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-25T20:12:09Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.49998820782528713,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.47,"lastTradePrice":0.53,"bestBid":0.51,"bestAsk":0.98,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-25T20:12:00.678107Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"20260826121F217A","opticOddsMarketId":"moneyline","opticOddsMarketName":"Moneyline","opticOddsSelection":"Moneyline"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.745","0.255"],"signal":{"yesProbability":74.5,"noProbability":25.5,"mispricingPct":24.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":35,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 74.5%","Mispricing 24.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3240669","question":"Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0x8d6e4157faaf53dcc02b34d12b2bdcf3a43ada8b8cb45a64349a69153969ff4d","slug":"will-100-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-august-31-2026-20260728213741057","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"14463.18102","startDate":"2026-07-31T14:17:07.179461Z","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the final date of the specified timeframe has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is first released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0015","0.9985"],"volume":"9973.476338999997","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-31T14:14:59.225026Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"100+","groupItemThreshold":"5","questionID":"0x10f9010a4a977a073cd5b5c1a0840a978f4146fbbc60d72ec28c2a81a7a2f678","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9973.476338999997,"liquidityNum":14463.18102,"endDateIso":"2026-08-31","startDateIso":"2026-07-31","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["25914127283436158908277665126729274299219466383101364153745695029799340263085","10063162158668486142104996326055524195430817628532155889301153222633306204761"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9973.476338999997,"liquidityClob":14463.18102,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"776846","ticker":"will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-august-31","slug":"will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-august-31","title":"Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nData for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the final date of the specified timeframe has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is first released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if not all relevant data has been released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-31T14:17:01.236446Z","creationDate":"2026-07-31T14:18:09.724271Z","endDate":"2026-08-31T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march-ERARnetK0FJm.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":89160.19771,"volume":172054.996406,"openInterest":61335.782032,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-31T14:14:57.982521Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8067051720490372,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":89160.19771,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11407","ticker":"ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day","slug":"ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day","title":" __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-03-24T15:29:20.215352Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":1114.832075,"volume":192329.528149,"liquidity":148177.62951,"commentCount":736,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Elevated war-risk insurance premiums, ranging from 3-8% of hull value amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and sanctions, represent the dominant factor suppressing Strait of Hormuz transits and shaping trader views on daily volume thresholds. Pre-conflict averages of roughly 130 vessels per day have fallen to 15-20 recently, with weekly totals around 108-121 in mid-to-late August 2026, reflecting high compliance costs, shadow-fleet reliance, and tanker rate surges above $520,000 daily for key routes. Recent sanctions escalations and blacklists have further raised operational hurdles for non-Iran-linked carriers, while any single-day spikes depend on temporary naval escorts or dark transits. Market-implied odds price in these persistent economic frictions over normalization, with resolution hinging on whether volumes briefly exceed specified levels before the August 31 cutoff.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T12:47:10.611Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-31T14:16:18Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8009597099244316,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0005,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.017,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-31T14:15:19.278428Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":null,"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0015","0.9985"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.2,"noProbability":99.9,"mispricingPct":49.9,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.2%","Mispricing 49.9% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2413498","question":"Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?","conditionId":"0x88c07aaf28a52bbc69a6c0cb128d913def1064b401ac24a51b9f333f85bc987b","slug":"will-anthropics-public-ticker-be-clau","endDate":"2027-12-31T23:30:00Z","liquidity":"2735.20394","startDate":"2026-06-01T21:12:31.022974Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","description":"An official announcement from Anthropic that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf a ticker used by Anthropic in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if Anthropic uses a ticker symbol of $ANTH.A or $ANTHA, this market will resolve to $ANTH). \n\nIf Anthropic announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $ANTH.A and $ANTH.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until Anthropic's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nIf Anthropic IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\" \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. \n\nNote: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.014","0.986"],"volume":"9964.524046999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-06-01T19:53:33.683712Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"$CLAU","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0xaa8c96b5774225297adecb18c1762cb88b6ea2a3100452fa29ee16e0b258ac06","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9964.524046999999,"liquidityNum":2735.20394,"endDateIso":"2027-12-31","startDateIso":"2026-06-01","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["7606714790938643257543475908228304924894316979647239195298436740730301680259","95562233338260250738289302598284141430662263644673191585295198376625109060045"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":9964.524046999999,"liquidityClob":2735.20394,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa8c96b5774225297adecb18c1762cb88b6ea2a3100452fa29ee16e0b258ac00","negRiskRequestID":"0x0a1fb41ac6b41764240be51af5741308acdcea06944b37f9786485b0b6641f6c","events":[{"id":"549095","ticker":"what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","slug":"what-will-anthropics-public-ticker-be","title":"What will Anthropic's public ticker be?","description":"An official announcement from Anthropic that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. \n\nIf a ticker used by Anthropic in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if Anthropic uses a ticker symbol of $ANTH.A or $ANTHA, this market will resolve to $ANTH). \n\nIf Anthropic announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $ANTH.A and $ANTH.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until Anthropic's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. \n\nIf Anthropic IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\" \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. \n\nNote: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-06-01T21:12:00.48223Z","creationDate":"2026-06-01T21:26:14.223168Z","endDate":"2027-12-31T23:30:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-jdfele1g0krx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":13022.59435,"volume":88694.421414,"openInterest":20526.190665000002,"createdAt":"2026-06-01T19:53:31.014722Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8795848359574281,"volume24hr":711.828916,"volume1wk":1615.7866600000002,"volume1mo":6334.430518,"volume1yr":16515.853111,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":13022.59435,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0xaa8c96b5774225297adecb18c1762cb88b6ea2a3100452fa29ee16e0b258ac00","commentCount":6,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-01T21:06:53.329145Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Anthropic’s pending IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filed in June 2026 and an expected public prospectus in late September, underpin trader focus on name-derived tickers. With marketing now targeted for mid-October and a potential $2 trillion valuation in view, market-implied odds favor straightforward abbreviations such as $ANTH at 44.5% and $ANT at 13.0%, reflecting common corporate naming conventions for high-profile listings. Shorter or stylized variants like $AAI and $CLDE trail due to lower alignment with “Anthropic.” The absence of any disclosed symbol keeps pricing anchored to speculative consensus rather than confirmed filings, with resolution likely tied to the upcoming prospectus or roadshow.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:17:37.270Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-06-01T21:11:21Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8089332112383473,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"417257","conditionId":"0x88c07aaf28a52bbc69a6c0cb128d913def1064b401ac24a51b9f333f85bc987b","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":1,"startDate":"2026-08-21","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.012,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0055,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.0095,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.018,"lastTradePrice":0.013,"bestBid":0.008,"bestAsk":0.02,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-06-01T21:09:40.977294Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"finance_prices_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.014","0.986"],"signal":{"yesProbability":1.4,"noProbability":98.6,"mispricingPct":48.6,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":61,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 1.4%","Mispricing 48.6% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"4181046","question":"Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 5?","conditionId":"0x6801d659f117947297c68ef19874576b5b9f597aedbd90edf1e6d534eb043618","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-5-2026-26c","endDate":"2026-09-05T12:00:00Z","liquidity":"719.18618","startDate":"2026-09-03T04:30:12Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.001","0.999"],"volume":"9957.202882000001","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-09-03T04:29:58.094636Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"26°C","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x7d6fb85c5afcd52959e4b101d08780becc067f248a52f595311ac98c9cf94a06","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9957.202882000001,"liquidityNum":719.18618,"endDateIso":"2026-09-05","startDateIso":"2026-09-03","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":4219.457923999999,"volume1wk":9957.202882000001,"volume1mo":9957.202882000001,"volume1yr":9957.202882000001,"gameStartTime":"2026-09-04 16:00:00+00","secondsDelay":0,"clobTokenIds":["97384912227227027687677995452983981011617054087693101751263382763977405972134","71456112551708242781295283847272679407737076212685993132253758742852040189656"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.6","volume24hrClob":4219.457923999999,"volume1wkClob":9957.202882000001,"volume1moClob":9957.202882000001,"volume1yrClob":9957.202882000001,"volumeClob":9957.202882000001,"liquidityClob":719.18618,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":900,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7d6fb85c5afcd52959e4b101d08780becc067f248a52f595311ac98c9cf94a00","negRiskRequestID":"0x9874df94e974c5db5c5087ffc2381a442588bd27546968094dfefeeaa8f1ce41","events":[{"id":"957591","ticker":"lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-5-2026","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-5-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?","description":"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","startDate":"2026-09-03T04:30:12Z","creationDate":"2026-09-03T04:33:05.256891Z","endDate":"2026-09-05T12:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/hongkong-ae9cc75f37.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":35334.4701,"volume":34124.7158,"openInterest":9790.836914,"createdAt":"2026-09-03T04:29:57.073605Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8028773518535728,"volume24hr":11937.900083999999,"volume1wk":32338.769663,"volume1mo":32338.769663,"volume1yr":32338.769663,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":35334.4701,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x7d6fb85c5afcd52959e4b101d08780becc067f248a52f595311ac98c9cf94a00","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11546","ticker":"hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature","slug":"hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature","title":"Hong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-04-20T19:21:41.590901Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":23682.541016,"volume":70391.638344,"liquidity":111126.32465,"commentCount":155,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-09-05","startTime":"2026-09-03T04:29:56.974Z","seriesSlug":"hong-kong-daily-lowest-temperature","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-03T04:29:58.898836Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Recent observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate overnight temperatures holding near 27°C early on September 5, with forecasts projecting a daily minimum at or above this level amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with the market's 99.5% implied probability for 27°C as the lowest temperature, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses typical of early September climatology where baseline lows average 24.7–26°C but current steering patterns and cloud cover limit radiational cooling. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A stronger easterly flow or clearer skies enabling greater nighttime heat loss could realistically push the minimum to 26°C or below, though model runs show limited support for such shifts.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:03:17.232Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-09-03T04:30:12Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8006398713852111,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.002,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.619,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0245,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-09-03T04:29:58.905183Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"weather_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.001","0.999"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.1,"noProbability":99.9,"mispricingPct":49.9,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.1%","Mispricing 49.9% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2109518","question":"Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?","conditionId":"0xd6e6a84dff227314b82e5ebc66f62611ef4f6c25a349c591f16bd699184a1e83","slug":"will-moonshot-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31-2026","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidity":"14816.8277","startDate":"2026-04-30T19:25:12.40366Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.095","0.905"],"volume":"9951.886754","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-28T18:38:58.908132Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Moonshot","groupItemThreshold":"6","questionID":"0x548e97b9bc7e230d13a935d80626aa409b4eebb17b086b0b1a798b05a13a549c","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":9951.886754,"liquidityNum":14816.8277,"endDateIso":"2027-01-01","startDateIso":"2026-04-30","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":43.956033,"volume1wk":731.758253,"volume1mo":5215.118092000001,"volume1yr":9951.886754,"clobTokenIds":["28452285774474698354947125188608287524436611852945650886746220442735810828277","36136059052713963055376455066088612405225737607621775103472565534306327538275"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volume24hrClob":43.956033,"volume1wkClob":731.758253,"volume1moClob":5215.118092000001,"volume1yrClob":9951.886754,"volumeClob":9951.886754,"liquidityClob":14816.8277,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"428400","ticker":"which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","slug":"which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31","title":"Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-30T19:24:57.967473Z","creationDate":"2026-04-30T19:30:36.613451Z","endDate":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year--UQI9JDBhaSv.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-this-year--UQI9JDBhaSv.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":101894.02509,"volume":142433.636261,"openInterest":34353.538776999994,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-04-28T18:38:56.539212Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9633679342983069,"volume24hr":1284.05336,"volume1wk":10624.680409,"volume1mo":41216.497074,"volume1yr":91228.97896800001,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":101894.02509,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"11600","ticker":"companies-with-1-ai","slug":"companies-with-1-ai","title":"Companies with #1 AI","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"monthly","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"createdAt":"2026-04-28T21:37:43.981637Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":1284.05336,"volume":142433.636261,"liquidity":101894.02509,"commentCount":122,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"seriesSlug":"companies-with-1-ai","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Anthropic currently leads most independent leaderboards and arena rankings with Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5, which posted the highest composite scores on Artificial Analysis and strong Terminal-Bench results following their September 1 release. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, launched September 3, has quickly entered the top tier with claims of superior coding, agentic, and cybersecurity performance, creating a tight contest at the frontier. Google’s recent Gemini Flash variants emphasize speed and value but trail on raw capability metrics, while Meta’s Muse Spark 1.3 and xAI’s upcoming Grok 4.7 preview add competitive pressure. Trader sentiment reflects Anthropic’s recent momentum alongside uncertainty over whether OpenAI or others can deliver a decisive model before year-end resolution criteria are evaluated.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T14:17:14.583Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-30T19:24:08Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8590880780051975,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"clobRewards":[{"id":"307327","conditionId":"0xd6e6a84dff227314b82e5ebc66f62611ef4f6c25a349c591f16bd699184a1e83","assetAddress":"0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174","rewardsAmount":0,"rewardsDailyRate":5,"startDate":"2026-05-01","endDate":"2500-12-31"}],"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.015,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.035,"lastTradePrice":0.09,"bestBid":0.09,"bestAsk":0.1,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-30T19:22:37.026386Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"tech_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.095","0.905"],"signal":{"yesProbability":9.5,"noProbability":90.5,"mispricingPct":40.5,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":53,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 9.5%","Mispricing 40.5% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3450026","question":"Will NEC win on 2026-08-22?","conditionId":"0x75acbfcd513ac825577e4ac8df64bb0152b0368e5d3387d244cddcdc5832778b","slug":"ere-nec-exc-2026-08-22-nec","resolutionSource":"https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema","endDate":"2026-09-08T16:45:00Z","liquidity":"2684.3694","startDate":"2026-08-09T14:30:33Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ere.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ere.png","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 22, 2026\nIf NEC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.665","0.335"],"volume":"999.9709019999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-09T14:30:22.865231Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"NEC","groupItemThreshold":"0","questionID":"0x16c485bc24db99d9ac3c3950bc9cc008c215341841a352d7b36e2688d72eb300","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.01,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.9709019999999,"liquidityNum":2684.3694,"endDateIso":"2026-09-08","startDateIso":"2026-08-09","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":11.43,"volume1wk":56.821704,"volume1mo":933.6337899999999,"volume1yr":933.6337899999999,"gameStartTime":"2026-09-08 16:45:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["46891710422608391537388835526603873125342978009491507143946112737123567634844","91668173994950039369111672769883525494325274741127812297425356442710126034427"],"positionIds":["1247540368878545530372982750786665436991439915712339393368512145448473985024","1247540368878545530372982750786665436991439915712339393368512145448473985025"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volume24hrClob":11.43,"volume1wkClob":56.821704,"volume1moClob":933.6337899999999,"volume1yrClob":933.6337899999999,"volumeClob":999.9709019999999,"liquidityClob":2684.3694,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x16c485bc24db99d9ac3c3950bc9cc008c215341841a352d7b36e2688d72eb300","negRiskRequestID":"0x092f40b4e1b691029de663827ddb9d690ca80046ab2e24168b665bd108714db4","events":[{"id":"821592","ticker":"ere-nec-exc-2026-08-22","slug":"ere-nec-exc-2026-08-22","title":"NEC vs. SBV Excelsior","description":"This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 between NEC and SBV Excelsior.","resolutionSource":"https://eredivisie.nl/competitie/speelschema","startDate":"2026-08-09T14:30:33Z","creationDate":"2026-08-09T14:31:56.997907Z","endDate":"2026-09-08T16:45:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ere.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ere.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":6597.5097,"volume":1648.2681299999997,"openInterest":725.787153,"createdAt":"2026-08-09T14:30:22.736918Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9734965562559322,"volume24hr":12.634817,"volume1wk":184.949853,"volume1mo":1279.934922,"volume1yr":1279.934922,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":6597.5097,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x16c485bc24db99d9ac3c3950bc9cc008c215341841a352d7b36e2688d72eb300","commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10286","ticker":"ere-2025","slug":"ere-2025","title":"Eredivisie 2025","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":true,"createdAt":"2025-09-04T21:20:53.669409Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":309961.207805,"volume":249719.418182,"liquidity":5919594.02237,"commentCount":95,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-09-08","startTime":"2026-09-08T16:45:00Z","eventWeek":3,"seriesSlug":"ere-2025","score":"0-0","elapsed":"","period":"POST","live":false,"ended":false,"negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-09T14:30:23.568748Z","gameId":90111549,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"NEC Nijmegen enters the Eredivisie clash at Stadion De Goffert as clear favorites in trader consensus, buoyed by home advantage and a strong historical head-to-head record against Excelsior. Both sides sit level on six points after three matches, with NEC posting an 8-4 goal difference and Excelsior a 7-3 mark, reflecting comparable early-season form. NEC’s European commitments, including recent Champions League qualifier results against Bodø/Glimt, have created fixture congestion, yet the team secured a recent league win over PEC Zwolle. No significant injuries or suspensions affect either squad, keeping lineups stable. Excelsior’s solid start includes a victory over Sparta Rotterdam, but away results and the venue tilt the implied probabilities toward the hosts while leaving room for a draw in a competitive matchup.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T15:49:11.702Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090816E13F75","opticOddsGameId":"31304-14842-2026-09-08","opticOddsNumericalId":1097603},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-09T14:30:33Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.9734965562559322,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.05,"oneDayPriceChange":0.01,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.24,"lastTradePrice":0.67,"bestBid":0.64,"bestAsk":0.69,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"moneyline","umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-09T14:30:23.607328Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090816E13F75","opticOddsMarketId":"moneyline_3-way","opticOddsMarketName":"Moneyline 3-Way","opticOddsSelection":"NEC","opticOddsSelectionLine":"home","opticOddsTeamId":"85E51B3E5D6C"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.665","0.335"],"signal":{"yesProbability":66.5,"noProbability":33.5,"mispricingPct":16.5,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":26,"strength":"NONE","direction":"HOLD","rationale":["YES probability 66.5%","Mispricing 16.5% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3801694","question":"Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)","conditionId":"0x2edf938af6fdf98ee0fe47d77e10da56fbd10d04f6a09d5079a787b37dc4ad31","slug":"elc-wba-wat-2026-09-05-spread-away-1pt5","resolutionSource":"https://www.efl.com/","endDate":"2026-09-05T14:00:00Z","liquidity":"10632.8289","startDate":"2026-08-23T11:01:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/efl-championship-icon-2026-d5493f69b0.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/efl-championship-icon-2026-d5493f69b0.png","description":"In the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00 AM ET:\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Watford FC\" if Watford FC win the game by 2 or more goals.\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"West Bromwich Albion FC\".\n\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.","outcomes":["Watford FC","West Bromwich Albion FC"],"outcomePrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"volume":"999.966069","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-23T11:00:39.800091Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Watford FC (-1.5)","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x13bbd2b434c3a16a3b8179bd43096bd376958d1083c1942df3d31ee602166efe","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"umaResolutionStatus":"proposed","volumeNum":999.966069,"liquidityNum":10632.8289,"endDateIso":"2026-09-05","startDateIso":"2026-08-23","hasReviewedDates":true,"volume24hr":999.966069,"volume1wk":999.966069,"volume1mo":999.966069,"volume1yr":999.966069,"gameStartTime":"2026-09-05 14:00:00+00","secondsDelay":1,"clobTokenIds":["51755609497117252432248465889106068783905417571195723916883452279913028358886","75890293569297610359434248490027799537347538039506504181915349841398097144460"],"positionIds":["897234277831132550403406310341811376407748262157272619065879666160520134656","897234277831132550403406310341811376407748262157272619065879666160520134657"],"comboStatus":"enabled","umaBond":"250","umaReward":"0.8","volume24hrClob":999.966069,"volume1wkClob":999.966069,"volume1moClob":999.966069,"volume1yrClob":999.966069,"volumeClob":999.966069,"liquidityClob":10632.8289,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"events":[{"id":"894818","ticker":"elc-wba-wat-2026-09-05-more-markets","slug":"elc-wba-wat-2026-09-05-more-markets","title":"West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC - More Markets","description":"More markets for the EFL Championship game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00 AM ET.","resolutionSource":"https://www.efl.com/","startDate":"2026-08-23T11:00:56Z","creationDate":"2026-08-23T11:03:44.949053Z","endDate":"2026-09-05T14:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/efl-championship-icon-2026-d5493f69b0.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/efl-championship-icon-2026-d5493f69b0.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":289714.4566,"volume":13657.200423,"openInterest":12075.719482000002,"createdAt":"2026-08-23T11:00:39.476737Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8028773518535728,"volume24hr":13341.901874000001,"volume1wk":13647.228202,"volume1mo":13647.228202,"volume1yr":13647.228202,"parentEventId":893136,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":289714.4566,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":0,"series":[{"id":"10355","ticker":"efl-championship","slug":"efl-championship","title":"EFL Championship","seriesType":"single","recurrence":"daily","image":"","icon":"","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"createdAt":"2025-10-06T19:47:49.985914Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:33:08.802215Z","volume24hr":961411.281311,"volume":440214.21868800005,"liquidity":5837650.11711,"commentCount":126,"requiresTranslation":false}],"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"eventDate":"2026-09-05","startTime":"2026-09-05T14:00:00Z","seriesSlug":"efl-championship","score":"1-0","elapsed":"","period":"VFT","live":false,"ended":true,"finishedTimestamp":"2026-09-05T16:01:54.209418Z","negRiskAugmented":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"gameId":90116301,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"West Bromwich Albion host Watford at The Hawthorns on September 5 in the early stages of the 2026/27 EFL Championship season. West Brom enter with a slight positive goal difference from their opening fixtures and benefit from home form plus continuity under manager James Morrison, though the squad carries some midfield and attacking absences. Watford face multiple injury concerns, including thigh issues for key players like Kwadwo Baah and Jeremy Ngakia, alongside recent squad turnover from summer transfers. Historical results favor the hosts, including a 3-0 victory in the prior campaign, while both sides adjust to the new schedule with limited pre-season momentum established. Trader sentiment reflects these situational edges alongside typical Championship variability in early rounds.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-08-23T12:01:08.533Z","opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090576416A09","opticOddsGameId":"23656-65129-2026-09-05","opticOddsNumericalId":951421},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-23T11:01:00Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":50,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneDayPriceChange":-0.0795,"oneHourPriceChange":-0.0795,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.4845,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"sportsMarketType":"spreads","line":-1.5,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[\"proposed\", \"proposed\"]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-23T11:00:44.803965Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","marketMetadata":{"opticOddsFixtureId":"2026090576416A09","opticOddsMarketId":"asian_handicap","opticOddsMarketName":"Asian Handicap","opticOddsPoints":-1.5,"opticOddsSelection":"Watford FC -1.5","opticOddsTeamId":"47F867B4B902"},"feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.1,"noProbability":100,"mispricingPct":50,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.1%","Mispricing 50% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3004706","question":"Will Romania win the UEFA EURO 2028?","conditionId":"0x061c6e156ba7687e817fb0b8127ed6c43f032f665a4c898c80eb284cd8c27c69","slug":"will-romania-win-the-uefa-euro-2028-20260720162754477","resolutionSource":"","liquidity":"31586.57079","startDate":"2026-07-20T19:18:28.382314Z","description":"This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0015","0.9985"],"volume":"999.8570000000002","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-07-20T19:07:46.238682Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0xF43d55F3A8B7484Ed4B6931f93CB6F9eF5Dd369D","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Romania","groupItemThreshold":"42","questionID":"0x521b95fa7e42a7b9aa434c1ea272fdcb36cf091cc0ffc09d24149a0cc418122a","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.8570000000002,"liquidityNum":31586.57079,"startDateIso":"2026-07-20","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["105108853040329484671113943486963941178349354964055239673580336197619704678798","27534012514175483959039859880935921520788187201263532178927266310461659706420"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.8570000000002,"liquidityClob":31586.57079,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x521b95fa7e42a7b9aa434c1ea272fdcb36cf091cc0ffc09d24149a0cc4181200","negRiskRequestID":"0xd734709668ab90233eba800431219ea34fcbe255422b963d1cf3a34ecd52060b","events":[{"id":"726377","ticker":"uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434","slug":"uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434","title":"UEFA EURO 2028: Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-07-20T19:13:58.597115Z","creationDate":"2026-07-20T19:25:19.89751Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434-fNB3mHZtu0f5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434-fNB3mHZtu0f5.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":3504256.52884,"volume":59802.526763,"openInterest":5304.065871999998,"sortBy":"ascending","createdAt":"2026-07-20T19:07:40.38967Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9296920395119117,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":3504256.52884,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x521b95fa7e42a7b9aa434c1ea272fdcb36cf091cc0ffc09d24149a0cc4181200","commentCount":4,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":true,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-20T19:08:07.171723Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Spain's recent World Cup triumph—capped by a 1-0 extra-time final win over Argentina after a 2-0 semifinal defeat of France—underpins their 22.5% implied probability as defending European champions, with a deep squad featuring young talents like Lamine Yamal and an unbeaten streak across major tournaments. France (19.5%) and England (15.5%) sit close behind due to their attacking depth, recent World Cup showings (France reaching the semifinals, England claiming third place), and ongoing Nations League preparations that begin this month. The bunched top tier reflects Europe's overall strength, co-host advantages for England, long timelines allowing for squad evolution or setbacks, and the wisdom of crowds pricing in historical volatility in qualification and finals. Lower-ranked sides trail amid shallower recent form and qualification uncertainty ahead of the December 2026 draw.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:02:58.955Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-07-20T19:17:28Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8009597099244316,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.001,"oneWeekPriceChange":-0.001,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.003,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.002,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-07-20T19:09:34.917086Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"sports_fees_v3","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.05,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.15},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0015","0.9985"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.2,"noProbability":99.9,"mispricingPct":49.9,"qualityScore":22,"confidence":64,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.2%","Mispricing 49.9% from 50/50","Quality 22/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"3582091","question":"Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?","conditionId":"0xa6edfe523435c547b4e9b85ce28e3d1776f6ce73f52f5753093873030aceb2f1","slug":"will-tsao-erh-chang-win-the-next-lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-202608131357161602","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-06-30T23:59:00Z","liquidity":"998.61657","startDate":"2026-08-14T13:07:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tw2026-tsao-erh-chang-11460cda92.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tw2026-tsao-erh-chang-11460cda92.jpg","description":"Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"volume":"999.5899999999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-08-14T13:05:49.552534Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Tsao Erh-chang","groupItemThreshold":"1","questionID":"0x2928fd6bcfd7a2ae928d3029796bcb2c2e558e67b03e0de1af621d46099db601","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.5899999999999,"liquidityNum":998.61657,"endDateIso":"2027-06-30","startDateIso":"2026-08-14","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["91117745517446668407060110317236098402210115142715812324465311023270333171360","55160703085898741986336661376619413034579383009910661342060105331752142495226"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.5899999999999,"liquidityClob":998.61657,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x2928fd6bcfd7a2ae928d3029796bcb2c2e558e67b03e0de1af621d46099db600","negRiskRequestID":"0xa6b3164677f9575cec42bca9f0d71de46a18b876ae164a8382095779c6c56cc1","events":[{"id":"848492","ticker":"lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600","slug":"lienchiang-county-magistrate-election-winner-202608131357161600","title":"Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner","description":"Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-08-14T13:07:00Z","creationDate":"2026-08-14T13:08:26.289437Z","endDate":"2026-11-28T23:59:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tw2026-city-lienchiang-7c1c3388b7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/tw2026-city-lienchiang-7c1c3388b7.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":15970.89171,"volume":5524.753256,"openInterest":1622.736981,"sortBy":"price","createdAt":"2026-08-14T13:05:48.311995Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.8795848359574281,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":15970.89171,"negRisk":true,"negRiskMarketID":"0x2928fd6bcfd7a2ae928d3029796bcb2c2e558e67b03e0de1af621d46099db600","commentCount":0,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":true,"enableNegRisk":true,"automaticallyActive":false,"gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":true,"countryName":"Taiwan","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-14T13:06:10.775905Z","requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election as Lienchiang County Magistrate, holds an 87% implied probability in the market, reflecting his party nomination, strong local base, and prior victory in the 2022 contest against independent challenger Tsao Erh-yuan. Candidate registration closed on September 4, 2026, confirming Wang and Tsao Erh-yuan as the primary contenders in this small offshore county, with no Democratic Progressive Party nominee entering the race. Tsao Erh-yuan, a former county land administration official running independently for a rematch, sits at 5.8%, underscoring limited trader expectation of an upset. The November 28, 2026, election timing and KMT's structural dominance in Lienchiang align with the current pricing, though late developments in voter turnout or campaign dynamics could still influence the outcome.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T14:18:59.221Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-08-14T13:07:00Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8003199679231757,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":5.5,"spread":0.001,"lastTradePrice":0.001,"bestAsk":0.001,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-08-14T13:06:10.845093Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.0005","0.9995"],"signal":{"yesProbability":0.1,"noProbability":100,"mispricingPct":50,"qualityScore":20,"confidence":63,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 0.1%","Mispricing 50% from 50/50","Quality 20/100 from liquidity + volume"]}},{"id":"2055078","question":"Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?","conditionId":"0x9b8b2f5b164df335787b29d955fd769f2af517b55bedff616e90d65acd67158b","slug":"will-grald-darmanin-announce-their-candidacy-for-the-2027-french-presidential-election-in-2026","resolutionSource":"","endDate":"2027-04-23T00:00:00Z","liquidity":"8581.06994","startDate":"2026-04-22T22:26:25.533929Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.\n\nStatements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcomePrices":["0.033","0.967"],"volume":"999.2118519999999","active":true,"closed":false,"marketMakerAddress":"","createdAt":"2026-04-22T21:53:25.46926Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:15.413085Z","new":false,"featured":false,"submitted_by":"0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5","archived":false,"resolvedBy":"0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7","restricted":true,"groupItemTitle":"Gérald Darmanin","groupItemThreshold":"8","questionID":"0x23a74154b55a4b2a8b0847433399262a40834920ddda2c2f1a7f4e52db4e3d5e","enableOrderBook":true,"orderPriceMinTickSize":0.001,"orderMinSize":5,"volumeNum":999.2118519999999,"liquidityNum":8581.06994,"endDateIso":"2027-04-23","startDateIso":"2026-04-22","hasReviewedDates":true,"clobTokenIds":["71581280959767428872513868813666063131782570875774080420329933320929673816928","5026210085121513868930084778531889510108176146223733942209968807611480351076"],"comboStatus":"disabled","umaBond":"500","umaReward":"5","volumeClob":999.2118519999999,"liquidityClob":8581.06994,"makerBaseFee":1000,"takerBaseFee":1000,"customLiveness":0,"acceptingOrders":true,"negRisk":false,"negRiskRequestID":"","events":[{"id":"407745","ticker":"french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026","slug":"french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026","title":"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?","description":"The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.\n\nStatements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","resolutionSource":"","startDate":"2026-04-22T22:25:36.111175Z","creationDate":"2026-04-22T22:32:08.124285Z","endDate":"2027-04-23T00:00:00Z","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/france-presidential-election-2027-U5QY3acvfubZ.png","active":true,"closed":false,"archived":false,"new":false,"featured":false,"restricted":true,"liquidity":117527.89161,"volume":77931.157127,"openInterest":14617.891203000001,"createdAt":"2026-04-22T21:53:22.763844Z","updatedAt":"2026-09-05T16:32:43.536043Z","competitive":0.9991008092716555,"volume24hr":166.370688,"volume1wk":630.5046100000001,"volume1mo":2365.862771,"volume1yr":3479.735371,"enableOrderBook":true,"liquidityClob":117527.89161,"negRisk":false,"commentCount":22,"cyom":false,"showAllOutcomes":true,"showMarketImages":false,"enableNegRisk":false,"automaticallyActive":true,"startTime":"2027-04-23T17:53:00Z","gmpChartMode":"default","negRiskAugmented":false,"countryName":"France","electionType":"Presidential","estimateValue":false,"cumulativeMarkets":false,"pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"requiresTranslation":false,"eventMetadata":{"context_description":"With Emmanuel Macron constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, France's 2027 presidential race has drawn an unusually large field of declared and potential candidates in 2026. Marine Le Pen confirmed her bid in July after an appeals court cleared her legal path despite the upheld conviction, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Bruno Retailleau announced or advanced their campaigns earlier in the year. On the fragmented left, Raphaël Glucksmann and Olivier Faure entered contention in August for an October primary, alongside figures like Karim Bouamrane and Bernard Cazeneuve. Recent MEDEF debates and polling showing Le Pen leading have sharpened focus on remaining undecided center-right or centrist contenders, with primary outcomes and any further legal developments likely to influence additional 2026 announcements before the two-round vote in April and May.","context_requires_regen":false,"context_updated_at":"2026-09-05T16:32:37.757Z"},"version":"v1"}],"ready":false,"funded":false,"acceptingOrdersTimestamp":"2026-04-22T22:25:22Z","cyom":false,"competitive":0.8209580744920938,"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled":false,"approved":true,"rewardsMinSize":20,"rewardsMaxSpread":4.5,"spread":0.03,"oneDayPriceChange":0.0005,"oneWeekPriceChange":0.002,"oneMonthPriceChange":-0.062,"lastTradePrice":0.014,"bestBid":0.018,"bestAsk":0.048,"automaticallyActive":true,"clearBookOnStart":true,"seriesColor":"","showGmpSeries":false,"showGmpOutcome":false,"manualActivation":false,"negRiskOther":false,"umaResolutionStatuses":"[]","pendingDeployment":false,"deploying":false,"deployingTimestamp":"2026-04-22T22:23:15.682977Z","rfqEnabled":false,"holdingRewardsEnabled":false,"feesEnabled":true,"requiresTranslation":false,"feeType":"politics_fees","feeSchedule":{"exponent":1,"rate":0.04,"takerOnly":true,"rebateRate":0.25},"version":"v1","clobPrices":["0.033","0.967"],"signal":{"yesProbability":3.3,"noProbability":96.7,"mispricingPct":46.7,"qualityScore":21,"confidence":60,"strength":"WEAK","direction":"BUY_YES","rationale":["YES probability 3.3%","Mispricing 46.7% from 50/50","Quality 21/100 from liquidity + volume"]}}]}